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Statistics On Aids Misconstrued
Dr Timothy
Stamps, Health Advisor in the Office of the President and Cabinet, The
Herald
July 26, 2004
http://www.herald.co.zw/index.php?id=34169&pubdate=2004-07-26
Aids is a complex
subject, so people may be forgiven if mistakes are made with sometimes
complex issues.
Lay journalists, in particular, are likely to misinterpret results, but
even those in the field of expert study sometimes get results which are,
to say the least, incongruous.
The recent "Zimbabwe National HIV and Aids Estimates 2003" compilation
is the latest to be misconstrued.
On Page 19, the caution is made that the survey "does not reflect an actual
decline in prevalence".
In fact, the only words in the whole document that are underlined, thus
emphasised, are the two words "does not".
Yet the popular media makes an extraordinary claim that the prevalence
of Aids in the general population of Zimbabwe has declined "from 33,7
percent in 2001 to 24,6 percent in 2003"!
The only way that that could have happened is that an awful lot of Zimbabweans
had to have died of Aids in those two years; in fact, 9,1 percent of the
total population of Zimbabwe, i.e. over one million people!
Furthermore, the word "stigma" has been bandied about a lot in recent
times. Yet the worst culprits are the Aids organisations and the popular
media itself, calling children who have lost one or both parents through
Aids "Aids orphans"!
A moment’s thought will, I hope, indicate that these children have been
stigmatised because of the actions of a person or persons they have no
control over, and worse still, to get any benefit, for example from the
Aids fund(s), they have to identify themselves, personally, to people
equally remote from their own particular circumstance and their names
be published, sometimes for the benefit of a new non-governmental organisation
which they have never heard of, and from which NGO they may never receive
any personal benefit.
Another aspect I have never understood is the issue related to stigma,
of the publication of names of prominent people after they have died of
Aids.
Do they have no families or grieving relatives and friends for whom the
loss, prematurely, of a member of their own community is not a calamity
to be treated delicately? But until they die, their status is supposed
to be secret!
Frankly, there is no sense in the current popularisation of Aids for monetary
purposes — a condition I have previously referred to as "the Aids industry".
We have to draw the unfortunate conclusion that they are not at all interested
in human suffering and only accept it where it can make personal wealth
and fame.
Dr Timothy Stamps,
Health Advisor in the Office of the President and Cabinet.
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