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This article participates on the following special index pages:
2008 harmonised elections - Index of articles
February
2008 newsletter to Bulawayo South constituents
David Coltart
February 25, 2008
Dear Friends,
Harold Wilson
once said that "a week is a long time in politics" and
it certainly is. Since I last wrote to you in January there have
been dramatic and unforeseen political events that have taken place
in Zimbabwe.
The
gerrymandering of Bulawayo South
In
the run up to the elections Bulawayo South Constituency has been
completely changed in the delimitation exercise. The old Bulawayo
South Constituency has been divided up into 3 new House of Assembly
constituencies and is almost unrecognizable. Wards 24, 25 and 26
- the high-density working class areas of Nketa and Emgwanin
- have been formed into a new constituency called Nketa. Ward
6 - Bellevue, Newton West, Barham Green and Belmont -
has been combined with Ward 21 - the high density Sizinda/Tshabalala
area of the old neighbouring Nkulumane constituency to form the
new Bulawayo South constituency. Finally Ward 5 - Hillside,
Hillcrest, Burnside, Four Winds - has been combined with Wards
1 and 2, the city centre and North End, to form a new lone narrow
constituency called Bulawayo Central that stretches from Burnside
in the south some 40 kilometers to the airport in the north! This
is truly Zanu PF gerrymandering at its worst.
After winning
the party vote in terms of the MDC constitution to contest the old
Bulawayo South Constituency I was given the right to choose which
new constituency to stand in. I chose to stand in Nketa as that
is where the bulk of my project work has been done. Having made
that decision the leadership of the MDC decided that I needed to
move to the Senate as we do not have any lawyers there at present
and in the new Parliament we want to bolster the work we do there.
As a result I will be standing in the new Senatorial seat of Khumalo
which is a massive constituency covering more than half the area
of Bulawayo - it covers the entire area east of the Matopos
Road, Lobengula Street in the city centre and the Victoria Falls
Road. Like the Bulawayo Central House of Assembly seat it stretches
from the southern boundary of Bulawayo to the airport in the north.
The decision of the leadership was conveyed to the MDC Bulawayo
South District committee on Friday the 8th February.
I was deeply touched by the tears shed in that meeting as the people
I have worked with during the last 8 years expressed their sorrow
that we would no longer be working together. In response I have
undertaken to form a Nketa Development Trust and will continue to
work on developmental projects in the Nketa House of Assembly constituency.
Hugely energetic
primary elections (for example there were none less than 7 candidates
who contested the primaries for the new Nketa seat) conducted by
our structures have selected the following superb team to represent
the MDC in the area formerly known as Bulawayo South:
Nketa
House of Assembly constituency/Emgwanwini Senatorial seat
Senator - Senator Rita Ndlovu - the incumbent Senator
MP - Stanlord Ndlovu - a manager of CABS and the chairman
of the old Bulawayo South District Committee
Councillor Ward 24 - Clr Litshe H. Keswa - the incumbent
councilor
Councillor Ward 25 - Robert Donga
Councillor Ward 26 - Benjamin Moyo
Bulawayo South House of Assembly constituency/Mzilikazi
Senatorial seat
Senator - Senator Sibangalizwe Msipa - also an incumbent
Senator
MP - Jethro William Mpofu - a bright young man who has
been heavily involved in civic work for over a decade
Councillor Ward 6 - Jennifer Bent - a hard working member
of the MDC for the last 8 years
Bulawayo
Central House of Assembly constituency/Khumalo Senatorial seat
Senator - David Coltart
MP - Japhet Gwanje Ndabeni Ncube - the feisty Mayor
of Bulawayo who stood up to ZINWA
Councillor Ward 5 - Dr. Gary Ferguson - a well known
and much loved medical practitioner.
We have a great
team and I urge you to all vote for each one of them all.
