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Keeping hope alive in time of cholera
Temba Nolutshungu
May 27, 2009
Nearly every country
in the world has experienced economic growth over the past decade,
even accounting for the current recession. Zimbabweans, however
have watched their income fall by more than two-thirds amid the
worst economic performance of all countries for which comparable
data exists. But they can still save their country, given a chance.
The good news is that
economic reforms have rapid results: its neighbours have all seen
the effect of opening trade in the last decade and Zimbabwe itself
was a big exporter only a few years ago. Every simplification of
tax and business regulations, every bolstering of contract law and
public safety has an almost immediate impact on individuals, families
and the economy.
Zimbabwe's long-running
cholera epidemic is just another symptom of obstinate and savage
oppression. Since 1998, the average life expectancy for Zimbabweans
has declined from 55 to 35. More than 80 percent of the adult population
is unemployed. Nearly half of all Zimbabweans are at risk of malnutrition
and starvation: eight million - twice the number of just a
few years ago - need food aid. Zimbabwe-s children suffer
the highest mortality, malnourishment and stunted growth of all
sub-Saharan Africa.
The Zimbabwe
Human Rights NGO Forum has chronicled more than 20,000 human
rights violations including 3,000 acts of torture since 2001. Instead
of protecting the public from violence, Zimbabwe-s security
forces have mainly protected the ruling clique and visited violence
on the public.
Little wonder, then,
that thousands flee across the borders into Botswana and South Africa,
and thousands more are turned back every day: about a third of the
population. lives abroad.
Zimbabwe-s leaders
claim it is all the fault of British colonialists, not oppression,
reckless spending, taxes, business restrictions and inflation. In
the hackneyed but apt phrase, the region's breadbasket has been
turned into a basket-case, crushing the hopes of millions.
But Zimbabwe is not a
hopeless case: it has the entrepreneurs, the miners, the farmers,
the education and even a few remaining public servants of a prosperous
country. Its neighbours are friendly and it has made a huge step
forward by allowing foreign currencies to replace its hyper-inflated
currency.
It now needs to curb
government spending and restore economic freedoms to liberate every
productive worker from the strangling regulations and taxes that
have pushed most economic activity underground.
The International Finance
Corporation estimates that it takes 96 days to start a business
in Zimbabwe, 481 days to comply with licences and another 30 days
to register a property. Making it artificially difficult to start
a new enterprise makes it harder to offer employment - and
even the cost of hiring an employee equivalent to 14 times the country-s
average salary. Capital requirements for new companies have merely
discouraged Zimbabweans and driven them outside the formal economy.
Developing countries
that deliberately lowered trade barriers in the 1990s grew three
times faster (five percent annually) than those whose trade policies
remain unchanged. Zimbabwe, by contrast, restricted international
trade. It currently ranks 7th worst on the World Bank-s Trade
Restrictiveness Index. Reducing the 30 days required to prepare
documents for export or the 42 days required for import would immediately
give entrepreneurs that chance to compete.
Seizures of white-owned
farms by politicians dominate headlines but the sad reality is that
property rights for everyone, whether for small land parcels or
businesses, have been smashed. Most Zimbabweans cannot get formal
title deeds, even those who were given land stolen from others.
Unable to enforce or trade property rights, the poor cannot get
credit to improve their land and productivity.
The tried and proven
lesson for improving trade, business formation, employment and land
registration is simple: simplify, simplify, simplify.
But simplicity is not
that easy. A powerful and intimidating minority benefits from the
system that caused this mess--but at some point in the near future,
the dominance of the ZANU-PF party will weaken then crumble and
make way for reform. Those reformers must be ready with the proven
policies that have worked elsewhere and can work for Zimbabwe.
Unlike North Korea or
Myanmar, Zimbabwe has many artisans, farmers, business people, judges,
civil servants and even policemen who remember how a successful
country works and how to put it back together again.
* Temba
A Nolutshungu is one of the Commissioners of "The
Zimbabwe Papers - A Positive Agenda for Zimbabwean Renewal,"
published by nine of Africa-s leading think-tanks on 19 May.
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