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The Zimbabwe Conundrum Part 3: The opposition
George
Ayittey, ZimOnline
September 14, 2009
http://www.zimonline.co.za/Article.aspx?ArticleId=5103
Read
Part 1
Read
Part 2
There have been
some 208 African heads of state since 1960 but one would be hard
pressed to name just 15 good leaders. Take this challenge yourself
and see if you can name me just 15 good leaders since independence.
Even if you can name me 20 good leaders that would mean the overwhelming
majority - over 90 percent - were utter failures.
Said the Nigerian
student, Akira Suni, "Almost without exception, they (African
leaders) are a big disgrace to humankind. Apart from indulging in
their usual foolish rhetoric, what have they done to satisfy even
the most basic needs of our people" (BBC News Talking Point,
April 16, 2001).
In an unusual
editorial, The Independent newspaper in Ghana wrote: "Most
of the leaders in Africa are power-loving politicians, who in uniform
or out of uniform, represent no good for the welfare of our people.
These are harsh words to use on men and women who may mean well
but lack the necessary vision and direction to uplift the status
of their people (The Independent, Ghana, July 20, 2000; p.2).
The slate of
post-colonial leadership in Africa has been a disgusting assortment
of military fufu-heads, "Swiss bank socialists," crocodile
liberators, quack revolutionaries, briefcase bandits and vampire
elites.
They amassed
power to do only three things: To loot the treasury, to squash all
dissent and to perpetuate themselves in office. The exceptions are
shamefully few.
Monumental
leadership failure
The crisis Africa
faces is one of monumental leadership failure. Ideology is not particularly
relevant. Both pro-West and pro-East leaders have failed their people.
Collectively, these leaders have been responsible for the deaths
of more than 18 million Africans since independence. This total
is more than what Africa lost through the slave trade - from
both the West and East African coasts.
According to
former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, corrupt African leaders
have stolen at least $140 billion from their people in the decades
since independence (London Independent, June 14, 2002. Web posted
at www.
independent.co.uk).
This type of
leadership is a far cry from that which Africans have known in their
own traditional systems for centuries. Name one African chief who
looted the treasury for deposit in a foreign bank.
"Despotism
does not inhere in the African tradition," said the famed
and late British economist, Lord Peter Bauer. Yet, they have become
commonplace in post-colonial Africa. As of today, of the 54 African
countries, only 16 are democratic: Benin, Botswana, Cape Verde Islands,
Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritius, Namibia, Nigeria,
Sao Tome & Principe, Senegal, Seychelles, South Africa and Zambia.
Even then, a
strict definition of democracy would eliminate some of them. Thus,
political tyranny is still the order of the day for the vast majority
of Africans.
Post-colonial
Africa
Despots have
proliferated in post-colonial Africa - not so much because
of their ingenuity but because of the nature and character of the
opposition forces arrayed against them. To be sure, African despots
are crafty evil geniuses with a lot of firepower at their disposal.
They are brutally
efficient at intimidation, terrorism and mass slaughter. Using bribery,
they easily co-opt their enemies with government positions and ministerial
appointments. They are also very adept at the diplomatic game.
However, according
to Newton-s Law of Physics, for every force in nature there
is a counter-force. A force dominates either because a counterforce
is non-existent or weak. African despots have prevailed for decades
because the forces of opposition against them are weak or no-existent.
These forces are in the main three:
1. The Intellectual/Professional
class - professors, lecturers, lawyers, doctors, soldiers,
students, etc.
2. Opposition
politicians,
3. Civil
society groups - editors, journalists, church groups, etc.
These groups,
collectively referred to as the chattering class, are often weak,
underfunded and argumentative. It is exceedingly difficult to unite
them for a common cause.
During the struggle
against colonialism, it was easy to unite them against white colonialists
but not against today-s black neo-colonialists, who are no
different - or even worse - in their brutal suppression
of popular aspirations for freedom.
The result is
a conundrum faced by many African countries: A failed leadership
that adamantly refuses to reform its abominable political and economic
systems to provide more freedom. And an array of opposition forces
that is too weak to push for change or reform.
But without
reform, the country will implode and descend into the vortex of
violence, chaos, and destruction: Somalia, Rwanda, Zaire, Liberia,
etc.
Virtually all
of Africa-s failed states would have been saved had their
leaders been willing to relinquish, share political power or implement
real political reform.
Of the forces
arrayed against African despots, the most stunningly disappointing
have been Africa-s academics, professors, scholars and intellectuals.
