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Consumer
Price Index (2001=100) - March 2006
Central
Statistical Office (CSO)
April 10, 2006
The year on
year inflation rate (annual percentage change) for the month of
March 2006 as measured by the all items Consumer Price Index (CPI)
stood at 913.6 percent, gaining 131.6 percentage points on the February
rate of 782.0 percent.
This means that
prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by an average
of 913.6 percent be-tween March 2005 and March 2006.
- The year-on-year
inflation rate is given by the percentage change in the index
of the relevant month of the current year compared with the index
of the same month in the previous year.
Food and Non
Alcoholic beverages inflation prone to transitory shocks stood at
911.1 percent whilst Non-food inflation stood at 916.7 percent.
The month on
month inflation rate (monthly per-centage change) in March 2006
was 19.8 percent shedding 7.7 percentage points on the February
2006 rate of 27.5 percent.
This means that
prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by an average
of 19.8 percent from February 2006 to March 2006.
- The month-on-month
inflation rate is given by the per-centage change in the index
of the relevant month of the current year compared with the index
of the previous month in the current year.
The month on
month Food and Non Alcoholic Bev-erages inflation stood at 16.7
percent in March 2006. The month on month non-food inflation stood
at 21.3 percent shedding 16.8 percentage points on the February
2006 rate of 38.1 percent.
The CPI for
the month ending March 2006 stood at 87337.5 compared to 72927.0
in February 2006 and 8268.2 in March 2005.
- The direction
and magnitude of the rate of change in year on year inflation
for a relevant month depends on how both the numerator and the
denominator (the base) change during the same month in the current
and the previous year.
The change in
average price of the basket from February 2006 to March 2006 was
higher (19.8%) as measured by the change in the price index, than
the change in average price of the same basket from February 2005
to March 2005 (4.2%). That explains the rise in year on year inflation
in March 2006.
The new consumer
price index
With
effect from June 2005, the CSO is publishing the new Consumer Price
Index (CPI) with new weights and a new classification in accordance
with international guidelines. The shift to a new classifi-cation
of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) has resulted in the
increase in the num-ber of sub-groups from 34 to 68 and the number
of major groups has increased from 10 to 12.
The number of
items in the CPI basket has also been increased from 337 to 428.As
a result, the CPI has become more disaggregated. However, in the
short term there would be lack of direct comparison of certain sub-indices
for which monthly and annual comparison should be achieved in July
2005 and June 2006, respectively.
Due to the reclassification
that has been done, some new sub-groups were created by moving individual
items from one sub-group to another sub-group. For instance, the
major group "Transport and Communication" in the previous classification
was split into "Transport" and "Communication" major groups under
the new set up. A totally new major group called "Restaurants, Cafes
and Hotels" was created.
The implementation
of the COICOP classification is also part of the harmonisation project
of Con-sumer Price Indices in different regions like the SADC region.
All member states are supposed to adopt the new procedure to enable
inter country comparisons of the CPI and the rate of inflation.
The indices
prior to June 2005 were all re-referenced to 2001=100. In principle,
these indices do not aggregate. However, the rates of inflation
remain the same under different weight regimes as the relative magnitude
of indices is maintained. The new weights are therefore applicable
from June 2005 onwards.
Linking the
1995=100 with the 2001=100 base at all items level
Users who wish to continue using the old series (the 1995=100
base) are advised to divide the current all items index with a new
base of (2001=100) by a con-version factor of 0.12384622. For instance
if the CSO had continued with the old base (1995=100), the June
2005 all items CPI was going to be 99 754.35.For in-stance the July
2005 CPI at 1995 prices is 146599.5.
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