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This article participates on the following special index pages:
2008 harmonised elections - Index of articles
MDC pull out from presidential run-off election - Index of articles
The
legality of Tsvangirai-s withdrawal from the election
Alex Magaisa
June 25, 2008
In what is a bizarre
circumstance of this electoral season, President Mugabe and ZANU
PF insist that Morgan Tsvangirai, the MDC leader, must stand in
the run-off election, when the latter-s withdrawal might have
been expected to be cause for celebration on their part.
Why, it has to be asked,
would a contestant given free room to achieve what he most desires,
insist on retaining his opponent-s participation? The same
opponent that has been lambasted as a stooge and non-entity; the
same character to whom they declared without equivocation that they
would not concede; the same man whom they have said would 'never,
ever rule Zimbabwe- - why then, the question remains,
plead to the heavens for his participation when everything pointed
to the futility of any outcome in his favour?
How does one contest
against someone who considers himself so omnipotent that he declares
God to be his only worthy opponent? Tsvangirai simply decided he
was unable to take part in this 'Holy War-.
MDC-s
Moral Leverage
It is not hard, of course,
to understand ZANU PF-s discomfort and to appreciate that
the MDC-s decision has had far more impact than could have
been imagined. When I wrote in these pages a few weeks ago, it was
to warn the MDC to prepare for the 'worst case scenario-
where by a short, sharp and swift process, Mugabe would be declared
winner after June 27. That outcome was as clear as the sunrise over
the majestic Eastern Highlands of Zimbabwe. The decision taken on
Sunday to withdraw from the run-off has pre-empted that worst case
scenario, literally catching ZANU PF off-guard, hence the panic.
The worry in ZANU PF
circles is simple. Now that this has become a one-horse race resulting
from the circumstances of its own making, the outcome will be no
more than what has been known since Roman Times as a 'Pyrrhic
Victory- - a win that comes at great cost to the victor.
Mugabe and ZANU PF are well aware that a one-horse contest will
deliver a hollow victory; one that is devoid of legitimacy, a result
that not even their own compromised conscience could allow them
a decent nap.
But this is less about
the MDC decision, which was arrived at, I am told, after serious
consideration of prevailing events and consequences. It is the reaction
of ZANU PF and some of the legal interpretations that have been
proffered to allegedly render the withdrawal unlawful and of no
force or effect.
First, that they have
gone to great lengths to attempt to water-down the withdrawal is,
itself, an indication that it has had an effect. In any other contest
where an opponent withdraws, the contestant would be happy enough
to go through with a walk-over. Here, though, we see the desire
for a fight, because it would provide a measure of legitimacy to
the process, especially having already lost in the first round.
The reaction to Tsvangirai-s withdrawal betrays a certain
weakness on the part of Mugabe - that deep down; behind the
camouflage of bravado and buck-swashing arrogance, there is a very
vulnerable and sensitive soul.
Tsvangirai-s
Entitlement to Withdraw
Second, it appears preposterous
to say that Tsvangirai is legally not entitled to withdraw from
the run-off election as has been suggested in some circles. Why
not? Since when have citizens become prisoners of the law, unable
to exercise their free will in an election?
The key provision
under the Electoral
Act is Section 110(4), which states:
"In a
second election held in terms of subsection (3) only the two candidates
who received the highest and next highest numbers of valid votes
cast at the previous election shall be eligible
to contest the election" (added emphasis).
To my mind,
the operative word here is eligibility to contest. The word 'eligible-
is not defined under the Electoral Act, so we turn to the ordinary
meaning as given in the dictionary. The Cambridge Advanced Learner-s
Dictionary defines eligible as, 'having the necessary
qualities or fulfilling the necessary conditions-.
But eligibility does not mean that you must take
part in the process. It simply means you meet the necessary conditions
but you can choose not to take part.
Take by way of example
the fact that every person above the age of 18 years is eligible
to register and vote in elections. It does not mean every person
who is 18 years or above is forced to register or to vote. Some
can and often do choose to withhold their vote. In other words,
eligibility does not make participation fixed and mandatory.