What is most amazing is that, there are professors with strings
of PhDs, including Agricometriology (the application of nuclear
technology to the cultivation of cassava), who can-t even
define "democracy" - let alone explain such concepts
as "rule of law," "accountability," or "transparency."
Intellectual
prostitutes
Many of these
African scholars and professors acted like intellectual prostitutes,
selling off their integrity, conscience and principles to hop into
bed with barbarous regimes. Then after being used and defiled, they
were tossed aside or worse.
On a continent
with nearly 900 million people, one would be hard-pressed to name
just 15 world-renowned African scholars, thinkers or intellectuals
who are in the forefront pushing for change or freedom in Africa.
A few come to
mind: Professor Wole Soyinka of Nigeria, Chinua Achebe of Nigeria,
Professor Ali Mazrui of Kenya, Nobel Laureates Nelson Mandela, Arch-Bishop
Desmond Tutu, and Professor Wangari Maathai.
Why so few?
It is because of intellectual prostitution and collaboration. In
Zimbabwe, examples of such intellectual prostitutes are legion -
Gideon Gono, Professor Jonathan Moyo, to name a few.
Civil society
groups have been hamstrung by repressive laws and restriction on
freedom of expression, freedom of assembly, freedom of movement
and press rubs. Such groups must be licenced by the government and
their licences can be revoked if they are too critical of the government.
Even then, they
must seek police permits before then can gather or hold a public
rally. Such a restriction may apply to political parties and prevent
them from holding political rallies.
In Uganda, for
example, a political party can legally be registered but it is illegal
to hold a political rally of more than 6 people. Imagine.
Suppressed
and traumatised
However, the
group that has been most brutally suppressed and traumatised in
Zimbabwe has been the journalists and editors of the independent
media.
Shortly after
independence in 1980, the Zimbabwe Mass Media Trust was set up to
buy out the country's five main newspapers. Mugabe argued that the
newspapers were owned by the South African Argus newspaper group
and that the news was racially biased. Nathan Shamuyarira, the Minister
of Information, declared that the purchase was motivated with a
"view to getting the right news through to the consumer".
Naturally.
In 2007, 27
years later, the suppression of the media had intensified under
strict media laws crafted by Professor Jonathan Moyo. In 2007, the
licence of the Weekly Times, an independent publication, was revoked.
The media commission's
chairman, Tafataona Mahoso, said the newspaper had produced coverage
whose "core values, convictions and overall thrust were narrowly
political, clearly partisan and even separatist, in contrast to
what had been pledged," according to an article announcing
the paper's closing on the front page of the state-controlled Herald
newspaper in Harare, the capital.
But editor Diggs
Dube called the closure of his paper "politically motivated"
and said it was intended to stifle debate in advance of the March
elections. "There's absolutely no freedom of the press"
in Zimbabwe, Dube said (The Washington Post, Feb 27, 2007; p.A24).
Zimbabwean journalists
have been beaten, tortured, killed and have had their offices bombed.
Many have fled into exile. The Mugabe government controls all television
and radio stations.
The
Opposition Parties
Quite frankly,
the state of opposition parties in Africa leaves much to be desired.
In many places in Africa, they are hopelessly fragmented, disorganised
and prone to squabbling.
In addition,
many opposition party leaders lack vision and are driven more by
personal ambition and lust for power than the cause for freedom.
Even worse, their choice of tactics is often extremely poor.
It is extremely
difficult and painful to criticise opposition leaders because of
brutalities and the threats to their lives which they have endured.
Many paid the ultimate price in their quest for freedom for their
people.
We all saw the
puffed face of Morgan Tsvangirai in 2008 after he was pummeled by
ZANU PF thugs. At least four attempts were made on his life. Earlier
this year he lost his wife, Susan, in what I don-t for a moment
believe was a "road accident."
Nonetheless,
the opposition in Zimbabwe has been hobbled by a slew of problems
which also beset other opposition forces elsewhere in Africa. The
MDC would be loathe to admit it but it has made some serious tactical
errors and miscalculations. They are mainly three:
1. The split
into two factions
2. Poor choice of tactics
3. GPA/GNU
1. The
split within the opposition camp
Nothing delights
a tyrant more than to see that the forces arrayed against him are
divided. It enables him to play one faction against the other, thereby
strengthening his grip on power.