The
collapse of the MDC coalition talks with the MDC (Tsvangirai)
In my
January newsletter I wrote that I was "confident that agreement
(regarding a coalition) would be reached shortly". My optimism
was misplaced and on Sunday the 3rd February news broke that the
talks had broken down. My optimism was based on the hard work we
had done since August 2006 to reach agreement and the knowledge
that the two management committees of both formations had reached
agreement to form a coalition by mid January this year. A detailed
written agreement was drawn up and all that remained was for National
Councils of both formations to ratify the agreement. Our National
Council ratified the agreement on the 2nd February. Tragically Morgan
Tsvangirai was unable to reign in power hungry elements in his formation,
mostly from Matabeleland, and as a result the original principles
agreed to were reneged upon by the MDC Tsvangirai (MT) formation.
The leadership of the MDC (MT) had argued that they enjoyed the
overwhelming support of the people of Matabeleland - a claim
already undermined this past weekend with the failure of the MDC
(MT) to nominate councillors in tens of wards throughout Matabeleland,
ironically including Ward 6.
The news of
the failure to form a coalition was deeply saddening. I have always
believed that the best way to beat the Mugabe regime was through
a united opposition. It was astonishing to hear that the collapse
of the talks was greeted favourably by many in the leadership of
the MDC (MT) formation. For example on the 4th February a prominent
MDC (MT) National Executive member sent out an e mail stating, and
I quote, "The decision was received favourably across the
country." Another senior leader of the MDC (MT) told me that
after the coalition agreement talks collapsed many of his colleagues
were "euphoric". The same e-mail mentioned above described
the depression felt by us in the MDC - it said, and I quote,
"There was a profound sense of gloom at the hotel where the
Mutambara group was caucusing yesterday in Harare." There
was indeed gloom because we understood along with the rest of the
nation how irresponsible the actions of the MDC (MT) were in failing
to agree to a united opposition to confront the Mugabe regime.
With the benefit
of hindsight it appears that there was simply no desire to form
a coalition with us amongst certain elements of the leadership of
the MDC (MT), especially amongst its Matabeleland leadership. That
feeling is reinforced by the recent revelation that the MDC (MT)
has in fact entered into a pact with Jonathan Moyo in Tsholotsho
North Constituency. It is ironic that they are happy to enter into
a pact with the former Zanu PF cabinet Minister partly responsible
for the destruction of the Daily News but not with erstwhile colleagues.
It is also hypocritical in the extreme for them to criticise Simba
Makoni's entry into opposition politics when they themselves
are prepared to work with Jonathan Moyo. Objectively Jonathan Moyo
did far more damage to the MDC whilst in Zanu PF than Simba Makoni
ever did.
Simba Makoni
In a move that took us all by surprise Simba Makoni announced
on the 5th February that he was going to stand as an Independent
candidate in the Presidential election. Although there had been
much press speculation about this many wondered whether Simba Makoni
would have sufficient courage to take a stand against Robert Mugabe.
If the announcement came as a surprise, so too did the reaction
of the people in Bulawayo and in many places throughout the country
to the announcement. I never realised the level of grassroots support
for Simba Makoni until the day after his announcement when my phone
started ringing. Since then I have been told by many people from
all walks of life that they believe Simba Makoni provides the best
way out of the mess that Zimbabwe finds itself in today. Responding
to these developments the MDC National Council met in Harare on
Sunday the 10th February and unanimously agreed to mandate the management
committee to enter into coalition talks with Simba Makoni.
That has now
resulted in Arthur Mutambara standing down from the Presidential
election in the national interest and in broad agreement being reached
with Simba Makoni that we will not contest Senatorial, House of
Assembly and Council seats against each other. In short we have
now agreed to support Simba Makoni's candidacy for President.
Ironically what we had hoped to achieve with the MDC (MT) -
a coalition - we have now achieved with Simba Makoni. I should
stress that we are standing as a separate political entity and those
elected under the MDC will represent the people in Parliament as
MDC members as they always have in the past. I and my colleagues,
many of whom have long and consistent records of opposing the Mugabe
regime, have no intention of changing course now at the eleventh
hour, fifty ninth second, of his rule. We believe that in the context
of the MDC (MT) formation refusing to form a coalition with us,
and in the context of the remarkable reaction from the voting public
to Simba Makoni's announcement, this provides the best chance
the nation has of ending the Mugabe regime's rule.
