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Zimbabwe can take cue from Poland
Roger Bate
September 20, 2005

http://www.businessday.co.za/articles/topstories.aspx?ID=BD4A93623

FORMER Polish president Lech Walesa opened the recent American Enterprise Institute conference, which celebrated the 25th anniversary of the solidarity movement. It is remarkable how relevant his success in starting the downfall of totalitarian communism in 1980 was for the conference delegates from today’s "outposts of tyranny". Walesa is an inspiring role model in methods of opposition.

Delegates from Belarus, Cuba, North Korea, Iran, Syria and Burma, among others, attended the event. Walesa and other eastern Europe speakers — notably from the successful revolution in Ukraine — provide evidence that change is possible in locations of despotism identified by US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

It is dangerous and difficult for those travelling from the outposts of tyranny. On the day of the conference, Zimbabwe announced laws to restrict freedom of international movement. Passports are likely to be withdrawn from those critical of the administration of despot President Robert Mugabe. A list including Movement for Democratic Change leader Morgan Tsvangirai and Catholic Archbishop of Bulawayo Pius Ncube has been drawn up.

The lessons of this conference are how totalitarianism rulers may have different forms of government but nearly always follow similar methods: suppressing a free press, preventing free elections, where any occur at all, and using violence, or the threat of it, to oppress its citizens.

But while the regimes adopt the same forms of suppression, the opposition has myriad forms of revolt: strikes and non-violent protests in Poland and more recently in Ukraine and Serbia; sabotage and civil disobedience in SA and armed conflict in former Rhodesia. It is tragic that Rhodesia’s dictatorial white government gave way to a far worse black government.

Of those trying to bring down a dictatorship, few require such immediate support as those in Zimbabwe. While the need of those in North Korea is probably greater, realistic solutions are not available yet for the world’s most closed society. The latest estimates are that half the population of Zimbabwe — about 5,5-million people— are short of food and more than 700000 are homeless after Mugabe bulldozed buildings in opposition areas.

The ruling regime is stopping food donations and blankets and preventing journalists from entering the country. Thousands die weekly from malnutrition. Despite the escalating crisis, many in Zimbabwe’s opposition are hopeful peaceful protest and political participation in parliament can bring change.

But, say informed sources at the state department, the US has cut its support of Zimbabwe civil society. Last year it donated $7m to promote democracy but cut that to $3m this year. Meanwhile, it gave $100m to Ukraine for the same type of work.

Change requires resolve, the right time and often external support. With Zimbabwe sliding into a disaster of Rwandan proportions, and Mugabe’s power weakening due to economic collapse, the time is right. Zimbabwe is still more open than many other despotic locations, so external support could help.

It is essential that the US provide more humanitarian relief, push the United Nations to help, and support civil society. Violent conflict will be the result unless more external aid is provided— and soon.

*Bate is a resident fellow of the American Enterprise Institute

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