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Roll Audit of Preliminary Voters Roll Mar 2005 Election - Final Report
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- This report is
submitted before the complete roll could be audited so that the findings
can be made public and the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission is made aware
of the problems prior to elections being held on 31st March
- The difficulties
in gaining access to the voters roll from the Registrar General cannot
be over emphasized.
- An inflated voters
roll gives the opportunity to manipulate votes and "stuff"
ballots without the percentage turnout being absurd or impossible.
- Deceased persons
still on the roll gives the opportunity for a corrupt regime to use
the deceased persons ID to gain extra votes.
- Duplicate ID numbers
can be used as duplicate votes.
are 3 key factors in a court case pending in the Zimbabwe High Court (lodged
in April 2002 and still pending) where the validity of the results
of the Presidential Elections are being challenged.
When (if) the case
is heard it will be proved beyond all doubt that the factors (a) (b) &
(c) above were extensively used to rig the elections BUT as the case is
still subject to the courts hearing the FACTS cannot be disclosed at this
juncture. However it is noted that to date the Registrar General (who
is now in contempt of court) has still failed to comply with court
orders allowing the inspection of documents as required by law and the
question as to WHAT is being hidden MUST be asked.
The roll being the cornerstone of the democratic "one person
– one vote" system it is necessary for the roll to be accurate and
up to date otherwise the democratic principal is negated from the very
beginning of the electoral process. The results of the year 2000 General
Elections and the year 2002 Presidential Elections indicated that there
could be massive fraud and irregularities in the Zimbabwe Voters Roll
which has prompted this investigative research and report. It must be
made explicitly clear that from the onset the investigations have been
extremely difficult to carryout because of obstruction and non cooperation
from the Registrar General and his department who have custody of the
nation’s voters-roll and other population related data. In January 2002
the RG was compelled by a High Court Order to hand over a digital copy
of the provisional voters roll just before the Presidential Elections
in March of that year – this digital roll is used as the "Bench Mark".
To do an effective
analysis of the roll and electoral results it is necessary to have the
data in electronic format ( as is the form that the RG now keeps the data
) so that computers can be programmed to eliminate the time consuming
checks and crosschecks that are required in an analysis. With the RG’s
refusal to release the roll in such form and supported by obscure judgements
from the Supreme Court it became necessary for the digitisation of the
roll by electronic means, but first the paper copy had to be obtained.
It took nearly two
years and countless requests to obtain a roll from the RG in spite of
the fact that the Law is very specific in that the roll must be
readily and freely available to any person. The writer was banned
from viewing the roll and the Registrar general has to date not replied
to 7 letters written asking for valid reasons for the ban.
This report reveals
the findings that clearly indicate that the voters roll requires extensive
repair prior to any democratic election at any level be undertaken and
that it is the duty of the newly appointed Zimbabwe Electoral Commission
to ensure that it is done.
A copy of
the roll was obtained in October 2004 from the Registrar General after
the initial application had been made in April 2002.
A summary of the roll
was done that indicated incomprehensible voting registration patterns
that are in direct conflict with the 2002 Census and highlighted in a
report by F Matarise of the University of Zimbabwe.
Scanning and computer
equipment was obtained and digitisation started in November 2004.
The digitising of
the rolls resulted in 14 rolls being completed totalling 602920 voters
being included in the database.
of well over 10% of the reported roll and analysed to date is considered
statistically representative by international standards. It is through
detailed data and statistical analysis of these rolls that the following
key findings are presented.
Analysis shows that
over 2 million of the 5,6 million names registered as voters are highly
suspect. Removing these from the roll results in the recently completed
delimitation reports changing of constituency boundaries as being highly
questionable and will significantly effect the pending General Elections.
- Deceased persons
remaining on the roll extrapolated to over 1 million.
- Over 300 000 duplicate
names exist on the roll.
- Over One million
names of people appearing on the roll are fictitious in that they no
longer reside at the registered address.
- As a consequence
of the forgoing the delimitation process is significantly effected.
- The forging will
also result in absurd voting statistics as well as to give the opportunity
to "stuff" votes.
The following table
gives the extent of "damage" extrapolated from the sample analysed
to date and that can be expected to be substantiated when the rest of
the digitisation and analysis is completed.
/ Damage – by Extrapolation
roll NOT made public – contrary to Zimbabwe Law and SADC standards.
gross violation of electoral procedures in ANY part of the world
or SADC region.
voters still recorded as voters 78%
of returns received
000 000 deceased voters still on the roll thus inflating eligible
voters and voter turnout
000 duplicate voters on the roll.
not known at this address – (NKATA)
000 000 voters Not known (NKATA)
no longer at this address - (NLATA )
000 voters country wide extrapolated from sample
600 000 voters
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