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Southern Africa food security update August 2007 - Substantial food imports needed
Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWSNET) and United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
September 12, 2007

http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/RWB.NSF/db900SID/EKOI-76Y949?OpenDocument&rc=1&cc=zwe

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The recently concluded National Vulnerability Assessments found that the number of food insecure people in Southern Africa has almost doubled, from about 3.1 million last year to 6.1 million this year. About 5.7 million of these people live in Lesotho, Swaziland, Zimbabwe, and southern Mozambique, where severe drought this season has led to significant production deficits and high staple food prices, limiting market access for households that have already run out of own production.

In Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Angola, and northern Mozambique, the food security situation is currently satisfactory, due to above average harvests following a good crop- growing season and - with the exception of Angola - sizable carryover stocks from the previous season. Consequently, staple food prices have remained stable, and are lower than at the same time last year and the past five- year average.

Households in localized areas affected by excessive rains in parts of Tanzania, Zambia, Angola, and northern Mozambique are facing food insecurity as a result of flooding, loss of crops, and disruption of livelihoods. Assessment results also suggest the existence of localized cases of chronic food insecurity in these countries, as well as in Malawi.

Intra-regional trade continues to play an important role in covering some of the food shortages in the grain deficit countries. Available data suggests that surplus producing countries (Malawi, Zambia and Tanzania) have already exported significant quantities to deficit countries in the region, including South Africa. However, the regional availability can not meet the full needs of the region's grain deficit countries; in addition, the limited market and transport infrastructure available to the region's traders is not likely to be able to handle the large volumes needed to fill gaps. The region will still need to import substantial quantities from overseas.

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