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The
state of the MDC in Zimbabwe
Eddie
Cross
December 23, 2005
I have deliberately
been fairly quiet on the evolution of the crisis in the MDC since
October when the first cracks appeared. The main reason for this
was that I was waiting to see how events played themselves out while
trying to ascertain exactly what is going on. From day one it was
clear that there was more to this internal crisis than at first
met the eye.
My own personal
views were well known from the start on the Senate issue - I was
against participation for a wide range of reasons. Like others I
was shocked and surprised by the acrimonious debate and the split
decision in October at the National Council meeting. Then, while
we waited for reconciliation and a resumption of business as usual
in the MDC, far from the situation improving we were spectators
of a game where both sides were guilty of "sledging". For non-cricketers
this a term is used to describe a situation in a game of cricket
where one side or one person, by word and deed, denigrates the opposition.
The debate left the majority of us confused and unhappy.
It is quite
clear now that the real agenda had little to do with the Senate
race and everything to do with the issue of how to approach the
question of securing progress on the change and recovery agenda
in Zimbabwe. It is now clear to all - even Zanu PF, that there will
be no progress until Mugabe goes. That he wants to go is no secret
- just today the local pink paper headlined that "Mugabe seeks a
safe exit." By safe they mean that he wants to go when he is satisfied
that his position after relinquishing power is still secure. No
Saddam Hussein trial for him. His colleagues are equally anxious
to ensure that when he goes - the whole edifice of Zanu PF and it's
control of power does not simply wobble and collapse.
They are not
fools - they well know that they are hated throughout the country
and that they could never win a free and fair election on a level
playing field. They also know what lies ahead for them if the situation
does get out of hand.
The group that
attempted an internal coup against Morgan Tsvangirai in October
was and is of the opinion that if the Zanu PF cannot be defeated
in an election and that they cannot be overthrown by a popular uprising,
then the only way forward is a "deal". It is quite clear that such
a deal has been thrashed out and agreed and that this operation
is well under way - with considerable international support.
The dilemma
for this group is that they do not command sufficient support inside
the MDC to control the grass roots of the Party where Morgan Tsvangirai
remains an icon and has massive support across the country. Morgan's
great strength has always been his ability to touch the "common
man". When he realized that he was the subject of a carefully planned
and co-ordinated strategy to remove him from the MDC, Morgan turned
back to the streets.
Since October
he has toured the country tirelessly, walking among people in markets,
holding rallies and meetings of Party loyalists to explain what
he feels is happening and why he has decided to stay with the course
he set in 2000. At that time he argued that the MDC had come into
being to confront Zanu PF - not to compromise with Zanu PF. He sees
the present conflict as a choice between these two poles.
I have supported
Morgan throughout this trauma - many of my friends and colleagues
have not and I am saddened by that, but it does not change my view
that he is the only political leader with the trust and support
of the majority - in Zimbabwe, that means, the poor, disadvantaged
majority.
When I worked
for three years in the early sixties among peasant farmers in the
Gokwe district, I gained a real respect for those poor people; their
wisdom, grasp of the essential fundamentals, hard work and sense
of community. Above all, their instinctive grasp of who was genuine
and who had their interests at heart. Since then I have worked among
the poor in urban areas and helped start Zambuko, a micro lending
organisation that finances small business. My respect for the people
who make up the great majority of the third world and depend on
the informal sector for survival has become a guiding principle
for my life. These street-smart people know where their real interests
lie, they also know who can be trusted with those interests and
who cannot. They are amazingly principled and have good communications
and sense of community. In short, I trust the instincts of the poor.
There is no
doubt in my mind where the majority sentiment lies here - both in
the MDC itself and in the country. It is with Morgan Tsvangirai
and his immediate support group. In fact I have been shocked and
surprised at how vociferous the people attending MDC rallies have
been about the dissident group led by Welshman Ncube et al. At yesterdays
meeting in Bulawayo for example, he was repeatedly called "Wishman"
to the laughter and jeers of several hundred people from the length
and breadth of the Matabeleland region.
The present
situation in the Party is that Morgan is slowly regaining control
of the Party across the country. 7 out of 12 Provinces have now
held their Congress's and have elected new leadership to replace
those who are perceived to have defected. In my own district, all
those who supported the Senate contest have been brushed aside and
new leadership - improved leadership in many cases, has been selected.
This process
will be completed by mid January and then the MDC will hold its
national Congress in early March. At that meeting all the leaders
who have failed to restore their relationship with the grass roots
of the Party will be replaced by new leaders and a fresh mandate
given to them. The Congress will be a celebration for a movement
that has survived 6 years of battering by Zanu PF, the media and
the CIO. It will provide a strong affirmation of our people's faith
in democracy and freedom, of their commitment to continue the struggle
to defeat those who have destroyed what was once a proud and self-sufficient
country.
It is a time
to choose. I was delighted when the warrior Roy Bennett, came out
of the woodwork to be elected as Chairman of Manicaland Province
for the MDC. Roy has reservations about some of the things that
have been going on in the MDC but recognizes that whoever is responsible
- and most of us suspect the CIO and their internal plants, the
people are united and are not in any way confused. They are backing
Morgan's leadership and are willing to go all the way with him.
You cannot sit on the fence in this game, all that that gets you
is flak from both sides.
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