Squabbling within
the MDC erupted into violence at the party-s Harvest House
headquarters in May, 2005. It subsequently led to a split of the
MDC into two factions: MDC-T (led by Tsvangirai) and MDC-M (led
by Professor Arthur Mutambara). This split spelt doom for opposition
politics in Zimbabwe which will take a log time to recover. Exactly
the same folly occurred in Kenya in 2007.
The Orange democratic
Movement (ODM) was formed out of a grassroots people's movement
to push the 2005 Kenyan constitutional referendum. It was poised
to challenge the corrupt and despotic rule of President Mwai Kibaki
in the December 2007 presidential elections. But in August 2007
- just four months before the vote - ODM split into
two: ODM-Odinga and ODM-Kenya. Imagine.
The elections
were held and stolen. Kibaki was sworn in barely two hours after
the fraudulent results were announced. Violence erupted in the streets.
Over 1 000 people were killed and more than 250 000 rendered homeless.
The same spectacle
was witnessed in Zimbabwe after the March 29, 2008 elections in
which the opposition presented a divided field.
This folly was
repeated in Gabon-s September 1, 2009 presidential election.
The process was rigged to ensure that the son of the late Omar Bongo,
who had ruled Gabon for 41 years succeeded his father. The son,
Ali Ben Bongo, "won" with 41 percent of the vote. His
nearest rival, Andre Mba Obame, a former interior minister, won
26 percent) votes and the third candidate, Pierre Mamboundou won
25 percent.
Obviously, if
the two opposition candidates had formed an alliance they would
have defeated the Bongo dynasty.
Entrenched
despot
No one single
individual or party can defeat an entrenched despot. It takes a
coalition or an alliance of opposition forces. Here is the mathematics
of it.
The despotic
incumbent always has some support, no matter how terrible his rule
has been because of ethnic loyalty and patronage. Assume that the
incumbent has only 30 percent popular support. This means that if
you field 10 opposition candidates, they will DIVIDE the opposition
vote and none of them will have enough to defeat the incumbent.
In the case
of Gabon, Ali Ben won with 41 percent of the vote, meaning if the
two opposition candidates had fielded one candidate, the alliance
candidate would have defeated him. I can tick off similar follies
elsewhere in Africa:
- In Kenya's
1992 election, for example. President Daniel arap Moi won with
only 37 percent of the vote over a divided field. The second place
candidate won 32 percent of the total. "President Daniel
arap Moi's Kenya National African Union won 1.5 million votes
in 1992, compared with a combined 3.5 million for the opposition"
(The Washington Times, June 22, 1995; p.A18). They repeated this
same folly in the December 1997 elections. Kenya's opposition
parties numbered 26, which fielded 13 presidential candidates
to challenge Moi. Imagine.
- In Benin's
1990 election (only a second runoff election defeated Mathieu
Kerekou) and in the Ivory Coast where 42 opposition parties were
registered in 1994, although there was some election rigging.
- In Tanzania,
12 opposition parties were formed to challenge the ruling CCM's
monopoly lock on power in 1994.
- In Zambia's
Dec 27, 2001, presidential elections, the ruling party's (MMD's)
presidential candidate, Levy Mwanawasa, won with just 29 percent
of the vote. "The 70 percent of voters who opposed Mr Mwanawasa
split their loyalty between 10 power-hungry rivals. The withdrawal
of one or two of them would have helped Mr Anderson Mazoka to
victory" (The Economist, Jan 5, 2002 ; p.38).
Beside playing
into the hands of the despot, an MDC split also confuses voters
and exacts a heavy public relations toll. Well-wishers, supporters
and sympathisers outside Zimbabwe - both foreign and African
- become baffled: Which split to support?
To be sure,
Mugabe is a monster but how can the MDC be taken seriously when
it itself is split? And if the MDC can-t resolve its own differences,
how can it resolve those with ZANU PF?
2. Poor
choice of tactics
The first rule
in any war is to "know the enemy". One must know the
strengths and weaknesses of the enemy and devise one-s strategy
accordingly. One does not fight an enemy on the turf on which he
is strongest. One exploits his weaknesses.
For example,
Africa-s despots concentrate their security forces in their
capital cities. Therefore, one does not call for mass protests in
the capital cities where the security forces are ensconced. A smart
strategy is that which stretches them geographically. Note that
all rebel insurgencies start from the countryside where security
forces are thinly spread.
Second, one
goes to battle PREPARED. Too often, opposition parties scramble
to take part in elections without an ounce of preparation. This
requires ensuring that the playing field is level; the electoral
commission is independent, all parties have access to the state
media, an access to polling stations are open and free, etc.
