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Can early elections resolve the 'Zimbabwe crisis'?
Dr. Sabelo Ndlovu-Gatsheni
August 19, 2010
The SADC Troika meeting
in Windhoek the capital city of Namibia is said to have put pressure
on the Harare disputants to resolve the 'outstanding-
issues within a month and expressed its desire to see Zimbabwe holding
elections next year. The real question that needs sober analysis
is: Can early elections resolve the multiple and multi-layered ailments
bedeviling Zimbabwe? Have those calling for early elections clearly
understood the core problems that plunged Zimbabwe into crisis in
the first place? Has the Inclusive Government, the regional body
(SADC), African Union (AU) and other concerned global powers, come
up with a new plan to ensure free and fair elections next? How are
the SADC guidelines on elections going to be enforced this time
around? The consequences for Zimbabwe and the region, of yet another
botched election are too ghastly to contemplate.
It is this fear of consequences
of another sham election that prompted me to make this short contribution
and speak directly to some of the core problems that cannot be resolved
by early elections and worse still if those elections fail to reflect
the general will of the people. The starting point to avert a deeper
crisis is to seek to understand what is meant by the 'Zimbabwe
Crisis.- Is it just a question of political legitimacy that
can be solved by elections? My take is that free and fair elections
are just part of the solution to the 'Zimbabwe Crisis.-
Elections might solve
the crisis of political legitimacy. Crisis of political legitimacy
is just part of a myriad of other key problems. What must be thought
carefully is the issue of a rash to the state house by whoever will
win the proposed elections, without institutional changes that are
oriented towards democracy. While I understand the sources of growing
impatience among those political actors who feel they were denied
an opportunity to formally ascend to power at the end of the harmonized
elections of 29 March 2008 and the increasing realization that very
little can be done to effect a comprehensive turn- around national
strategy without full control of the state, the serious danger is
to interpret the 'Zimbabwe Crisis- in simplistic terms
of 'regime change.- The crisis is broader than that.
At the centre of the
crisis are six main issues: (i) failure by the former ruling party
ZANU-PF to respond progressively to the changing meaning of freedom
across generations and time; (ii) the failure by founding fathers/mothers
of Zimbabwe to craft a clear criterion of belonging to a post-settler
society that went beyond the policy of reconciliation and enforced
national unity; (iii) timid, inconsistent, and partisan-oriented
ways of dealing with issues of social and economic justice rooted
in a particular histories; (iv) failure of ethnicised and racialized
nationalism as a foundation myth of a stable postcolonial political
community consonant with values of social pluralism and diversities;
ZANU-PF-s consistent refusal to adhere to a clear formula
of how power is to be reproduced over time and across generations;
and finally, the crisis of instrumentalisation and politicization
of the military and security organs of the state to serve a particular
regime that dates back to the liberation war.
Unless both
citizens and the leadership across different political formations,
transcend the current terrible fear of gazing into the future and
avoid the 'dung-beetle approach- of marching into the
21st century reverse-wise with the mind perpetually fixated into
the past, then a 'New Zimbabwe- remains remote. What
is happening around the on-going process of constitution-making
reveals the unpreparedness of the country for another election.
The language used by some political actors and the behaviour of
their supporters is deplorable to say the least. The failure of
both ZANU-PF and MDC political formations to resolve the so-called
outstanding issues indicates a terrible crisis of leadership. Even
the way the GPA
was crafted reveals a selfish agenda across political formations.
ZANU-PF wanted to buy time and to re-launch itself into political
life in what Professor Jonathan Moyo termed the 'Lazarus resurrection.-
The former opposition MDC formations sought to use the GPA to ascend
to political power. It seems no-one came on board with true national
interests.
Expecting a 'colonial
subject- like President Robert Mugabe who actively played
a part in a nationalist project that was itself deeply interpellated
and shaped by colonialism, to lead the crusade of democracy, is
like asking the nineteenth century King Lobengula Khumalo to talk
about modern discourse of human rights and democracy. President
Mugabe is a man of yesterday. The crisis is that even the younger
ones that masquerade as national leaders mentally manifest a belonging
to the past of violence engendered by both colonialism and nationalism.
This has created a deep generational problem. ZANU-PF attempted
to deal with it through bungling of the unemployed youth into Border
Gezi Training Centres as a nursery for its reproduction in the 21st
century. This was a selfish way of dealing with the issue.
Because the crisis has
a key generational element, it also reveals itself as a crisis of
political language among those aspiring to lead the nation. The
present leaders have not yet found the relevant semantics and correct
phrases that could adequately encapsulate the signs of the time
and express the current longings and demands of the people. Parroting
nationalism or democracy is not adequate. What we witness in Zimbabwe
is ideological capitulation in the face of a challenging future
and the preference to talk about the past and trying to run the
country through memory rather than rational policies. What is often
forgotten is that the past will never be the future. We need to
brace ourselves for the future challenges and respond in a rational
and progressive manner that enables us to avoid anger and the practice
of killing each other. Militarization of the state is just an adherence
to the warrior tradition that failed even military geniuses like
King Shaka of the Zulu. It-s just a temporary refuge for scoundrels.
For Zimbabwe to transcend
and cross-over from the reality of violence and crisis, there is
need for serious investment of their intellectual and other energies
on a new constitution that genuinely reflect the views of the people
and national healing and reconciliation. There can be no rebirth
of a 'New Zimbabwe- without a new constitution that
embraces and reflects the longings and visions of the people. Pushing
the people into election-mode now is counter-productive. It confuses
the constitution-making process with electioneering. Some misguided
elements are already busy disrupting the constitution-making meetings
and making dangerous statements which reveal deep political confusion.
What must be avoided are quick-fix strategies, be they coming from
SADC or emerging internally. The resolution of the Zimbabwe crisis
is bound to be a painstaking process rather than an event. Zimbabwe
desperately needs a Truth and Reconciliation Commission rather than
the current feeble Organ on National Healing, Integration and Reconciliation
that is not even backed by any statutory instrument and is not informed
by seeking truth. Perhaps elections if they are free and fair might
be a blessing if the winner will commit to a programme of social
justice, truth and reconciliation that are needed in a country that
has experienced a series and catalogues of violence since the colonial
era. There are still pertinent questions that continue to beg for
answers, before the country is ready for elections: What have we
done with our politicized security sector? Will it remain in the
barracks this time and leave politics to politicians? Has our police
force finally re-discovered the lost Police Charter defining the
remit of their duties?
Having elections next
year without comprehensive and genuine institutional reform of a
state that has undergone systematic militarization including giving
birth to such semi-military units as war-veterans and green-bombers
and their quasi-structures, might be a recipe for another crisis.
One can only give SADC the benefit of the doubt that this time around
they will come up with mechanism to make sure next year-s
elections are conducted according to SADC election guidelines. But
I have no doubt that if elections take place next year and produce
an acceptable outright winner and those who lost behave well and
allow a new government to take office; it might quicken the process
of the country-s return to normalcy. But postcolonial Africa
have seen political parties that campaign for change but once they
win elections they fight against those calling for real change.
Citizen vigilance must be maintained until democratic governance
is attained in Zimbabwe. Less trust and more vigilance!
*Dr. Sabelo
J. Ndlovu-Gatsheni is writing from Johannesburg and can be contacted
on: sgatsha@yahoo.co.uk
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