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Zimbabwe
has shortage of food, abundance of zeros
Angus Shaw,
Associated Press
June 25, 2008
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g04c5lk7bR-yMzZo8LcVGo_M0_owD91HAFLG0
For many Zimbabweans,
the chief worry is not political violence or President Robert Mugabe's
iron hold on power. It's out-of-control inflation that puts anything
more than a single daily meal beyond reach.
Underlying the current
political crisis is an economic meltdown that has caused a shortage
of food and all basic goods, while leaving the people an abundance
of zeros.
The official inflation
rate was put at 165,000 percent by the government in February, but
independent estimates put the real figure closer to 4 million percent.
Zimbabwe is believed
to be the only country in the world that now carries out routine
financial transactions in dizzying set of quadrillions — one
quadrillion is a 1 with 15 zeros behind it, or 1,000,000,000,000,000.
"It's gone completely
crazy. Our computers and calculators can't deal with all the zeros
even on the cheapest products," said Harare economic analyst
David Moyo.
Brokers said this week
that the Zimbabwe dollar broke the barrier of 10 billion to a single
U.S. dollar in direct bank buying, while in electronic transfers,
it exceeded 20 billion Zimbabwe dollars to $1 U.S.
Bread has disappeared
from stores. Previously, a loaf in a supermarket cost 2 billion
Zimbabwe dollars (20 U.S. cents at the official exchange rate),
or 15 billion Zimbabwe dollars ($1.50 U.S.) on the black market,
where prices of scarce items can vary up to 10 times higher.
A shopper lucky enough
to find milk will spend 3 billion dollars (30 U.S. cents) for about
1 pint. A tray of 30 eggs, also scarce, can bought in a store for
45 billion dollars ($4.50 U.S.).
Butter is hard to find,
but 17 1/2 ounces of margarine will cost 25 billion dollars ($2.50
U.S.) and a pack of 10 cookies costs 19 billion dollars ($1.90 U.S.).
Most stores and business
across Zimbabwe have already knocked six zeros off price tags, showing
45,000 dollars for two pounds of scarce low grade beef — but
at the cash register, it's tallied back at 45 billion dollars ($4.50
U.S.).
Moyo said a car battery
was priced Monday at 2.4 trillion dollars ($240 U.S.), a tenfold
increase in the past two weeks.
The largest Zimbabwean
bill in circulation is a 50 billion note ($5 U.S.), while the smallest
currency unit a one cent coin, which buys nothing by itself.
The sight of a person
carrying brick-sized wads of notes — or even wheelbarrows
full of cash — is less common now, because consumers are limited
to withdrawing 25 billion dollars a day from the bank, usually in
five 5 billion-dollar notes.
The highest amount a
check can be made out for is 900 billion dollars ($90 U.S.) but
many people complain that there is not enough room in the space
provided to write out the high figure.
"Whatever happens
on the political front, the economy has to be addressed, which no
one seems to be doing right now," Moyo said.
Since the first round
of national elections on March 29, shortages of basic goods have
worsened, public services have come to virtual standstill, power
and water outages have continued daily, and streets and highways
have crumbled.
The price of gasoline
has soared, pushing up bus and commuter fares to more than what
many workers earn in a day.
Production lines have
been halted as factories report mounting absenteeism.
"We certainly can't
go on like this. Something's got to give before too long. Everyone
hoped we could move on once the election was over," said James
Davis, a factory manager.
Opposition leader
Morgan Tsvangirai claims to have finished first in the first round
of presidential voting March 29, although he did not win the simple
majority needed to avoid a runoff, scheduled for Friday. A campaign
of violence and intimidation caused Tsvangirai on Sunday to quit
the runoff, saying it would not be credible. That has cleared the
way for Mugabe, 84, to continue his 28-year rule, despite mounting
condemnation from the international community, including even loyal
African allies who say the former independence hero has become a
despot who has bankrupted the nation.
"If they think they
can tame inflation with an illegitimate election and no international
support, let them try," said Tsvangirai spokesman George Sibotshiwe.
So far, Mugabe has not
moved to try to put the country back on a sound financial footing.
The problem, analysts say, is that few options are available.
"If Mugabe continues,
the economy will continue to decline," said Brian Raftopolous,
a South African-based economic researcher. "Mugabe has no solutions."
Mugabe blames the economic
woes on Western sanctions and the withdrawal of funding by international
banking institutions. While these institutions and Western governments
have expressed readiness to assist with Zimbabwe's economic recovery,
this is unlikely as long as Mugabe is in power.
"As bad as things
are, it can get worse," said Raftopolous.
Robert Rotberg, director
of Harvard's Kennedy School program on Intrastate Conflict, said
that while sanctions and boycotts may not convince Mugabe to loosen
his grip on power, they are sure to sway public opinion and possibly
change the minds of top military leaders.
Without his security
apparatus and their intimidation tactics, Mugabe's power "could
vanish overnight," said Rotberg, who wrote a column in the
Boston Globe on Wednesday comparing the current situation in Zimbabwe
to Idi Amin's Uganda.
Rotberg said neighboring
countries could "effectively bottle Mugabe up" by banning
Zimbabwean aircraft from flying over their airspace and curtailing
electricity deliveries to the landlocked country. The U.N., African
Union and Southern African Development Community could then push
him aside to take over during a transitional period until they can
ensure a free and fair election.
"Tightening the
noose will make the people around Mugabe realize that this ship
is really sinking, and they should get off," he said.
*Associated
Press writers Celean Jacobson in Johannesburg, South Africa, and
Lily Hindy in New York contributed to this report.
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