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Tribal
rivalry may split ZANU PF
Institute
for War & Peace Reporting (IWPR)
(Africa
Reports: Zimbabwe Elections No 18, 21-Mar-05)
By *Benedict Unendoro in Zimbabwe
March 21, 2005
http://www.iwpr.net/index.pl?archive/ar/ar_ze_018_1_eng.txt
Ruling
party could in time rupture because of Mugabe’s insistence on promoting
the Zezuru clan over the larger Karanga.
To outsiders
the great tribal split in Zimbabwe is between the Shonas and the
Ndebele - the latter an offshoot of the Zulus of South Africa who
now largely occupy the dry western part of the country.
But Zimbabweans
themselves know that the critical ethnic and cultural divide - the
one that will eventually decide the fate of their troubled state
- is between the distinct clans that make up the Shona.
The Shona, who
began arriving from west central Africa more than a thousand years
ago, share a mutually intelligible language. But ethnically they
are not homogenous. Between the clans there is a diversity of dialects,
religious beliefs and customs.
The five principal
clans are the Karanga, Zezuru, Manyika, Ndau and Korekore.
Of these, the
biggest and most powerful clans are the Karanga and the Zezuru.
At this moment, largely unperceived by outsiders, an almighty struggle
is going on between Karangas and Zezurus inside President Robert
Mugabe's ruling ZANU PF party that at some point is destined to
explode and completely reshape Zimbabwean politics.
The Karanga
are the largest clan, accounting for some 35 per cent of Zimbabwe's
11.5 million citizens. The Zezuru are the second biggest, and comprise
around a quarter of the total population.
The Karanga
provided the bulk of the fighting forces and military leaders who
fought the successful 1972-80 chimurenga (struggle) that secured
independence and black majority rule. Nevertheless, the ZANU movement
- since renamed ZANU PF - was led by a Zezuru intellectual with
several degrees - Mugabe - who did not do any fighting.
The ethnic differences
at that time seemed to matter little since ZANU proclaimed unity
as one of its ideals. Mugabe's predecessors as leader were Ndabaningi
Sithole, an Ndau, and Herbert Chitepo, assassinated in mysterious
circumstances 30 years ago, a Manyika.
But those clan
differences have surfaced with a vengeance in 2005, after Mugabe
filled every top position in the state with members of his Zezuru
clan and pushed out the Karangas.
The Karangas,
who know that their men won the chimurenga, are angry.
Besides 81-year-old
Mugabe, his two vice presidents - Joseph Msika and Joyce Mujuru
- are Zezurus.
Defence Minister
Sydney Sekeramayi, who is also Mugabe's spymaster, is a Zezuru,
as are the chiefs of the three main security forces.
Army chief General
Constantine Chiwenga - whose highly combative wife Jocelyn threatened
to eat a white farmer at the height of the 2000-2004 farm invasions
- replaced a veteran Karanga fighter, General Vitalis Zvinavashe.
The air force
chief is Air Marshal Perence Shiri, former commander of the notorious
North Korea-trained Fifth Brigade, which in 1983 swept though Matabeleland
destroying entire Ndebele villages and murdering more than 20,000
civilians. Shiri christened his campaign against the Ndebele with
a Shona word, Gukurahundi, meaning "the early rain that washes away
the chaff before the spring rains". Mugabe has since rewarded Shiri
- who replaced a Karanga - with three confiscated white farms.
The national
police chief is Commissioner Augustine Chihuri, a Zezuru who has
publicly declared his personal unwavering support for Mugabe and
ZANU PF.
Further enhancing
his grip on power, Mugabe has placed control of the electoral process
since 1985 in the hands of his fellow Zezuru - Tobaiwa Mudede, the
all-powerful Registrar General.
Mudede has been
in charge of all Zimbabwe's electoral bodies and has been widely
accused of rigging all elections for the past 20 years in favour
of Mugabe, who has rewarded him with two former white-owned commercial
farms.
The judiciary
also is in the hands of the Zezuru. Godfrey Chidyausiku, a Zezuru,
was appointed chief justice in 2001 after Mugabe toppled his predecessor,
Anthony Gubbay, one of the last white Zimbabweans on the bench.
With Chidyausiku's appointment came the gift of the 895-hectare
Estees Park farm, north of Harare, newly confiscated from its white
owner. Chidyausiku has ensured that all judges conform to Mugabe's
decrees and has appointed two Zezuru relatives as High Court judges
to help him.
One of Zimbabwe's
most independent judges, Justice Benjamin Paradza, a Karanga, was
forced out of office. Justice Moses Chinhengo, another Karanga constantly
criticised by Mugabe's ministers, resigned in disgust and said,
"I hope that in future I will be able to serve Zimbabwe in another
capacity as the call of duty may demand."
Kindness Paradza
was born in 1963 in Masvingo, in the Karanga heartland, but when
he was aged nine his parents moved to Zvimba district - Mugabe's
home area in Mashonaland West, a Zezuru stronghold west of Harare.
In 2003, he won a by-election in the Makonde constituency in Zvimba
district on a ZANU PF ticket. Before this year's primary elections,
he was everyone's favourite to represent the party in the coming
election on March 31.
He was very
popular locally but was booted out of the contest because of his
roots in Masvingo. "Karangas should stand for election in their
own province," a senior ZANU PF official very close to Mugabe was
quoted as saying. The constituency was instead given to Mugabe's
Zezuru nephew, Leo Mugabe, one of four close relatives standing
in safe ZANU PF constituencies.
