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How
to rebuild a collapsed economy and become competitive again
Greg
Mills, Business Report
April 24, 2009
http://www.busrep.co.za/index.php?fArticleId=4949537&fSectionId=2880&fSetId=662
What might a road map
to a more competitive Zimbabwe look like? There is little use focusing
on those reforms that are easy, since they will likely deliver less.
A successful Zimbabwe competitiveness recipe would need to prioritize
action on six key tenets:
Tax
reform
The challenges
of widening Zimbabwe's tax base and income, increasing formal employment
and attracting investors all have one common solution - tax reform.
That basically requires a simplified tax administration, fewer tax
categories and low, flat tax rates. Eliminating taxes on savings,
capital gains, and dividend and interest income would encourage
liquidity and investment.
Trade
and tourism access
Zimbabwe is
not able to compete by using its human capital advantage without
opening up access - to both trade and people. The costs of trade
are not just about tariffs, but also the costs of delays of goods
at the border and the paperwork involved.
An ambitious, forward-looking
agenda would quickly remove all import and export quotas and tariffs.
(After all, what remaining industry is Zimbabwe seeking to protect?)
It would also dramatically
simplify import and export procedures, so that it would never take
longer than 10 days to import or export an item.
Worthwhile tourism should
similarly be boosted by scrapping visas for all countries with a
per capita annual income of more than US$10 000 (R89 750).
Food
security and diversity
Current schemes
focus largely on short-term donor financing of inputs, notably seed
and fertiliser. This is both economically and socially costly, not
least because it removes personal incentives and competes with private
business. The government should back private sector-led extension
services: first in communal land and later on so-called "purchase"
(smallholding) land. This would enable Zimbabwe to quickly achieve
food self-sufficiency and security and reduce reliance on donors.
Such private sector-led schemes have been successful elsewhere in
southern Africa , notably Mozambique.
Public
service reform and deregulation
The objectives
of a reform package should be to streamline and enhance the quality
of public services, thereby reducing the burden on the already weak
government (and overburdened people) by reducing regulations, licences
and permits.
This would also decrease
the opportunities for corruption. A new licensing law should cut
back drastically on bureaucratic procedures, creating a "single
window" for applications; and accelerate processing by adopting
the "silence is consent" principle - meaning that if officials
do not respond to an application within a specified period, that
will be taken as approval for the application.
Empowering
labour
The aim of legislation
should be to encourage new entrants into the formal labour market.
This has all sorts of advantages, political and economic, from increasing
the size of the decimated middle class to boosting bankability.
Since wages and formal employment levels have declined so markedly,
there should be no minimum wage, a la Singapore and Georgia. This
would also offer a competitive advantage in attracting investment
into labour intensive industries relative to neighbouring countries,
notably South Africa.
Monetary
policy and sound banking
Currency value
is one way to ensure greater competitiveness. Dollarisation has
brought an end to hyperinflation but has led to a crisis of liquidity.
So credit lines must somehow be opened up immediately. Then the
government must try to switch from dollarisation to "randisation"
of the economy, because of the greater availability of rands.
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