To take another example,
those who qualify from the competitive heats are eligible to contest
in the 100 Meters final of the Olympics. One of them, say, the record
holder and defending champion might at that stage choose to withdraw
from the final race. He is entitled to withdraw, even though he
was eligible. The eventual winner might not get the same satisfaction
that he would have earned from beating the defending champion but
that cannot be reason to compel an eligible participant to take
part, especially when he has good reason to withdraw.
Both Tsvangirai and Mugabe
are 'eligible- to contest the run-off election in terms
of S. 110(4). But they are certainly not obliged to do so. Tsvangirai
has chosen, rightly or wrongly, not to participate and nothing can
force him to contest against his will.
Questions
over Participation in Swearing in of Parliament
However, in keeping with
the approach of maintaining scrutiny over those who might form the
government in the not-too-distant future, there is another issue
which we must place on the table and ask whether the MDC has seriously
considered it in the context of the big picture. Because, in that
matter, the interests of the collective might conflict with the
selfish desires of the individuals.
Now that Mugabe
will undoubtedly retain Presidential office, albeit devoid of legitimacy,
what will the MDC do in relation to matters of Parliament? It is
common knowledge that the MDC won the combined elected majority
of both chambers of Parliament - House of Assembly and the
Senate. Logically, they would want to retain that parliamentary
power, although it will soon be diluted when Mugabe-s 33
Factor comes into effect - 18 Chiefs already in place,
10 Governors and 5 direct appointees.
The problem
here is that in terms of the skewed Constitution
the commencement of the Parliamentary tenure is predicated on the
assumption of office by the newly elected President. Section 63(4)
of the Constitution provides that the period of tenure of parliament
is deemed to commence on the day the person elected as President
enters office. The President will conduct ceremonial duties when
Parliament is first sworn in.
The net effect is that
the participation of Mugabe in the process will have symbolic importance
which the MDC must now seriously consider. Could the participation
of the MDC parliamentarians in the process be considered a symbolic
acknowledgement of Mugabe-s legitimacy as President? If so,
this would fly in the face of the decision to withdraw in order
to diminish the legitimacy of the process and outcome of the run-off
election?
It may be argued in defence
of participation that the Parliamentary and Presidential elections
are two different matters but that is tantamount to splitting hairs
and overlooking the bigger picture. It is hardly my place to advise
the MDC on what it should do but it suffices to highlight the potential
conundrum.
Sure enough the MDC is,
forgive the use of the old cliché, caught between a rock
and a hard place. Such participation might be interpreted as recognising
Mugabe-s presidency, which would appear inconsistent with
the approach it has taken regarding the run-off election. But failure
to participate could mean that the MDC Parliamentarians are not
duly sworn in and may not be able to take part in the business of
Parliament. The MDC might end up losing what leverage it had in
Parliament. Yet, still, refusal to participate would not only be
consistent with its approach to the run-off election, but it would
also deal a further symbolic blow to any claims of legitimacy that
Mugabe and ZANU PF might still lay claim to.
Whichever direction this
matter takes, Zimbabwe-s political future could not be more
uncertain. The MDC made a bold decision, which, contrary to other
suggestions, it is perfectly entitled to make. The greater question
is the resolve with which it will stand by its decision. Care should
be taken not to take decisions that might be considered as flip-flopping
on this matter. One of the first great tests will be the MDC reaction
towards the swearing in of Parliament, an event at which Mugabe-s
symbolic presence will be visible and significant.
Meanwhile, Mugabe has
said that only God will remove him from the throne. One here is
reminded of the old saying that those whom the gods wish to destroy,
they first deprive of their faculties.
But I do not, for a moment,
suggest that God has anything to do with the current madness.
Alex Magaisa
is based at The University of Kent Law School and can be contacted
at wamagaisa@yahoo.co.uk
or a.t.magaisa@kent.ac.uk
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