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The effects of the events in North Africa on Zimbabwean politics
- SPT-Zimbabwe Update No.1
Solidarity Peace Trust
March 17, 2011
http://www.solidaritypeacetrust.org/1004/spt-zimbabwe-update-no-1/
Given the economic
and political convulsions that have marked Zimbabwean politics for
the last decade, it is not surprising that the momentous events
in North Africa have been imported and constructed in contested
ways by the major political players in Zimbabwe. With the Zimbabwean
landscape torn by the polemical rupture between the redistributive
language of the ruling party Zanu PF that has monopolized the legacy
of the liberation struggle, and the opposition MDCs and civic movement
that were formatively shaped by the politics of human rights and
constitutionalism from the 1990's, the complex events of the Maghreb
have resonated differently within Zimbabwe.
Mugabe's
Zanu PF have responded with a combination of renewed coercion of
opposition and civic leaders, and combined this with the launch
of their campaign for the next election which could take place in
either 2011 or 2012. Soon after the events in Tunisia and Egypt,
Zanu PF organized a form of pre-emptive demonstrations and violence
demanding a greater indigenization of the economy. This action and
its accompanying demand need to be understood within the context
of the Mugabe regime's attempt to construct the 'sanctions'
or 'targeted measures' imposed by the EU and US on key
figures of Zanu PF for human rights abuses since 2000, as a regime
change strategy that amounted to broader economic sanctions against
the people of Zimbabwe. The sanctions campaign has thus become the
central focus of the ruling party's strategy both as a central
election strategy and as an attempt to mobilize popular opinion
to give the impression that the real heirs of the events in North
Africa are not the opposition forces but the ruling party itself.
In this scenario the popular risings in North Africa have been interpreted
as struggles against authoritarian regimes propped up by Western
imperialism and thus sharing a common vision with Zanu PF's
anti-imperialist message. In the words of one of its key media messengers,
Tafataona Mahoso:
"In what
ways can the anti-sanctions launch be compared and contrasted with
what people have been trying in Tunisia, Egypt, Bahrain, Jordan,
Yemen and Libya? The answer is imperialism, made up of the imposition
of neoliberal corporatist policies expressed in our region as structural
adjustment programmes; made up of the unilateral Nato-driven security
programme called the 'war on terror' in the Middle East
and masquerading as Africom in the rest of Africa; made up of the
global financial crisis and Western efforts to prescribe responses
to the crisis for other regions of the world; made up of the myth
of 'change' and 'democracy' which tries
to substitute mere words for real work, production and livelihoods;
and made up of strenuous efforts to impose and maintain the Western
media template on the rest of the world."
Furthermore
as one of Zanu PF's chief ideologues, Jonathan Moyo writes,
this battle against the 'regime change sanctions' strategy
is the latest in a long-line of anti-colonial struggles to 'reclaim'
the rights of the 'indigenous people' to the resources
of the country. Thus the battles against the colonial regime were
continued in the land struggles of the post 2000 period and in the
current conjuncture find their embodiment in the fight to impose
majority indigenous control over the entire economy. Key to this
final struggle, cast in an 'End of History' worldview,
is the intent to mobilise the youth as the key beneficiary of this
process.
In both these
constructions the battle for democratization and human rights in
North Africa is either ignored or denigrated as a foreign, Western
agenda. Moreover there has been a selective coverage of the events
in North Africa with limited coverage in the state media of the
events in Libya compared to the much wider reportage of the events
in Egypt and Tunisia. Because of the Mugabe regime's close
relationship with Gaddafi, the state media has largely parroted
Gaddafi's interpretation of the popular demonstrations in
Libya as a Western-sponsored ploy to effect 'illegal regime
change'.
Armed with such
interpretations of events in North Africa the Zanu PF state arrested
45 activists in early March 2011 who had gathered to view a video
on the North African protests. 36 of these activists have since
been released but the rest have been charged with treason. Aside
from this incident there have been two bogus campaigns calling for
mass protests through the social networking websites that predictably
have come to naught. This is because whatever the similarities in
the authoritarian regimes confronting the peoples of North Africa
and Zimbabwe, there are crucial differences. The 'Egypt moment'
in Zimbabwe occurred in the late 1990's when a strong alliance of
trade union and civic forces confronted the Mugabe regime in a series
of strikes, stay-aways, demonstrations, the creation of a vibrant
constitutional movement and the formation of a strong, national,
and multi class opposition party that effectively challenged the
ruling party at the polls throughout the 2000's, and in 2008, against
great odds and a long history of state violence, defeated the party
of liberation in the elections of that year. The decisive difference
between the current events in North Africa and the situation in
Zimbabwe was the role of the military, which in Zimbabwe effectively
blocked the popular vote from being translated into a change of
state power.
In the current
moment it is highly unlikely that such an uprising will occur again,
the least important reason being the lower levels of internet penetration
in Zimbabwe. More fundamentally the livelihood structure of the
Zimbabwean economy has been completely deconstructed in the period
of the crisis, with the formal working class effectively decimated,
thus undercutting a key constituency of the opposition movement.
Moreover there has been a movement of some 2 million Zimbabweans
into the dispora that has in some ways displaced the crisis at national
levels onto a broader regional and international plane. The land
occupations of the post 2000 period have also, not only caused displacement
and economic disruption; they have also created a constituency for
Zanu PF through the substantive numbers of Zimbabweans who have
received land. Thus the Mugabe regime has countered the challenge
to its sovereignty in elections, by calling on the legitimacy and
sovereignty it claims from the legacy of the liberation struggle
and the taking of land from the former settler community. This conflict
of sovereignties, underwritten by persistent state violence and
coercion, has complicated the democratic struggles in Zimbabwe and
made any easy comparison with events in North Africa, which have
their own enormous complexities, untenable.
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