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Zimbabwe:
The role of neighbors, Mozambique and Angola, as opposed to that
of the SADC and AU Leadership.
Andrew
M Manyevere
January 31, 2008
Looking at events at
home compels for more analysis to provoke world opinion to prevail
on AU do and take action that resonate with the tenets of democracy
and human rights respect. Too much smoke screen is being done and
shown by some leaders of Africa which begin showing why the AU cannot
make sound economic decision when called upon to do so. My short
paper challenges for deeper thinking on the role of Mozambique and
Angola on politics of development in African. Might it be that some
of our leaders have vested interests of their 'masters', and do
they deserve being leaders anyway? This question keeps coming at
every stage when Africans make efforts which are undermined from
within.
As Africa goes towards a meeting this week we need show our disgust
and disapproval despite what might be done. My paper is one such
attempt if you will give it support as an idea than a person writing.
Obviously President Mbeki
of South Africa has shown he has a human heart and feels for ordinary
Zimbabweans in a quest to have Robert Mugabe and Morgan Tsvangirai
meet face to face outside Zimbabwe. After he lost party presidential
elections to Zuma and his quiet acceptance of defeat, Thabo Mbeki
has emerged a mature democrat after all, much to the surprise of
many Zimbabweans.
The preponderance to this shift needs understanding of its cause
and effects. Mainly the home issues political wise have made Thabo
Mbeki realize his stance on both quiet diplomacy and no push on
Mugabe, as vote losing areas despite that his time was none renewable
for another term of presidents. But the learning curve in Mbeki
and his desire to create a plain political field shall be remembered
as a worthwhile political effort in resolving Zimbabwe political
impasse.
As a mater of fact the African Union shall never remain the same
again now that division on militarallism as opposed to pure democratic
methods has surfaced and chalked AU to look at solving Zimbabwe
problem. Record shall exonerate Mbeki and have AU held as negligent
and careless to attending intra political issues of sister states
on the continent.
We must ask why AU is rendered impotent after having transposed
from Organization of African Unity (OAU) at the close of the 1900s
with the demise of colonial rule on Africa, emerging to a post-colonial
era instrument for peace and development, the African Union (AU)?
Might it be that leadership is becoming more and weaker on matters
of addressing maturity to true values of democracy? Could it also
be that the radical states in Africa with limited democratic practice
to show and account for dislike on Political developments that have
taken place in Zambia, Malawi, South Africa and Tanzania where relative
stability is being based on second and third term elections of new
presidents into power?
Let-s take a brief look at the two neighboring countries to
Zimbabwe which took a veto on an idea of dialogue between Mugabe
and Tsvangiarai on a face to face.
Mozambique and Angola both became independent from Portugal in 1975
in the months of 25 June and 11 November respectively. They were
free after an intense war of liberation between colonial rulers
and the natives. Mozambique changed leadership effectively in December
2004 when President Chissano stepped down for the current incumbent
President Amando Guebuza. Otherwise when the first president of
Mozambique Samora Machael died from a plane accident the constitutional
succession was Joaquem Chissano.
Angola on another hand has had one president from 1975 to this day,
Jose Eduardo Dos Santos is still the president. He had indicated
that the country would have elections in 2006 without follow up.
He again made an indication for elections to be held in 2007 to
no avail. Still people hope something may happen in 2008 even though
some strong speculation are pointing to 2009 as the possible year
of elections for Angola. Real differences between Dos Santos and
Mugabe politically is not substantial, no wonder why Angola veto
has been recorded to foil Zimbabwe assent to democratic rule.
Looked at in the context of Southern Africa and the revolutionary
zeal, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Mozambique and Angola are the states
where war was fought prior to attainment of independence. Tanzania
and Zambia were the backbone to the thrust of the armed struggle
and its success in the countries that successfully waged some liberation
military struggle against the ruling settler masters.
The radical dispensation is therefore fairly shared among those
who led the moral and financial support to the war allowing their
grounds to be used for the war to succeed. They were as well part
of the struggle just like the countries that faced attacks from
Rhodesia, Portugal and South Africa. Their countries were invaded
and their citizens shared the loss of life just like Zimbabweans,
Angolans and Mozambique-s then did.
There could therefore be no justified reason of the two pretending
to be the most radical if not an arrangement within the SADC political
ploy to thwart true democratic process in the region. It is honesty
to observe that of all the leadership in the SADC sub region, Mozambique
and Angola shares the weakest personalities with no strong position
on a case of democracy. Dos Santos does not just believe in change
of those who achieved independence from colonial masters. He loathes
the idea of worker movement taking means of power and production.
This however is a strong indictment against the sincerity of the
African so-called socialism and communism when it rejects its pillars
as support for proletarians and workers assenting to power.
Amando Guebuza is a quasi socialist who does not hold strong views
on anything really than parroting his predecessors. Chissano having
been the best man at Mugabe wedding to Grace Marufu in the 1990s
has strong sentiments that go beyond worship of Mugabe as a super
hero in Zimbabwe politics. It can be understood therefore that these
two countries would stage a veto against general stance that would
see Africa radically change her passive role to tyrannism and assuming
a strong mediatory and intercessory position. Both these two countries
are stooges to American influence no doubt and somewhat show the
side where their bread is buttered by.
Mbeki leadership might have its weakness but he still is African
at heart and has made certain stance which have disturbed the western
nations contrary to these two nations, for example, his denying
that aids was a disease but an implant by western society. Our good
friends do not appear to hold any views beyond demonizing their
people for wanting multi political parties to take over power from
the ruling parties.
Zimbabwe political answers are a matter that rests with the AU now.
With all that the world now knows on Zimbabwe and the intransigence
of President Robert Mugabe to shift from power whether a Zanu-pf
successor takes over or not; should Africa endorse the veto by two
minor countries on the voice of democracy denied to Zimbabweans
people? Why did AU ever endorse mediatory initiative if she did
not have plan number two? Should we consider that if the initiative
fails the AU would bless armed struggle by Zimbabweans to remove
a leader who cannot listen to his AU council through the SADC machinery?
On another hand can South Africa act unilaterally and impose sanctions
if Africa would not support stronger measures to have free and fair
elections done in Zimbabwe?
While Zimbabweans can solve their own political problems, all they
ask for is a fair comment on the wrongs and the source thereof.
Restraint on those who support the government arbitrarily should
be cast away and the truth revealed in the interest of establishing
permanent features for democracy. The case of China support for
Zimbabwe on military hardware is a case of unnecessary and poor
reason for offering help. The case of South Africa loaning Zimbabwe
money without ask for concessions that lead to problem resolving,
plays against the spirit of cooperation but for Mugabe oppressing
his fellow men with iron feasted approach. Honesty more than anything
else from anyone is what is needed for Zimbabweans to come to a
solution.
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