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Inclusive
Government: Millstones and milestones
Dewa Mavhinga, OSISA
June
30, 2011
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On 11th February
2011, Zimbabwe's Inclusive
Government (IG) marked two years in office. An uneasy and often
fractious coalition between the former ruling Zimbabwe African Nationalist
Union Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) and the two factions of the Movement
for Democratic Change (MDC), the IG has continued to limp along
even though some including President Robert Mugabe have suggested
that its lifespan technically ended on its second anniversary and
that it should have been disbanded to make way for fresh elections.
But it is clear
now that the coalition will stay in charge for the foreseeable future,
preparing the ground for a constitutional referendum and new elections
in the coming months or years. In this context, it becomes imperative
to examine the performance of the IG since its inauguration and,
in light of the goals detailed in the framework document, the Global
Political Agreement (GPA), to assess how many major milestones
have been reached and how the millstones that have hindered its
work can be removed
Back in 2008,
widespread state-sponsored
violence and the subsequent withdrawal of Morgan Tsvangirai,
the MDC candidate and winner of the first round, rendered the presidential
runoff in June illegitimate. Despite the self-evident democratic
deficit, Mugabe declared himself the winner of the one-horse race
and was swiftly inaugurated for yet another term as president. The
West and some African leaders, including Botswana's Ian Khama
and Rwanda's Paul Kagame, openly refused to accept Mugabe's
sham victory. Even the Southern African Development Community (SADC),
which had previously endorsed elections that were clearly neither
free nor fair, would not endorse the polls
Faced with the
culmination of a governance crisis that had been festering for over
a decade, SADC asked the then President of South Africa, Thabo Mbeki,
to continue to mediate between Zimbabwe's main political parties
with the aim of finding a lasting solution to the political conflict
in Zimbabwe. The product of the mediation and protracted negotiations
was the GPA, which led to the formation of the IG with Mugabe as
President and Tsvangirai as Prime Minister. The three parties all
agreed 'to work together to create a genuine, viable, permanent,
sustainable and nationally acceptable solution to the Zimbabwe situation
and implement the agreement with the aims of resolving once and
for all the current political and economic situations and chart
a new political direction for the country'. The leaders also
dedicated themselves to, 'putting an end to the polarization,
divisions, conflict and intolerance that have characterised Zimbabwean
politics and society in recent times'. Tsvangirai later noted
that his party had agreed to form the IG because it represented
the most practical means of moving Zimbabwe forward and halting
the needless suffering of its people.
Along with resolving
the political crisis, the stated purpose of the IG was to restore
economic stability, facilitate critical reforms and pave the way
for credible elections. In addition to analysing its success in
relation to these objectives, the performance of the IG must be
measured against prevailing political and socio-economic conditions
in 2008.
Undoubtedly,
the IG's efforts coupled with the replacement of the worthless
Zimbabwe dollar with a multicurrency system just before its inauguration
facilitated the restoration of a modicum of economic stability and
improved access to education and health services. There was a rapid
and marked improvement from the empty store shelves of 2008 to the
fully stocked shops of 2009, although most of the predominantly
South African products were priced beyond the reach of the 70 percent
of Zimbabweans who were and still are living on less than US$1 per
day. But the economic improvement is clear. After a decade of decline
and years of hyper-inflation, Zimbabwe boasted an inflation rate
below 5 percent in 2010 and saw its economy grow by 8 percent in
the same year thanks to a boost from mining and agriculture.
Critically,
the IG set up a parliamentary committee that initiated the constitutional
reform exercise. However, serious logistical, administrative and
funding challenges mean that the constitutional drafting process
is over a year behind schedule. Furthermore, its outreach programme,
which was intended to ensure broad public participation and build
legitimacy and credibility, was characterised by extreme polarization,
violence and intimidation in some cases involving uniformed soldiers.
Indeed, the parliamentary committee was forced to abandon several
meetings due to violence. And at least one man MDC supporter Chrispen
Mandizvidza died after he was severely beating by suspected ZANU-PF
youths at a consultative meeting in Harare in September 2010. It
is increasingly unlikely that any product from this process will
be credible and genuinely reflect the wishes and aspirations of
Zimbabweans.
The IG also
implemented a narrow range of institutional and legislative reforms,
including the realignment of the Central Bank and the establishment
of a number of key bodies, such as the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission,
the Zimbabwe Human Rights Commission and the Zimbabwe Media Commission.
The Media Commission went on to license new players in the print
media sector, although only a few have actually commenced business.
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