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This article participates on the following special index pages:
Sunrise of currency reform - Index of articles and reports on Zimbabwe's new currency reforms
MDC
response to RBZ Monetary Policy
Movement for
Democratic Change (MDC)
July 31, 2006
The statement
by the RBZ governor is a welcome document of imaginative and innovative
monetary initiatives. We congratulate the central bank team for
their hard work and creativity. However, the context and environment
in which these ideas are raised is poisoned and dysfunctional rendering
them ineffective. Furthermore the statement addressed symptoms and
not causes of the Zimbabwean economic crisis. The macro-economic
fundamentals were essentially not addressed. In addition, the remedies
offered were neither long term nor sustainable.
The Zimbabwean
economic meltdown is rooted in a crisis of political governance
and legitimacy. The crisis has lead to the total collapse of the
organization and management of our national economy which has led
to the acute inability to deliver basic public and social services.
In addition, Zimbabwe has become a globally isolated pariah and
failed state with a debilitating impact on the performance of business
enterprises and public institutions. Any macroeconomic initiative
that does not address the totality of these foundational issues
is meaningless and irresponsible. Thus the RBZ missed an opportunity
to begin a national debate on the causes of the Zimbabwean economic
crisis.
The RBZ governor’s
obsession with sanctions as a cause of our economic challenges should
be rejected with the contempt that it deserves. The biggest imposer
of sanctions on Zimbabwe is the ZANU(PF) government; through misrule,
dictatorship, inept economic policies, misguided foreign policy,
corruption, and sheer incompetence. These sanctions must be lifted
first before we ask other nations to lift measures that they have
imposed on us. The statement should have clearly identified government
incompetence, mismanagement, lack of economic vision and capacity
as major causes of the economic crisis. Instead it dwelt on secondary
and symptomatic issues, while shielding the regime.
A major flaw
of the monetary policy is a single variable approach to economic
analysis. Inflation is separately identified as enemy number one,
corruption as the second one. Other cancers are disjointedly identified
as currency devaluation, exchange rate instability, poor agrarian
productivity, and lack of investment. Monetary policy frameworks
are then developed separately for each area. This is completely
unsound and ineffective. These economic variables are interconnected
and inter-dependent. What is required is a multi-variable economic
analysis and policy formulation that take into account the inter-connectedness
of these different issues.
While we appreciate
the objective of removing the three zeros in the currency, to celebrate
this policy as a "zeros to hero" project is in extreme
bad taste. There is nothing to celebrate. Zimbabwe is a failed state,
and this policy seeks to tinker with the periphery of a national
disaster. We reject any attempts to create false hope, and buy more
time for the Zimbabwean dictatorship. While we appreciate the efforts
to protect the value of the Zimbabwean currency, we are apprehensive
about the use of ZANU(PF) youths to guard Zimbabwean borders. Illegitimate
tools of repression cannot be used in pursuit of any positive national
effort. Even the extensive use of our police and armed forces in
all these initiatives smacks of the militarization of our society
that has become the hallmark of this ZANU(PF) dictatorship. There
has to be another way.
Zimbabweans
should not be hoodwinked into believing that the RBZ statement represents
any hope and salvation. At best it buys the corrupt and incompetent
ZANU(PF) government some reprieve. However, the revolution is coming.
The people of Zimbabwe will not accept anything short of total political
and economic liberation.
The Way Forward
The
way forward for Zimbabwe requires more players than the RBZ. In
fact, an inclusive, all stakeholder approach is required. Zimbabweans
must address the foundational issues of institution building, and
deepening of democratic values and principles in all sectors of
our society. We need to develop and live a new democratic culture.
This will create the basis for sustainable change that has both
form and substance. A new, people-driven democratic constitution
is a critical pre-requisite to set the national terms of reference.
The process of making that constitution must give confidence to
all Zimbabweans that the outcome will reflect their will. A contested
document is no foundation for stable governance. Key elements of
this constitution should include; effective and functional separation
of powers, executive accountability to the legislature, entrenched
independence of the judiciary, a fair and transparent electoral
framework, strong and effective protection of fundamental freedoms,
liberties and human rights, ensuring institutional capacity for
such protection.
We need to stop
the economic decline and the suffering of millions of families in
our country. The starting point is developing an economic recovery
and a stabilization program. A holistic approach that involves all
stakeholders and takes into account all economic factors must be
the basis of a multi-variable economic model for Zimbabwe’s survival.
There is also need for economic structural reform, underpinned by
economic transformation that involves integration and coordination
of the informal and formal sectors. There is also need for effective
macro-economic policy coordination that systemically links monetary
and fiscal policies. The NEDPP is completely inadequate, ill conceived
and does not present a meaningful starting point.
Honest assessment
of our current predicament and taking ownership of our challenges
will be the starting point. The ZANU(PF) regime is in self-denial
and does not appreciate the extent of our problems.
There is need
to develop a medium term economic stabilization strategy which will
focus on fiscal discipline, poverty alleviation, viable social security
programs such as housing, healthcare, education, job creation, infrastructural
rehabilitation, and local authorities capacity building.
