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Consumer
Price Index (2001=100) - August 2006
Central Statistical
Office (CSO)
September 20, 2006
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the August CPI Time Series
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The
year on year inflation rate (annual percentage change) for
the month of August 2006 as measured by the all items Consumer Price
Index (CPI) stood at 1204.6 percent, gaining 211 percentage points
on the July rate of 993.6 percent.
This
means that prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by
an average of 1204.6 percent be-tween August 2005 and August 2006.
- The year-on-year
inflation rate is given by the percentage change in the index
of the relevant month of the current year compared with the
index of the same month in the previous year.
Food
and Non Alcoholic beverages inflation prone to transitory shocks
stood at 1116.3 percent whilst Non-food inflation stood at 1249.9
percent.
The
month on month inflation rate (monthly per-centage change) in August
2006 was 29.2 percent gaining 4.1 percentage points on the July
2006 rate of 25.1 percent.
This
means that prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by
an average of 29.2 percent from July 2006 to August 2006.
- The
month-on-month inflation rate is given by the percentage change
in the index of the relevant month of the current year compared
with the index of the previous month in the current year.
The
month on month Food and Non Alcoholic Beverages inflation stood
at 24.8 percent in August 2006. The month on month non-food inflation
stood at 31.4 percent gaining 7.4 percentage points on the July
2006 rate of 24.0 percent.
The
CPI for the month ending August 2006 stood at 256564.7 compared
to 198559.7 in July 2006 and 19666.7 in August 2005.
- The
direction and magnitude of the rate of change in year on year
inflation for a relevant month depends on how both the numerator
and the denominator (the base) change during the same month
in the current and the previous year.
The
change in average price of the basket from July 2006 to August 2006
was higher (29.2%) as measured by the change in the price index,
than the change in average price of the same basket from July 2005
to August 2005 (8.3%). That explains the rise in year on year inflation
in August 2006.
The
new Consumer Price Index
With
effect from June 2005, the CSO is publishing the new Consumer Price
Index (CPI) with new weights and a new classification in accordance
with international guidelines. The shift to a new classification
of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) has resulted in the
increase in the number of sub-groups from 34 to 68 and the number
of major groups has increased from 10 to 12.
The
number of items in the CPI basket has also been increased from 337
to 428.As a result, the CPI has become more disaggregated. However,
in the short term there would be lack of direct comparison of certain
sub-indices for which monthly and annual comparison should be achieved
in July 2005 and June 2006, respectively.
Due
to the reclassification that has been done, some new sub-groups
were created by moving individual items from one sub-group to another
sub-group. For instance, the major group "Transport and Communication"
in the previous classification was split into "Transport"
and "Communication" major groups under the new set up.
A totally new major group called "Restaurants, Cafes and Hotels"
was created.
The implementation
of the COICOP classification is also part of the harmonisation project
of Consumer Price Indices in different regions like the SADC region.
All member states are supposed to adopt the new procedure to enable
inter country comparisons of the CPI and the rate of inflation.
The
indices prior to June 2005 were all re-referenced to 2001=100. In
principle, these indices do not aggregate. However, the rates of
inflation remain the same under different weight regimes as the
relative magnitude of indices is maintained. The new weights are
therefore applicable from June 2005 onwards.
Linking
the 1995=100 with the 2001=100 base at all items level
Users
who wish to continue using the old series (the 1995=100 base) are
advised to divide the current all items index with a new base of
(2001=100) by a conversion factor of 0.12384622. For instance if
the CSO had continued with the old base (1995=100), the June 2005
all items CPI was going to be 99 754.35.For instance the July 2005
CPI at 1995 prices is 146599.5.
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August CPI Time Series
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