If these requirements
are not met, ALL - not just one or a few - all opposition
parties must boycott the elections. This has never been the case
in Zimbabwe, where, since 1985 Mugabe has controlled every aspect
of the electoral process.
Somehow the
MDC has an inexplicable and abiding faith in the capacity of ZANU
PF to reform itself. The MDC seems to believe, despite accumulated
evidence to the contrary, that it can reason with the ZANU PF torture
machine. One can-t reason with a rogue or a despot. Nor can
one play by the book when the other refuses to.
Needless to
say, time and again, the MDC finds itself outmaneuvered and snookered.
One perfect example is the constitution-making process. The MDC
bungled this badly.
Kariba
Draft
In Sept 2007,
representatives of the ruling ZANU PF and the two formations of
the opposition MDC met in secret at Lake Kariba and drafted a new
constitutional proposal, known as the Kariba
Draft. It was authored by Zanu PF's Patrick Chinamasa and Nicholas
Goche, MDC-T's Tendai Biti and MDC-M's Welshman Ncube.
The Kariba Draft
was referenced in the Global
Political Agreement (GPA) signed on Sept 15, 2008. Article 6
of the agreement establishes a 19-month constitution-making process.
All parties agreed to use the Kariba Draft as a reference document
or the basis for crafting a new constitution. On July 23, 2009,
the Joint Monitoring Implementation Committee or JOMIC reaffirmed
this position. Now the process is in tatters.
A huge brouhaha
erupted regarding the appropriateness and the adequacy of the Kariba
Draft. Signatories to the original document started backpedalling.
It split MDC-M. Civil society groups rejected the Kariba Draft for
not being "people-driven".
An attempt to
rectify this at an All-Stakeholders Conference on July 13 was disrupted
by ZANU PF thugs at the Harare International Conference Centre.
Volleys of abuses were hurled at the Speaker of Parliament Lovemore
Moyo and bringing the proceedings into complete chaos.
A hurriedly
convened conference on July 14 ended in failure. According to Clerk
of Parliament Austin Zvoma, this was due to delays in confirming
the budget by donors, late drafting of programmes, delays in the
invitation of principals and confirmation of dates.
Some 4 000 delegates
were invited, far exceeding the capacity to accommodate them. Some
even allegedly represented organisations that didn-t exist.
In any case, the Parliament-driven process is being rejected by
the National
Constitutional Assembly (NCA), the Zimbabwe
Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU) and the Zimbabwe
National Students Union (ZINASU). They convened Constitutional
Convention on July 27, 2009.
Meanwhile the
Parliament-driven process has ground to a halt because of disagreements,
infighting and a lack of funds. Munyaradzi Mangwana, a ZANU PF legislator
and co-chairperson of the parliamentary select committee, which
is spearheading the process, told the Zimbabwe Independent that
the constitution may not be completed until 2013. That means, elections
cannot be expected before 2013, which means four more years of suffering
and agony for the Zimbabwean people.
3. The
GPA/GNU fiasco
To resolve political
crises in Africa in recent years, various vehicles or modalities
have been tried. ALL these modalities entail some form of negotiations
in some kind of a forum. It must be clear who is going to negotiate
with whom: Between ZANU PF and the MDC or with the people? Every
effort must be made to ensure that the negotiations are not controlled
or hijacked by one party. Furthermore, decisions arrived at must
be "sovereign" or binding on all parties.
When these requirements
are met, then it can be said that the country crafted its own solution
to its problems or that the solution is "home-grown".
Did the GPA meet these requirements? The answer is a resounding
no!
The first obvious
problem was representation. The MDC can claim to be a coalition
of some civil society groups but it is not broadly representative
of Zimbabwean society. Church groups, students groups, women groups
were not represented in designing the GPA.
The GPA has
other problems as well. It was crafted outside the country and,
as such, can scarcely be called "home-grown". Further,
it is not sovereign; ZANU PF does not regard it as "binding".
Nor does it have enforcement mechanisms. Even worse was the solution
it proffered - the government of national unity (GNU).
The experience
with power-sharing in Africa in recent times is anything but salutary.
Essentially, power-sharing deals are a formula for joint state-sanctioned
plunder of the country. A "government of national unity"
(GNU) is often proposed to "bring opposition leaders into government".
A number of ministerial or government positions are reserved for
opposition or rebel leaders. But the formula seldom works.
Bitter squabbles
erupt over the distribution of government posts as nobody is satisfied
with the eventual distribution. Though a peace accord is an exercise
in "give and take," each side feels it is "stronger"
and should, therefore, be awarded more ministerial positions.