We are reinforced
in that belief by the events that unfolded in nomination courts
countrywide which have revealed very serious deficiencies and ongoing
divisions within the MDC (MT) formation. Aside from the failure
to field councillors in many Wards throughout Matabeleland the emergence
of the Kombayi/Matibenga faction within the MDC (MT), and the nomination
of its own candidates in some 22 constituencies mainly in the Midlands
(but also in Matabeleland North, Mashonaland West, Central and East,
Harare and Masvingo Provinces) will seriously undermine Morgan Tsvangirai's
ability to attract the same support he enjoyed in Matabeleland and
the Midlands in the 2002 Presidential elections. In 2002 Morgan
Tsvangirai won the Presidential election narrowly by some 70000
votes because he enjoyed overwhelming support in urban areas and
the rural areas of Matabeleland and Midlands. Unless he can maintain
that support he will be hard pressed to win. The failure of the
MDC coalition agreement and the serious divisions within the MDC
(MT) formation may seriously undermine Morgan Tsvangirai's
support base. A successful campaign needs electricity, unity and
optimism if it is to gather momentum and ultimately win countrywide;
without that it will falter and lose.
Whilst most people I have spoken to in the last two weeks are enthusiastic
about our decision some have raised one of two questions -
some fear this is just another Zanu PF "trick"; others
argue that in any event Simba Makoni does not deserve our support
because of his past association with Zanu PF.
I do not think
this is a trick. It is illogical for Mugabe to put forward a candidate
who will take away much of his own vote. Mugabe must have known
about the provision in the Electoral
Act which states that a Presidential candidate has to get an
absolute majority (over 50%) to win the Presidential election. All
that Simba Makoni has to do to deny Mugabe that clear majority is
to take away just 10% of the vote Mugabe got from Zanu PF supporters
in 2002. If Mugabe does not get a clear majority in the first round
he then will have to face off again in rerun against the opposition
candidate who came second. That rerun has to be within 21 days of
the 29th March and will be a straight fight with no danger of the
opposition vote being divided - Mugabe's worst nightmare.
It would just be sheer lunacy for Mugabe to have concocted a plan
that could backfire so badly in this way. Also if it is a trick
why did Mugabe delay the nomination day and then conduct a purge
of all those he thought were supporting Makoni? If it is a trick
why is there such deep consternation in Zanu PF about this development?
If it is a trick why has Mugabe in the last few days spewed out
such venom against Makoni calling
him a prostitute and a frog?
But the most
compelling argument why this is not a trick is the following. When
the MDC coalition agreement collapsed on the 3rd February Robert
Mugabe was presented with his best possible election environment
- a united (on the surface at least) Zanu PF against a divided
MDC. Why possibly would Mugabe destroy that by allowing his own
party's "unity" to be fragmented just two days
later when Makoni's bid was announced? It is just absurd to
think that Mugabe would have consented to such a thing.
I do not think
that a person's past should automatically bar him from a role
in government. I am more concerned about where he stands NOW and
in the FUTURE. All of us have done things in the past we are not
so happy about. Many of the current MDC leadership were members
of Zanu PF during the Gukurahundi and did not speak out. There are
others in the MDC (MT) leadership who are now critical of Simba
Makoni who were given senior appointments by Mugabe during the Gukurahundi
period and never spoke out publicly against what was happening.
There are others who are now in senior leadership positions in the
opposition who were either members of Zanu PF or who considered
standing for Zanu PF right up to the 2000 referendum. But that is
all in the PAST and I do not believe that anyone should be automatically
disqualified because of positions they have held in the past. If
a person shows genuine repentance - a turning away from the past
- that person should be eligible for support.
The Bible -
2 Chronicles 7:14 - has some words of wisdom for the situation we
face in Zimbabwe today:
"If my
people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray
and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear
from heaven and will forgive their sin and will heal their land."
