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Economic
meltdown
Media Monitoring Project Zimbabwe (MMPZ)
Weekly Media Update 2006-28
Monday July 10th 2006- Sunday July 16th 2006
THIS week the official media used the marginal drop in June’s inflation
by 8.9 percent to market this as a dividend of government’s National
Economic Development Priority Programme (NEDPP).
They carried 54
stories giving this impression, 47 of which were carried by ZBH
and the rest by the government papers.
As a result of
this lopsided approach, there was barely any coherent analysis of
the development or attempts to establish the veracity of the inflation
figures. Neither did they reconcile this development with revelations
during the same period that the monthly breadbasket for a family
of five had soared to $68.4 million, nor remind their audiences
that despite the fall, inflation remained the highest in the world.
Instead, they
attributed the dip to government’s "current economic
initiatives…[such as] NEDPP and Operation Maguta" (ZTV,
11/7, 8pm) without analysis.
The Herald
of the same day also made similar generalisations, linking the decline
to government’s NEDPP, which "seeks to reduce inflation
to manageable levels by year-end".
None of the alternative
voices the government media sourced were given the opportunity to
fully express their cautionary sentiments about this development.
For example, while Spot FM (12/7,1pm) reported economist Farai Dyirakumunda
guardedly welcoming the decline as encouraging, it did not investigate
the persistent "inflationary pressures"
that he alleged still posed a danger to the economy.
Neither did The
Herald (12/7) check with economist Blessing Sakupwanya why he felt
it was "unlikely" that inflation
would "come down significantly this year due to the
high inflationary pressures present in the economy".
Instead, it reported three unnamed analysts as having "welcomed"
the new figures saying although the "percentage decline
was small, the outcome was positive for the economy."
The next day,
the paper’s columnist Victoria Ruzvidzo summed up these media’s
intolerance of alternative opinion by castigating those who questioned
the figures, saying it showed that Zimbabweans were now "so
used to the negative to the extent that anything positive can only
be a fluke".
She asked: "Have
we been so brainwashed to the extent that we only accept and tolerate
the negative while brushing aside any indication that things could
be changing for the better?"
The government
media’s failure to critically examine the issue fitted their efforts
to avoid open discussion of the country’s economic crisis while
simultaneously depicting government as taking measures to address
it.
This was illustrated
by the 113 stories they carried on the economy (ZBH [67] and official
papers [46]), which either highlighted indicators of economic decay
in isolation of their root causes, or merely glossed over these
difficulties.
This included
passive coverage in The Herald and Chronicle (14/7) of Mugabe’s
claims that government was "working flat out to turn
around the economy", which was "under
siege from illegal sanctions imposed by Britain and her allies".
The official media’s
uncritical coverage of the topic basically arose from their over
reliance on official pronouncements as shown in Figs 1 and 2.
Fig. 1 Voice
distribution in the government Press
| Government |
Alternative
|
Ordinary
people |
Business |
Professional
|
Unnamed |
Foreign
dignitaries |
| 30 |
15 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
Fig. 2 Voice
Distribution on ZBH
| Business |
Govt |
Alternative |
ZANU
PF |
| 15 |
55 |
35 |
10 |
It was not only
the official media that simplistically celebrated the drop in inflation.
The Mirror
stable also carried 17 stories that largely gave a sanitised picture
of the problems. Its uncritical position was exemplified by The
Daily Mirror (12/7), which narrowly viewing the dip in inflation
as a sign of better times ahead, saying it "raises belief"
in government’s NEDPP and "can at least
be a psychological boost" that "should give
every Zimbabwean reason to smile and an impetus to soldier on".
However, the rest
of the 27 stories carried by other private media (private papers
[21] and private electronic media [6]) did not demonstrate such
professional gullibility.
Instead, they
cited analysts dismissing attempts to project the inflation decline
as a precursor to the country’s economic recovery as simplistic,
noting that the fall was too little to offer any comfort to the
country’s economy. They also poured scorn on hopes of any immediate
economic recovery, saying as long as government continued to pursue
skewed policies the future remained bleak.
For instance,
The Financial Gazette (13/7) criticised the official media and their
commentators for cheering the inflation fall, saying "with
the Zimdollar taking a new battering (during the) week and fuel
prices adding fresh bite, there is little to suggest anybody has
been jumping over the bushes in excitement" over the state
of the economy.
The Zimbabwe Independent
(14/7) concurred, noting that "the din of celebrations"
over inflation was "a lullaby to a dying soul" as the
country’s economy still tottered on the brink of collapse.
And although that
evening Studio 7 reported economist John Robertson predicting a
further decline in inflation in July, he foresaw it rising thereafter
to between 1,500 and 2,000% due to government’s continued bad economic
policies.
The private media’s
sourcing pattern, as exemplified by the private papers, is shown
in Fig 3.
Fig 3 Voice
distribution in the private Press
| Govt |
Foreign
dignitaries |
Alternative |
Editorial
|
Business |
Ordinary
people |
Professional
|
Unnamed |
| 11 |
2 |
19 |
2 |
6 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
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