Resentment inevitably
builds over allocation of posts and the composition of the government
of national unity or reconciliation. Squabbling over posts may lead
to the resumption of hostilities and conflict again - Angola
in 1992, Congo in 1999, Sierra Leone in 2000, and Ivory Coast in
2004.
Backtracking
on agreements
More importantly,
African despots never honour agreements to which they append their
signatures. Their promises and signatures are just for show as they
lack sincerity or commitment. Even before the ink is dry, they start
backtracking on the agreements they have made. They may agree to
the creation of a post of prime minister but deprive it of power
or a budget to enable him to function. Recent African history abounds
with such examples.
Even when a
"government of national unity" (GNU) is eventually established,
it is short-lived. Angola-s GNU did not last for more than
six months in 1992. In South Africa, former president de Klerk pulled
out of the GNU after barely one year when apartheid was dismantled
in 1994. Congo-s GNU in 2003 created 4 vice-presidents but
did not bring peace to eastern Congo, especially the Bunia region.
Burundi-s civil war flared up in August 2003 again, despite
the establishment of a GNU, brokered by former president Nelson
Mandela and Ivory Coast-s GNU established in January 2003
collapsed in less than a year.
Sudan-s
GNU, brokered in Kenya in 2005 barely lasted a year. After battling
the tyrannical regime of President Omar el Beshir of Sudan, the
late John Garang of the Sudanese People Liberation Army (SPLA),
decided to join a GNU. The agreement was supposed to foster peace
by melding SPLM with the ruling party, the National Congress Party,
in a national unity government that would rule Sudan until multiparty
elections in 2009. But within nine months, he had perished in a
mysterious helicopter crash. Though the mystery was never solved,
his widow blamed the Beshir regime.
Six months later,
the rebel movement - now called Sudan People-s Liberation
Movement (SPLM) abruptly pulled out of the national unity government
on October 12, 2007. The former rebels said "the move was
intended to press Sudan-s ruling party to live up to the multifaceted
agreement, which has been hobbled by disputes over borders, troop
movements and sharing Sudan-s oil profits" (The New
York Times, Oct 12, 2007; p.A8).
Deal
floundering
Following Kenya-s
violent December 2007 elections in which 1 300 people perished,
a peace deal was reached and GNU created in February 2008. But that
deal has been floundering. The tribunal to try those suspected of
organising the violence is yet to be created.
Ominously, Prime
Minister Raila Odinga has been complaining bitterly that he has
been sidelined and excluded from major decision-making. He said
President Kibaki has the habit of "embarrassing" him
publicly by failing to consult him on important decisions. They
made an effort to reconcile in Kilaguni in April, 2009 but the fence
mending never got off the ground because the parties couldn-t
even agree on an agenda.
The bloated
government of 44 ministries and 53 assistant ministers has achieved
little in a year. On April 6, 2009, Justice Minister, Martha Karua,
one of Kibaki-s staunchest supporters, resigned, claiming
that she could not institute reforms.
Against this
backdrop, Zimbabwe-s GNU doesn-t stand a chance. First,
Mugabe-s ZANU PF shows no interest in living to the letter
of the GPA reached on September 15, 2008. There has already been
predictable squabbling over the distribution of government positions.
Article 20 of
the GPA stipulated 31 ministers and 15 deputy ministers, with 15
coming from ZANU-PF, 13 MDC-T and 3 MDC-M for a total of 46. The
most asinine GPA proposition was the joint control of the Home Affairs
ministry by ZANU PF and MDC-T.
However, Mugabe-s
ZANU PF set out to grab all the key and important ministries. It
was originally allocated 15 but seized 22 anyway. A furore erupted
and 15 additional ministries were created, bringing the total to
61. Still, Mugabe is still not satisfied and transferred major portfolio
powers from Communications Minister Nelson Chamisa of MDC-T to Transport
Minister Nicholas Goche of Mugabe's own ZANU PF party.
Confusion
reigns
Confusion reigns
over who got what and the GPA is not being adhered to. As soon as
Roy Bennett, the deputy Agriculture Minister, returned from exile
to take up his post, he was promptly arrested and charged with treason,
although he has subsequently been released but has not been sworn
in.
Farm invasions
are still continuing, as well as violence, abductions and murders.
And it is the police themselves and land officers and senators who
are going around illegally invading farms, looting and beating up
farm workers and farmers.
The MDC has
no real power to stop these crimes; nor the power to effect change.
