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The state of Zimbabwe's economy on the road to recovery
Media Monitoring Project Zimbabwe
Extracted from Weekly Media Update 2004-45
Monday November 7th – Sunday November 14th 2004

THE government media continued to report the state of Zimbabwe’s economy as being on the road to recovery, despite the fact that economic indicators on the ground, such as persistent fuel shortages and galloping increases in commodity prices and service charges, signalled otherwise.

These symptoms of a troubled economy were generally glossed over by the government media, although they did attempt to provide an explanation for the fuel shortages. This was blamed on the recently formed private oil companies’ consortium, the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV), which was failing to coordinate its payment and supply system, according to "sources" in The Sunday Mail (14/11). In reporting a jump in the price of fuel, the paper said that SPV chairman Gordon Musariri had referred all questions to Energy Minister July Moyo, who was quoted saying he needed time to "study the issue".

Earlier, The Herald (11/11) reported, without any substantiation, that "some companies allocated foreign currency through the auctions to buy fuel were either selling this entitlement or were importing non-petroleum products".

This allegation received some credibility when the paper reported the following Monday (15/11) that a Reserve Bank audit had discovered US $12,4 million allocated for fuel imports could not be accounted for. But the paper didn’t ask Musariri or the SPV’s parent Petroleum Marketers’ Association (PMA) to explain, and The Sunday Mail didn’t ask Musariri why he thought the government might have answers for a problem arising in what has ostensibly become a deregulated private sector as claimed by The Herald.

Only The Daily Mirror (12/11) lifted the veil on the obscurity surrounding the causes of the shortages by reporting that the PMA and the government had failed to agree on the magnitude of the price increase.

The private weeklies ignored this issue, as did the independent radio stations, except for SW Radio Africa quoting a The Herald’s story.

Their inexplicable silence on the fuel crisis merely provided the official media greater latitude to mislead the public on the exact position of the matter.

As a result, the lack of additional alternative daily sources of information could not have been more acutely felt.

Notwithstanding this however, the private media did expose government’s simplistic portrayal of the economy’s revival (mainly through the Reserve Bank Governor’s monetary policy) by highlighting some of the deep-seated economic problems that still needed to be addressed to achieve economic stability.

But the government media skirted such discussions and failed to relate the real cause of the fuel shortage and food price increases to the wider context of Zimbabwe’s precarious foreign currency position or its diminished production capacity.

Instead, The Herald’s story accusing PMA members of misappropriating their forex allocations (11/11) reported how the National Oil Company of Zimbabwe – the government’s fuel procurement arm – had "saved the day" by releasing its "stocks" to help ease the shortages.

While similar sentiments were echoed on Power FM (9/11,6pm), Radio Zimbabwe (9/11,8pm) and ZTV (10/11,8pm), no effort was made to identify these oil companies or query why the authorities had not punished them.

Missing too were details on the exact amount of foreign currency these companies were getting from the central bank and whether it was enough considering the country’s crippling foreign currency squeeze. Instead, The Herald (12/11) continued with its blame game in its comment, Private fuel firms must explain shortages.

And then came The Sunday Mail report (14/11) attributing the fuel shortages to the SPV’s failure to "secure fuel deliveries according to schedule".

To buttress the impression that the authorities were playing their role as compared to the abdication of duty demonstrated by the private oil companies, the paper reported the RBZ allocating US$6 million weekly to the companies for fuel procurement.

This conflicted with an earlier ZTV report (9/11,8pm) claiming that RBZ Governor Gideon Gono had " allocated an aggregated amount of $34 million per month" to the oil companies, a figure it contended, was "slightly" more than the "$30 million" worth of Zimbabwe’s monthly fuel needs. Once again, the PMA was not accessed to corroborate this assertion.

But The Daily Mirror (12/11) disputed the government media’s observations. It noted that the US$24million allocated to the oil companies was only enough to import 53 percent of the country’s fuel consumption of 85 million litres per month.

Though ZTV (9/11, 6pm & 8pm), Radio Zimbabwe (9/11, 8pm), and The Sunday Mail (14/11) announced the hikes in the price of fuel from $3 600 per litre to between $4 200 and $4 500, it was only The Daily Mirror that reported PMA as saying the prices still remained unviable. It reported that PMA wanted the fuel prices upped to between $5 500 to $7 000 per litre to match prices on the international market but that Gono and Energy Minister July Moyo were resisting the move because they feared this " will have an inflationary effect on the (economic) turnaround initiatives".

The government media’s blame-game did not end with the fuel shortage saga alone.

ZTV (9/11, 8pm) and Radio Zimbabwe (10/11, 6am) accused cattle producers, bent on "sabotaging the land reforms", of being behind the recent increase in the price of commercial beef from $20 000 to $28 000 per kg through the creation of artificial shortages. This was regardless of a report by Power FM (10/11,6am) that cited abattoirs attributing the price hike to an increase in the prices of cattle at auctions.

The private weeklies and radio stations largely ignored these issues with The Financial Gazette (11/11) bizarrely opting to report on the aviation fuel shortages in Nigeria.

Nevertheless, they continued to subject government’s economic policies to scrutiny.

For example, the Zimbabwe Independent (12/11) observed that while the government media had excitedly reported on the recent Chinese visit as a demonstration of the successes of government’s much vaunted ‘Look East’ policy, "nothing will be gained from such populist illusions" as Zimbabwe could not afford isolation "from the world’s powerful economies", especially "when multilateral lending institutions, which we still need badly, are still reluctant to resume business with us".

In another report, the paper revealed that, contrary to government media’s claims of possible economic growth, economists were forecasting a further contraction of 5 percent by year-end. It quoted the economists saying the country’s economic problems, which include a flourishing foreign currency black market, high unemployment and erratic fuel supplies as harbingers of a bleak future.

However, the government media ignored such views.

Rather, the Chronicle (10/11) narrowly accused "some prophets of doom aligned" to the MDC of launching a campaign to discredit gains made by Gono’s reforms because the opposition wanted to use "economic deterioration, shortages of basic commodities" as its "tramp (sic) card to win next year’s parliamentary elections".

The paper’s obsession with glorifying government’s economic polices resulted in it (11/11), and ZTV (10/11, 8pm), magnifying the launch, at the National Economic Consultative Forum (NECF) seminar, of the industrial development, the macro-economic policy framework and the indigenisation policies, which ZTV said would "improve the economy".

No full explanation on the differences between the new policies and a myriad other economic strategies that government has launched before were given. But ZTV (10/11,8pm) claimed that since the last NECF dialogue, there had been economic improvements in the country that includes the "collapse of black market of basic goods, (and) tumbling rate of inflation".

The Daily Mirror (11/11) however, questioned the effectiveness of these economic turnaround strategies.

Citing the recent increase in the price of beef, the paper observed that most households were now "worse off than before" reinforcing "the fact that the so-called turnaround of the economy is still to benefit the man-in-the-street".

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