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Zimbabwe's run-off a chance for change or a costly detour?
Christopher Gevers, Idasa
May 20, 2008

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Following weeks of uncertainty regarding the outcome of Zimbabwe-s Presidential election, there is now both an official result as well as a date fixed for the second round. The final result saw Tsvangirai edge ahead of the incumbent Mugabe by 47% to 43%, but not with the outright majority required to avoid a second round. The run-off is now scheduled to take place on 27 June 2008. In the intervening period, the economy has further deteriorated and disturbing reports of politically motivated violence have emerged amidst the deployment of security forces throughout the country. Given these prevailing conditions, the question must be asked: Can the country afford the cost - both economic and human - of another round of elections? Put differently, how does the upcoming electoral round fare in a cost-benefit analysis?

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