The Zezuru hegemony
has crept up and become a fact of life in Zimbabwean politics, although
for many years there was intense debate as to the authenticity of
Mugabe's origins.
What is more
certain is that in1963, when ZANU was formed, Mugabe was appointed
to the powerful position of secretary general after being nominated
by the late Nolan Makombe, a leading Karanga who had convinced his
co-tribesmen in the movement that Mugabe was a fellow Karanga of
the influential Mugabe dynasty of chiefs from the area of the Great
Zimbabwe ruins near Masvingo. Mugabe cleverly encouraged this belief
until he was well entrenched in power.
Although at
its inception ZANU was led by Sithole, a Ndau from Manicaland from
the far east of Zimbabwe, the party was dominated by the Karangas.
Its powerful
individuals included Leopold Takawira, Nelson and Michael Mawema,
Simon Muzenda and Eddison Zvobgo - all Karangas.
The tribal composition
replicated itself in the armed wing of ZANU with the Karangas, led
by Josiah Tongogara, forming the backbone of the liberation struggle.
Other prominent Karangas were Emmerson Mnangagwa, current speaker
of parliament but now out of favour with Mugabe; retired Air Marshal
Josiah Tungamirai; and retired Army Commander Vitalis Zvinavashe.
Nathan Shamuyarira’s
rise to power illustrates how Mugabe has achieved this Zezuru hegemony.
In 1972, Chitepo beat Shamuyarira to the influential post of chairman
on the exiled ZANU War Council in Zambia.
Angered, Shamuyarira
resigned from ZANU and took the most prominent Zezuru leaders out
of the movement to form the short-lived Front for the Liberation
of Zimbabwe, Frolizi.
When in 1974
Mugabe was smuggled out of what was then Rhodesia into Mozambique
by a Manyika chief, Rekayi Tangwena, to join the chimurenga, he
was not easily accepted by the Karanga and Manyika guerrilla leadership.
But when he eventually ascended to power, the first thing he did
was to neutralise the Karanga element by imprisoning many of them
- most notably Rugare Gumbo who was the original mastermind of the
guerrilla war. Gumbo and several fellow Karanga leaders were kept
in underground pit dungeons until independence in 1980.
As soon as he
was entrenched in power in Mozambique, Mugabe invited his friend
and fellow clansman Shamuyarira to join the struggle. This move
was hugely resisted but Shamuyarira remained in Mozambique as Mugabe's
guest until independence in 1980, after which he became successively
minister of information, foreign minister and now minister of defence.
He remains Mugabe's most trusted lieutenant.
To quell any
Karanga suspicions of his tribal manoeuvres, Mugabe kept the respected
Simon Muzenda, a Karanga, as his sole vice president until the latter's
death in 2003.
Other Karangas,
such as the late firebrand lawyer Eddison Zvobgo, long seen as a
future leader of the country, were systematically downgraded to
provincial leaders. Josiah Tongogara, the military commander of
ZANU in exile, was a Karanga who died in Mozambique on the eve of
independence in an as yet unexplained car accident. Sheba Gava,
a Karanga, was the most powerful woman guerrilla during the Seventies
war but when she died in the following decade she was not granted
national heroine status although Mugabe's first wife, Sally, a Ghanaian,
was given that accolade when she died.
Local Government
Minister Ignatius Chombo, a Zezuru nephew of Mugabe, allegedly harassed
the opposition Movement for Democratic Change, MDC, mayor of Harare,
Elias Mudzuri, out of power.
Then, last December,
at ZANU PF's electoral congress, Mugabe arm-twisted his party into
voting Joyce Mujuru to the powerful new position of second vice
president, securing complete Zezuru hegemony, with a Zezuru president
and two Zezuru deputies.
But a backlash
has begun, with unpredictable consequences.
ZANU PF almost
ruptured completely in the prelude to the electoral congress when
seven provinces out of ten resisted Mujuru’s appointment to the
vice presidency, calling for the Karanga Mnangagwa to get the post.
In the subsequent
political bloodbath, Mugabe sacked his powerful information minister
Jonathan Moyo - an Ndebele - who is now standing for parliament
as an independent. Mugabe suspended six provincial chairmen from
active politics for a period of six years. All were from non-Zezuru
provinces - Manicaland, Masvingo, Midlands and Matabeleland North,
Central and South.
This is likely
to have far-reaching consequences for ZANU PF and the country. The
revolt by Moyo - until recently ZANU PF's propaganda supremo and
a Mugabe ultra-loyalist - has shown others in the ruling party it
is possible to rebel against Mugabe's political whims and perhaps
get away with it.
Although ZANU
PF is almost certain to win the March 31 election, there is a lot
of alliance building going on under the surface and in secret meeting
places.
Karangas are
saying quite openly they have had enough of being trampled upon
and talk of making plans to unseat those who they believe are being
used to weaken their power base. By the time of the 2008 presidential
election, it is more than likely that the current divisions will
manifest themselves in an explosion that could blow ZANU PF into
smithereens.
Veteran Zimbabwe
journalist and independent newspaper owner Trevor Ncube, chairman
of IWPR Africa, foresees a possible intriguing new alliance between
the Karangas and Ndebeles, together comprising half of the population.
Ncube believes
some disillusioned ZANU PF Karangas are already campaigning covertly
for the opposition MDC.
"Whatever the
outcome of this realignment of forces, ZANU PF will have to adapt
and change if it is to remain relevant after the March 31 election,"
said Ncube. "That is the grim reality it faces."
* Benedict
Unendoro is the pseudonym of an IWPR journalist in Zimbabwe.
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