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Economic
issues
Media
Monitoring Project Zimbabwe (MMPZ)
Extracted from Weekly Media Update 2006-7
Monday February 13th – Sunday February 19th
2006
ZIMBABWE’S final
settlement of its overdue debt under the IMF’s General Resource
Account (GRA) and the country’s worsening economic conditions shared
the headlines during the week. The government media carried 95 reports
on these issues (official papers [30] and ZBH [65]), while the private
media featured 41 (private Press [31] and the private stations [10]).
Notably, all
28 stories that the government media carried on the repayment of
the GRA arrears myopically projected the development as the sole
remedy to the country’s ailing economy by glossing over the real
causes of the decline while inflating the economic benefits expected
to accrue from the debt settlement.
For example,
ZTV (15/2,8pm) celebrated the development claiming that it "gives
the country sufficient ground to reclaim its voting rights within
the Bretton Woods institutions". Unnamed "analysts"
and "experts" were reported as having welcomed
the development too, saying it would "result in positive
ratings by other international institutions" and would
make Zimbabwe "eligible for technical assistance and
other initiatives".
This celebratory
mood remained unbroken the next day with ZBH claiming that the "clearance
of the debt should boost investor confidence and improve the image
of the country worldwide". Pro-government analysts
were then accessed to reinforce this notion. Such optimism also
found space in the official Press. The Herald (17/2), for
example, claimed that the GRA debt settlement would "send
a powerful signal to the investor community … that Zimbabwe respects
the norms of international trade and that it is willing and has
the capacity to honour its obligations whatever the obstacles placed
in its path."
However, the
paper did not seek comment from alternative expert sources or other
lending institutions to validate this claim. Neither did it provide
its audiences with Zimbabwe’s total external debt. The Herald
(16/2) only noted that the country still owed the IMF’s Poverty
Reduction and Growth Facility-Exogenous Shocks Facility (PRGF-ESF)
account around US$119 million, an issue ZTV (15/2, 8pm) buried in
its business section.
Instead of honestly
discussing the root causes of Harare’s frosty relations with the
IMF, the Chronicle (16/2) and The Herald (16,17/2)
blamed international "detractors," particularly
"disgraced" businessman Mutumwa Mawere,
Britain and the United States for having repeatedly called for Zimbabwe’s
expulsion from the Fund and misleading the world on the country’s
capacity to settle its obligations. The Herald (16/2) and
The Sunday Mail (19/2) even accused the IMF of selectively
applying its own rules, contending that while the war-torn states
of Liberia, Somalia and Sudan were in greater debt than Zimbabwe,
they had not faced the threat of expulsion.
However, in
this unfortunate comparison with three of the world’s most outstandingly
failed states, the papers still did not clarify whether these three
countries’ arrears were owed in the critical GRA, the only IMF account
that carries the threat of compulsory withdrawal of defaulters.
Instead, The Herald (17/2) merely expanded on this unsubstantiated
conspiracy, saying: "Zimbabweans would be wrong to believe
that this (repayment) marks the end of the country’s challenges
as Western powers are set to intensify their political interference".
While the official
media narrowly celebrated the perceived benefits to the economy
of repaying the IMF loan, they failed to reconcile this with government’s
continuing poor economic practices. This was exemplified by the
way they censored the disclosure by Reserve Bank governor Gideon
Gono that government had printed Z$21 trillion to buy the foreign
currency used to pay off the IMF debt. This was only contained in
a statement by the governor, which The Herald (17/2) reproduced.
ZBH completely
ignored the issue. ZTV (16/2, 8pm) merely quoted Economic Development
Minister Rugare Gumbo saying "We managed to pay the IMF
using our own resources", without elaboration.
The government
media’s reluctance to examine the ills besetting the economy resulted
in The Herald (14/2) attributing the increase in the January
inflation rate, to 613%, to "illegal Western-imposed
sanctions, among other factors". Exactly what sanctions
and what "other factors" remained unmentioned.
Similarly, while
ZBH quoted analysts attributing the rise in inflation to money supply
growth, price increases and declining agricultural productivity,
it would not interpret these as indicators of government’s economic
mismanagement. In fact, all 48 stories the government media carried
highlighting symptoms of economic distress, which included the continued
rise in the cost of living and commodity shortages, avoided holistically
linking the issues to government’s failed policies. The official
media’s lopsided coverage of these issues was reflected in their
sourcing patterns, which were dominated by official voices. See
Figs 1 and 2.
Fig. 1 Voice
pattern in the government Press
Govt
|
Business
|
Professional
|
Foreign
dignitaries
|
Local
govt
|
Alternative
|
Unnamed
|
|
21
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
Fig. 2 Voice
distribution on ZBH
|
Government
|
Alternative
|
Business
|
Professional
|
|
19
|
22
|
21
|
3
|
Although ZBH
carried more alternative voices, they were mostly used to reinforce
the broadcaster’s pro-government stance, while business sources
largely highlighted the problems facing the economy.
The private
media did not share the official media’s optimism about the country’s
economic fortunes in most of the 41 stories they carried on the
topic (private Press [31] and the private stations [10]).
Except for The
Sunday Mirror (19/2), which – like the official Press – viewed
Zimbabwe’s clearing of the IMF debt as going "a long
way in improving Zimbabwe’s credit rating", the rest
differed. For instance, Studio 7 (16/2) and the Zimbabwe Independent
(17/2) noted that although the payment would avert Zimbabwe’s expulsion,
it would not automatically open doors to new financial assistance
because the country first needed to address other fundamental economic
issues. Besides, the Independent interpreted government’s decision
to print the money to repay the IMF as a powder keg "set to
stoke inflation and push the local currency against the wall".
Earlier, The
Financial Gazette (16/2) questioned official optimism that the good
rains would improve the economy, arguing that the late supply of
key inputs would severely affect yields. As a result, the paper
argued, inflation was even "set to rise towards four digits
over the next quarter and that a new surge in black market, forex
and fuel trade would lead to a sharper rise in prices".
In addition,
the private papers and stations continued to highlight the on-going
economic meltdown, characterised by the spiralling cost of living
and commodity shortages. In fact, SW Radio Africa (17/2) tried to
capture the gravity of commodity shortages when it reported that
about "10 people" were injured when "food
riots erupted" in Bulawayo following a delivery of
maize meal, for which they had been queuing for more "than
three days". However, the story appeared to be based
on a stampede at one shop in the city and lacked independent confirmation.
The critical
manner in which the private media tackled the country’s economic
outlook was mirrored in their attempts to balance official comment
with independent views. See Figs 3 and 4.
Fig 3 Voice
distribution in the private Press
|
Govt
|
Alternative
|
Business
|
Ordinary
people
|
Professional
|
Foreign
dignitaries
|
|
16
|
10
|
3
|
7
|
6
|
3
|
Fig 4 Voice
distribution in on Studio 7
|
Government
|
Alternative
|
Business
|
Professional
|
|
3
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
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