Zimbabwe needs
a National Economic Vision and a National Economic Strategy.
Where do we want the Zimbabwe economy to be in 20 years? What are
we going to do, in order take Zimbabwe to this destination economy?
Beyond recovery and survival we need to develop long term strategic
initiatives, with sector specific programs, that enable Zimbabwe
to emerge as an industrialized, technology driven, competitive nation,
fully integrated into the global economy. We should use the existing
capacity of Zimbabweans and their natural resources to compete through
the design and construction of new and innovative products on the
world market. While building upon our national core competencies
such as agriculture, mining and tourism, emphasis should be on focused
manufacturing and leveraging new technologies. Some of these new
technology platforms are cheaper and lend themselves better to countries
with poor infrastructure than advanced countries. Hence, there is
a unique opportunity for Zimbabwe to run where others walked. We
can thus, leap-frog from the current economic crisis into the globally
competitive and knowledge-based economy. Zimbabwe needs an effective
science and technology strategy, rooted in regional integration
and linked to forces of globalization.
There is need
to implement investor confidence building measures in order to increase
trade and investment. Of paramount importance is the respect for
property rights, rule of law, predictability and certainty of laws,
and consistency in the application of regulations. The economic
strategy should then be driven by extensive domestic investment
(local and Diaspora), foreign direct investment (FDI), processed
exports, value adding economic activities, business growth, and
economic empowerment. There is need to engage our strategic partners
in Africa, Europe, Asia and the Americas for investment, partnerships
and global outsourcing opportunities. Under globalization there
is no country that can thrive without dealing with the international
community including the multilateral institutions such as the IMF
and World Bank. We know that historically, these two specific institutions
have espoused anti-African and anti-poor people policies. What is
critical is to engage these institutions with the view to extract
favourable arrangements for our country. In the current global economy,
the IMF is ostensibly a gatekeeper. If they are not involved with
your country, there is no investment and trade that will occur there.
We cannot go it alone.
We need to engage
everyone in the world community of nations. This misguided and bankrupt
Look East Policy must be rejected with the contempt that
it deserves. How can we look East when the East is looking West?
The Chinese, Singaporean, Malaysian, and Japanese economies are
heavily dependent on, and linked to, the USA and European economies.
Zimbabwe needs strategic thinkers who look everywhere for opportunities,
not unimaginative despots typical of failed and pariah States who
seek economic opportunities from one geographical location, out
of desperation and lack of choice.
Zimbabwe’s resource
base and human capital (local and Diaspora) must be mobilized
and leveraged to benefit Zimbabweans. With a deliberate strategy
of beneficiation (value adding economic activities) we should build
new factories, create economic opportunities and attract investors
for further development. All our minerals must be processed locally
and exported as refined products. For example we need to build refinery
plants and secondary industries for our platinum, gold, and copper.
In most developing economies, remittances from, and economic involvement
of the Diaspora have become key strategic initiatives. We should
seek to ensure that our fellow citizens in the Diaspora have a meaningful
role to play in the development of their country by leveraging their
remittances, expertise and networks. However, there is no taxation
without representation. We must allow people in the Diaspora to
vote in all national elections.
Our country
is uniquely endowed with natural wonders such as the awesome Victoria
Falls and the majestic Great Zimbabwe. As we return to the international
fold there is need to drive, optimize, and leverage the tourism
sector. We should make our currency valuable again, reduce the cost
of living for the suffering families and stop corruption and misuse
of money. We need radical transformation to good governance with
able and efficient government at all levels in both the private
and public sectors. We should bring stability and prosperity to
our country, which has been lost in the years of decline and economic
collapse.
We should ensure
a fair, secure and effective use of land with new strategies that
will make the land green again. What is required is a democratic
and participatory framework that seeks to achieve equitable, transparent,
just, and economically efficient distribution and use of land. This
must have emphasis on productivity, food security and self-sufficiency.
Collateral value of land must be guaranteed by establishing security
of tenure through the provision of title or 99 year leases. Land
should never be used as an instrument of political patronage. With
an effective land revolution in Zimbabwe land owners should be motivated
towards beneficiation where emphasis is placed on secondary agriculture.
Under this philosophy, we should encourage exporting processed agricultural
products and not raw materials. For example; Export clothes not
cotton, tinned vegetables not raw vegetables, flour not wheat, and
furniture not timber. Instead of selling raw materials we should
sell value added or finished products. This will facilitate entrepreneurship,
job creation, and thus ensure income for Zimbabwean families and
guarantee prosperity and food security for all.
In all these
economic strategic initiatives, the underpinning and central organizing
values should be fiscal discipline, productivity, efficiency, innovation,
creativity, beneficiation and excellence.
This Zimbabwean
economic mandate requires generational intervention. History will
never forgive give us if we do not step up to the plate, and rise
to the challenge. We must reclaim our rights, be masters of our
own destiny, and be the change we seek in our country.
Arthur G.O.
Mutambara
MDC President
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