I think we can
see in Simba Makoni a person who has turned from the past and is
prepared to turn his back on the evil perpetrated by Zanu PF. In
all the research I have done into Gukurahundi there is no evidence
whatsoever to show that he was in anyway involved in that crime
against humanity. As far back as the early 1990s he expressed deep
concern about Zanu PF policy but believed that he should work within
to reform. Since then the factual record shows that Simba Makoni
had the guts to stand up to Mugabe in 2002, has never taken a farm,
has never been involved any corruption scandals and now has shown
exceptional bravery in challenging Mugabe in the Presidential election.
In the last year he has spoken out publicly and boldly against the
regime's abuses including the torture of opposition leaders
last March. All who know him personally, diplomats included, state
that he is a man of integrity. The respected Washington Post newspaper
wrote on the 20th February 2008 that "Simba Makoni is viewed
by U.S. officials as a smart, honest technocrat."
I have been
greatly encouraged by his recent statements and his policy positions
on a whole range of issues including the need for a new democratic
constitution and genuine reconciliation. His statement that he is
more loyal to his country than he is to his party is noteworthy.
In his manifesto Simba
Makoni states that he wants to "address national issues that
separate and divide us as a nation" and to "institute
a process of national healing and reconciliation". He also
wants to "restore Zimbabwe's standing within the international
community". These are acknowledgments that all is not well
in our nation. But this is a national responsibility - we
all have to "humble ourselves". We all have to acknowledge
mistakes that we have made. Now is certainly the time for us to
reach out to moderates in Zanu PF who are more loyal to their nation
than they are to their party. We must always remember that just
as Democratic candidate Barack Obama in the United States knows
that he cannot win the Presidential election in the US without attracting
Republican and independent support, so too the opposition must recognise
that it cannot win our elections unless we attract substantial numbers
of Zanu PF supporters to vote for a new, democratic Zimbabwe.
As we go to
vote, and if we want to heal our nation, we should ask ourselves
the following 2 questions:
- Who of Morgan
Tsvangirai and Simba Makoni is most likely to defeat Robert Mugabe?
We must always keep in mind that until Mugabe leaves office there
will be no new dawn and healing in our land. That is the first
and most important step we have to take. My view is that irrespective
of Morgan Tsvangirai's great qualities of courage and perseverance
he has not managed to unite his own party, never mind the nation
and to that extent will be hard pressed to attract substantial
support right across the country. On the contrary in the short
time since announcing his candidacy Simba Makoni has excited the
electorate right across the political spectrum and will undoubtedly,
if supported enthusiastically by us all, attract massive support
from all quarters. In short he stands the best chance of beating
Mugabe.
- Who, after
winning an election, will be the most competent to govern and
to stabilize and grow our economy? There is no doubt in my mind
that Morgan Tsvangirai will go down in history as one of the most
important men who broke Zanu PF's back; but that does not
mean that he is now the best person to pull Zimbabwe out of its
economic quagmire. Zimbabwe is in such deep trouble that it will
take a collaborative effort from many patriotic Zimbabweans to
restore her. Unfortunately Morgan Tsvangirai has not managed to
build an effective and cohesive team during the 9 years he has
been in leadership. In contrast a recent independent poll conducted
in Zimbabwe found that most Zimbabweans view Simba Makoni as a
level headed person who does have the skills to lead Zimbabwe
out of its current mess. He also enjoys much respect in the diplomatic
community.
Accordingly
I urge you to vote for Simba Makoni for President and for your local
MDC candidates in the Senatorial, House of Assembly and Council
elections. I sense that there is a remarkable new mood in the country
and despite the fact that the Mugabe regime will try to rig the
result it will fail to do so. That is because, firstly, there is
a tidal wave of feeling that it is time for Mugabe to go and, secondly,
because for the first time ever those responsible for rigging the
elections in the past are not united themselves. That will make
it well nigh impossible for those trying to rig to get away with
their criminal behavior.
We each have
a role to play in restoring pride to our land. The first and most
important step is to make the effort to go and vote on the 29th
March 2008 for leaders who have the desire, the integrity and ability
to transform Zimbabwe. In closing, especially as this will be last
newsletter to you as MP for Bulawayo South, thank you all for the
support you have given me as your MP for the last 8 years.
Yours sincerely,
The Hon. David
Coltart MP
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