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Talks, dialogue, negotiations and GNU - Post June 2008 "elections" - Index of articles
A paralysed ego and Zimbabwe talks on a bus to nowhere
Rejoice
Ngwenya, Afrik.com
October 22, 2008
http://en.afrik.com/article14739.html
Failure to reach an agreement
is a serious indictment on Mbeki-s ability to produce favourable
political results when it matters most. He is simply not a tough
negotiator.
Most political analysts
agree that events leading to Mbeki-s ouster deflated his ego,
and by the time a High Court judge pronounced his guilt of manipulating
the process to trash Jacob Zuma, Mr. Mbeki was all too eager to
surrender. If he could not handle Jacob Zuma, walking into the furnace
of Zimbabwe-s deadly political courtyard is what they call
in American wrestling a high risk manoeuvre, especially if one-s
political reputation is already under scrutiny.
Tough
nuts against ghosts of the past
The three parties in
Zimbabwe-s political wild fire are all tough nuts to crack,
and anyone who approaches them with ecumenical overtones is bound
to fail.
Robert Mugabe is single-handedly
credited with destroying one of the biggest political brand names
in Africa - Joshua Nkomo and his Patriotic Front - Zimbabwe
African People-s Union PF- ZAPU. In December 1987, Joshua
Nkomo ceded his political constituency to a grinning Mugabe who
promptly erased the ZAPU logo and swallowed the entire national
PF-ZAPU structure. A token gesture of vice-presidential posts and
meaningless Home Affairs ministerial appointments is what Nkomo
managed to salvage to pacify his hapless supporters.
Incidentally, current
power-sharing talks have evoked ghosts of the 1987 Unity Accord
where so-called PF-ZAPU representatives in Mugabe-s current
political arrangement fear for their future. Vice president John
Msika, John Nkomo, Simon Khaya-Moyo, Sithembiso Nyoni, Angeline
Masuku and Sikhanyiso
Ndlovu are alleged to be insisting that a new power sharing deal
should respect the 1987 Unity Accord for their inclusion in critical
security ministries. Others like Enos Nkala, Dumiso Dabengwa, Mabhena,
and Edward Ndlovu had already seen the light and abandoned Mugabe-s
gluttonous ZANU-pf. It is unlikely that Thabo Mbeki has the depth
and canny ability to handle such complexities.
On the other hand, Morgan
Tsvangirai is a seasoned campaigner for political rights. Between
1980 and now, out of the ten or so individuals who have tried unsuccessfully
to challenge Mugabe-s hegemonic tyranny, Tsvangirai can be
said to be the most successful. The list of Mugabe-s political
scalps includes, as indicated above, Joshua Nkomo, the late Ndabaningi
Sithole, and the late Justice Dumbutshena, Edgar Tekere, Margaret
Dongo, the late Kempton Makamure and Wurayayi Zembe. Others are
too insignificant for inclusion in this treatise.
Tsvangirai-s
force
Tsvangirai stands out
prominent, in that in all subsequent Presidential and Parliamentary
elections since 2000, his Movement for Democratic Change can be
said to have won had it not been for Mugabe-s chicanery. Thus
Mbeki has to contend with a man who has brought Mugabe to the negotiating
table. In more ways than one, the 29 March 2008 electoral majority
proved that Tsvangirai, not Mugabe, should be head of class.
It is said Thabo Mbeki
is an intellectual of world acclaim, but he is certainly not in
the orbit of Professor Arthur Mutambara, head of the other MDC formation.
Many defeatists had predicted that Mutambara would collapse before
crossing the finishing line, but as you read this article; his formation
is a major king-maker in the New House of Assembly.
Mutambara has survived
a torrent of infectious criticism and personal insults mainly from
Tsvangirai-s legion of global extremists whose only knowledge
of democracy is to spell the word. In fact, had Tsvangirai acceded
to Mutambara-s pre-29 March overtures for electoral collaboration,
Mugabe-s political constituency would now have shrunk to near
insignificance. Mutambara-s ability to balance intellectual
rational and political sense has made him a survivor, and it is
hard to even perceive how Mbeki would have gotten through Tsvangirai
without Mutambara-s mediation.
Mbeki-s
failure
And so if Mbeki had been
as good as SADC would have make us believe, he would have dismissed
Mugabe-s claim to authority with contempt. In simple terms,
he should have reminded Mugabe that losing a not so free and fair
election in March, a whittled Parliamentary majority and shameful
reputation cannot give a man competitive advantage in political
negotiations.
Unfortunately, Mbeki,
who will have to be eternally grateful to former defence minister
Mosiuoa Lekota for hedging his political career, had no guts and
so Mugabe still has the leeway to play big man, much to the chagrin
of bemused Zimbabweans.
*Rejoice
Ngwenya is regular columnist for African Liberty. He heads the leading
reformist group, Coalition for Market and Liberal Solutions in Harare,
Zimbabwe.
Please credit www.kubatana.net if you make use of material from this website.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License unless stated otherwise.
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