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What-s
more free than a free for all
Prespone
Matawira
March 01, 2009
This is the
first article in the Chii
Chirikuita (What-s Up?) series
In Harare now, some say
heaven can be found in the middle class suburbs of Arundel, Borrowdale
and the Avenues. This heaven comes in the form of Spar supermarket
and the queues of people waiting to get through the metal gates
are long. After all, "Spar is good for you"!
Once inside you would
be forgiven for thinking you are in any South African Supermarket.
A walk down the aisle will land you ricotta cheese for $1.10; oven
baked chips at $3.90; Flame grilled honey and mustard chicken breasts,
$5.60 . . . anything and everything can be found here. People
navigate their way up and down the aisles their shopping carts rolling
on the well oiled wheels of "hard currency".
If you do not have mausa
or marand, you are not permitted to enter heaven. In fact currently
in Zimbabwe, if you do not have the US dollar or South African rand,
there is very little you can do.
Venturing out of Harare,
rural women run a roadside equivalent of a US dollar store. They
sell home-grown fresh produce to get forex. The vegetables are stacked
in piles, each valued at a dollar: 5 bunches of Muriwo (collard
greens); 6 tomatoes; 4 green mealies; 15 small mapudzi (squash);
1 large pumpkin, a big bag of groundnuts.
While the price is quoted
in dollars, seeing me ruffle through Rands in order to pay for the
giant pumpkin, the seller, Moreblessing, quietly says "10
Rand". There is no longer an exchange rate. 1 dollar = 10
rand.
When the deal is done,
Moreblessing tells me she needs to get foreign currency. That will
buy her and her children a future. "I don-t want to
talk about politics" she tells me.
While she may not know
that Morgan Tsvangirai is now the new Prime Minister, Moreblessing
and many people like her, in rural and urban Zimbabwe are equally
aware of the limitations and precariousness of the Zimbabwean currency
caused by stratospheric inflation, unstable exchange rates and the
inability of people to get their money out of the banks.
Gradually then, Zimbabweans
began trading in hard currency on the parallel market. In order
to attract foreign currency back into the official market and reign
in inflation, the central bank licensed some retailers, mostly multinationals,
to charge for services in foreign currency. (Although no one will
admit it, currently dollarisation is the greatest threat to "national
sovereignty" in Zimbabwe!)
But if the Zim dollar has led us to a dead-end, dollarisation has
acted as a form of collective hypnosis. It-s created an illusion
of possibility and freedom. If only you have the hard currency,
anything is possible. All people have to do is get with the programme.
At first glance this
has its merits. Its true. US dollars can buy you access to . . .
Spar, to wealthier, healthier, more comfortable lives. But there
are also problems here, for the one does not automatically translate
into the other. Freedom for the mighty is slavery for the weak and
dollarisation only exacerbates this position. It-s kind of
like capitalism beyond control.
While some Zimbabweans revel in the availability of basic and luxury
commodities, the devil lies silently in the detail. Dollarisation
is backfiring in the same way that the floatation of exchange rates
back in May 2008 accelerated the collapse of the Zimbabwe dollar.
For some dollarisation has translated into greater deprivation and
a rising sense of injustice.
Economists argue that dollarisation can result in a rapid rise in
the price of commodities which in turn results in a sharper increase
in levels of poverty. This trend is already apparent. There has
been an accelerated inflation of the US dollar in Zimbabwe, which
is now estimated at more than 50%, compared to 5.3% in the US. What
does this mean in reality? It means that the prices of everything
sold in US dollars in Zimbabwe is four to five times higher than
in South Africa or other countries with convertible currencies.
The anesthesia created by dollarisation has also erased the fact
that with an estimated 80% unemployment, foreign earnings capacity
is less than 5% of the population. Of course cross border trading
is rampant and besides remittances from the diaspora, there is very
little other evidence to suggest that the majority of Zimbabweans
have access to foreign currency.
So it is logical that
the effect will be a natural and legitimate demand by those who
are employed to be paid in foreign currency. This demand gained
even more traction after the February 11th inauguration speech by
Prime Minister, Morgan Tsvangirai, when he boldly committed to pay
150 000 civil servants in foreign currency until the economy is
stabilised. These empty promises are a brand of very dangerous populism.
Where this money is going to come from is anyone-s guess.
But for now, the current
situation presents even more challenges for an already exhausted
and abused people. Not only does the country not have the foreign
currency reserves, but the banking system itself is largely not
a US dollar depository. This means foreign currency circulation
will fall outside the banking system which has the potential to
ignite another banking crisis, as all Zim dollar accounts are now,
de facto, frozen.
But as the cycle goes,
with nearly everyone, licensed or not, attempting to sell goods
and services in US $, what-s more free than a free for all?
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