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This article participates on the following special index pages:
Zimbabwe's Elections 2013 - Index of Articles
Serious shortcomings on the voters' roll: Missing urban voters and
young voters
Zimbabwe
Election Support Network
July 12, 2013
The Zimbabwe
Election Support Network (ZESN) has noted serious irregularities
in the Voters’ Roll purchased by the organisation from the
Office of Registrar General on 19 June, 2013. Through its preliminary
analysis, ZESN has noted that the biggest irregularity in the Roll
is the under registration of voters especially in the urban wards.
For instance ZESN has found that there are about 750 000 missing
urban voters and at least 400 000 missing young voters from the
voters’ roll.
ZESN conducted
a demographic analysis of the Voters’ Roll on all 5,890,169
names on the voters’ roll from all 1,964 wards and 210 constituencies
compared to the official 2012 Census data from the Zimbabwe National
Statistics Agency. The analysis by ZESN shows the under registration
of eligible voters in urban wards with approximately 750,000 missing
urban voters and under registration of youth voters in urban and
rural wards with approximately 400,000 missing young voters. These
youth voters are only 5% of registered voters compared to 20 % in
the Zambian election held in 2011.
The analysis
also revealed a number of discrepancies between census data and
registered voters across all age groups. For instance there are
approximately 831,482 people in the age group 40-49 years. However
it is worrying that the voters’ roll reflects 1,250,989 registered
voters in this age group. Of particular concern is the age group
80 years or more which according to census data has an estimated
population of 155,653, while the registered voters of the same group
are 343,187, some of whom are as old as 114 years old. This over
registration of elderly voters in urban and rural wards demonstrates
that approximately 250,000 names of individuals who are likely to
be deceased, whose names have not been removed from the voters’
roll.
Table
1: Comparison of Registered Voters with Estimated Eligible Voters
by Rural/Urban Wards |
Urban/Rural |
Registered
Voters
Voters Roll
19 June 2013
|
|
Voting
age Population
2012 Census Estimate |
|
Numerical
Difference |
Per cent
Registered |
Rural Wards |
4,278,103 |
72.64% |
4,279,336 |
64.33% |
1,223 |
99.97% |
Urban Wards |
1,612,066 |
27.36% |
2,372,522 |
35.67% |
760,456 |
67.94% |
Total |
5,890,169 |
|
6,651,858 |
|
761,689 |
|
Table
2: Comparison of Youth Voter Registration between African
Countries |
Country |
Year |
Age
Range |
Per
cent of Registered Voters |
South Africa[1] |
2009 |
18 to 25 |
16.50% |
Zambia[2] |
2011 |
18 to 24 |
20.61% |
Kenya[3] |
2013 |
18 to 25 |
16.86% |
Zimbabwe |
2013 |
18 to 25 |
4.51% |
The provision
of electronic copies of the Voters’ Roll under the Amended
Electoral
Act is a commendable move as it provides greater transparency
to the process. While periodic updates were provided by the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission (ZEC) during the mobile voter registration
exercise from 29 April to 19 May 2013, there have not been similar
updates from the mobile voter registration efforts for the period
10 June to10 July 2013. Thus, it is not possible to assess
the final state of voter registration. The official registration
figures showed a total 5,890,169 registered voters, as at 19 June
2013. Using official census figures in Table 1 above, it is possible
to estimate 88.55 % of eligible Zimbabweans are registered. However,
the true registration rate is like lower because clearly names of
deceased persons remain on the roll.
ZESN notes with
concern that as the current voters’ roll stands, urban and
youth voters have not been given an equal opportunity to participate
in the elections and if this issue is not addressed it might seriously
undermine the credibility of the whole electoral process. ZESN found
a significant disparity between registration rates in urban and
rural wards with registration in urban wards at 67.94% and those
in rural wards at 99.97%. For urban voter registration rates to
be comparable with rural registration rates another 750,000 urban
voters must still be registered.
This situation
would only have been exacerbated by the just ended mobile voter
registration period because of the distribution of registration
centres, with the majority located in rural areas which reinforces
the inequitable access to voter registration already reflected on
the voters’ roll.
ZESN’s
analysis, which is based on the 2012 Census shows that about 18.24
% of eligible voters are between 18 and 22 (those who became eligible
since the 2008 elections) but just 2,39 % of registered voters are
in this age group – one ninth of the desired number. Similarly,
estimated eligible voters between 23 and 29 are 22, 97% according
to the 2012 Census, but registered voters in this age group are
just 11, 7% or half the desired number. At the same time, census
data shows that 5.5 % - of estimated eligible voters are between
the ages of 70 and 80 while 5.82% of registered voters are 80 years
or older.
The Network
notes with concern that registration of young people in Zimbabwe
is not only well below 2012 Census estimates it is significantly
lower than registration rates in other African countries for recent
elections. Registration of young voters (under 25) is more than
10% less in Zimbabwe than comparable countries such as South Africa
(16.5%), Kenya (16.86%) and Zambia (20,61%). It is our view that
for registration rates for youth voters to approximate the 2012
Census another 400,000 voters aged between 18 and 29 need to be
registered.
Finally, ZESN
is also very concerned about the distribution of polling stations
released on 10 July as compared to the official registration figures
from 19 June. Twenty percent (75 of 394) of urban wards have more
than 1,000 voters per polling. Of particular note, Epworth Local
Board Ward 7 has 7,920 registered voters, but only one polling station.
Unlike the Constitutional Referendum voters will be required to
vote in the ward in which they are registered.
ZESN therefore
urges the ZEC to consider the extension of the mobile voter registration
exercise to ensure the missing urban voters and young voter have
an opportunity to exercise their right register to vote. This is
in tandem with Section 6(3) of the Sixth Schedule of the Constitution
which provides for at least thirty days of special and intensive
voter registration and voters’ roll inspection. In addition
we call for the removal of about 250 000 people who are likely to
be deceased from the voter’s roll.
We reiterate
our call for uploading the electronic copies of the final Voters
Roll with updates of voters registered during the mobile registration
from 10 June to 09 July 2013 on the ZEC website to enable citizens
to continue to inspect and check their names.
ZESN remains
committed to promoting efforts for a free and fair election where
each eligible voter has an opportunity to exercise their right to
vote.
Visit the ZESN
fact
sheet
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