It does not control any of the key institutions of the state -
the security forces, the civil service, the media, the judiciary,
etc.
Second, a Joint
Monitoring Implementation Committee or JOMIC was set up with the
mandate to monitor the implementation of the Global Political Agreement
and ensure that that Agreement is implemented to the fullest extent
possible in letter and spirit. But JOMIC started off without any
resources nor funding from the state. It has only skeletal office
or secretarial staff. Even then, JOMIC has no power of enforcement;
only an authority of persuasion.
Third, it is
unlikely the military generals, who vowed they will never accept
an MDC electoral victory, would support the unity government. Indeed,
hardliners in ZANU PF, Joint Operations Command (JOC), the military
and air force have reportedly formed a clandestine group, the Social
Revolutionary Council (SRC), which operates from the president-s
office with the aim of sabotaging the GPA. Its members include Defense
Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, State Security Minister Didymus Mutasa,
Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Governor Gideon Gono and the commanders
of the army and air force.
The Social Revolutionary
Council is said to be behind the recent wave of invasions of white-owned
commercial farms and the continued detention and harassment of officials
and activists of MDC-T.
4. The
role of SADC
The MDC is aware
of these problems and the deficiencies of GPA and GNU but blames
them on the Southern African Development Community (SADC), which
brokered the deal. This lame excuse doesn-t speak well of
the MDC. It makes the MDC look bad.
It portrays
the MDC as "unimaginative" and "incompetent"
- unable to craft its own "Zimbabwean solution"
and must depend on SADC. Worse, how in perdition can the MDC depend
on such a useless regional organisation? Does SADC understand the
"rule of law"? What has it said to condemn the violent
farm invasions and flagrant violations of human rights in Zimbabwe
the past 10 years?
In the post-colonial
period, regional organisations have never intervened in the resolution
of political crises in any African country. They are generally regarded
as "internal matters". Regional organisations have only
become involved in peacekeeping. Even then, their performance has
been fatuously execrable.
On June 2, 1993,
Nigeria's military government of General Sani Abacha, leader of
the ECOMOG forces dispatched a contingent of 2 000 Nigerian soldiers
to Sierra Leone to force the coup leaders to return power to Kabbah.
At the titanic battle between "armed buffoons" and coconut-heads,
the Nigerian soldiers had the worst of it and 300 of them were taken
prisoner! And in 2007, when African Union peacekeeprs came under
sustained rebel assault, they fled! And where is the AU in Somalia
or Congo DR?
SADC, of course,
has no such peacekeeping record; nor does it have experience in
political statecraft. Its original mandate is economic - to
promote economic integration and development among the southern
African states. Its budget is 70 percent aid-funded. It is mystifying
why the MDC should invest so much faith in SADC to craft a political
solution for Zimbabwe.
OPTIONS
FOR THE MDC
It is clear
that the current path (GPA/GNU) leads nowhere. The GNU is not working.
The intransigent ZANU PF regime won-t yield an inch. Running
back to SADC portrays the MDC as a "cry baby". Though
the MDC has brought some relief to the people, it has no power to
effect change. If it stays on this course, it will progressively
lose credibility and popularity. People cannot wait forever for
change. They can be patient and the Zimbabwean people have shown
an enormous fount of patience but there are limits to their patience
and time is running out.
The other option
for the MDC is to level with the Zimbabwean people and pull out
of the GNU. It is not working. And both factions of the MDC must
pull out of it. You can-t have a situation where one faction
pulls out and the other stays. The two factions should make renewed
efforts to unite. A joint convention should be held to choose a
new leader. This convention should be broadened to include other
civil society groups that hithertofore been excluded. A new strategy
must be crafted that is "home-grown," not one dictated
by outsiders. All those African countries that made successful transition
from autocracy to democracy used their own home-grown solutions.
These countries are Benin, Cape Verde Island, Sao Tome & Principe,
Malawi, South Africa and Zambia - the latter two being Zimbabwe-s
neighbours.
The wise learn
from the mistakes of others.
*George
B. N. Ayittey is Distinguished Economist in Residence in the Department
of Economics at American University in Washington DC. He received
his PhD from the University of Manitoba, and he is the author of
the books, Africa Unchained: The Blueprint for Development, Africa
in Chaos, The Blueprint for Ghana-s Economic Recovery, Africa
Betrayed, and Indigenous African Institutions. A contributor to
numerous scholarly volumes, Professor Ayittey-s articles have
been published in numerous journals.
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