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Election 2011: Is Zimbabwe ready?
Crisis in Zimbabwe Coalition
November 05, 2010

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Recently, the Crisis in Zimbabwe Coalition issued a press statement directed at the African National Congress (ANC).

In the presser, the Coalition called upon the South African ruling party and its allies, the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu) and the South African Communist Party (SACP) to "insist that political parties in Zimbabwe, particularly ZANU-PF which controls the country's security forces, must strictly adhere to principles of democracy and respect for the basic rights of all Zimbabweans."

Addressing the ANC was not out of place. Indeed, the crisis in Zimbabwe has effectively become South Africa's domestic problem. Zimbabweans still cross the Limpopo in search of a normal life with bare necessities, the proverbial greener pastures. A lot more are making their stay in the country quasi-permanent, only going back as far as the Beitbridge border post to renew their visitor's permits when they expire. Some have even stopped doing that altogether.

That the South African government has introduced a new visa regime targeted at Zimbabweans alone shows a significant recognition of the problems and challenges the crises (social, economic and political) in Zimbabwe have presented on Pretoria's doorstep.

Whilst this new regime has been widely welcomed, especially by the Zimbabweans who have been granted amnesty and are currently being issued with permits visas allowing them to work, study or run businesses in South Africa, greater premium needs to be placed on seeking a lasting solution to the Zimbabwe crisis so that none of these Zimbabweans ever have to find themselves in this position again.

As the Coalition put it in the press statement; "it is in South Africa and the southern Africa region's interest to ensure that the situation in Zimbabwe is resolved before it leads to regional instability." With all parties to the Global Political Agreement (GPA), signed two years ago expressing exasperation and seeking ways out of the current arrangement, negotiated outcome of the March 2008 poll, all indications are that Zimbabwe will go to the polls at least once in 2011 - for the referendum following the writing of a new constitution. But then again, President Robert Mugabe has equivocally stated that he would call for an election with or without a new constitution.

Violence and politically motivated arrests marred consultations on the new constitution which ended this past week. process of making consultations on the Last time around, the Parliamentary Select Committee (Copac) which was charged with running the process, at one time suspended the exercise after incidents of violence occurred in Harare and Bulawayo.

This violence and intimidation witnessed during this consultation process are sure indicators of things to come in Zimbabwe. It is clear the machinery for violence are still running, well-oiled and serviced. It has been the Government of National Unity (GNU) most glaring failure - to effectively expose the operators of such machinery, their locations (militia camps) and unmask their identities. Now they have engaged fifth geared and put foot to pedal in a bid to bludgeon anyone who does not subscribe to their school of thought into 'line'. It has also been the Southern African Development Community's (SADC) failure. There has been no sense of urgency in dealing with the Zimbabwe crisis from this body. Yet they have a key role to play, especially in ensuring that Zimbabwe holds a free and fair poll that will result in a democratic retention or transfer of power to the eventual winner.

SADC still has an opportunity - a huge one. Hence, this body must insist on full compliance of its guidelines on elections. Secondly, SADC needs to understand that the absence of gunshots does not mean the absence of conflict. Therefore, the body needs to make preparations to send 'peace-keeping monitors' - well ahead of time - to Zimbabwe so that they can monitor the situation and prevent the prevalence of violence and intimidation.

Lastly, SADC should be appalled by the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission's (ZEC) position that it is ready to conduct elections in Zimbabwe. There is no possible way that ZEC can deliver a credible poll under the current circumstances. Capacity constraints hampered by a lack of technical support mean that efficiency will suffer in the whole process. Just recently, the Zimbabwe Electoral Support Network (ZESN) urged the "complete overhaul and restructuring of ZEC secretariat with a view to reform the institution into a professional body that is non-partisan."

ZESN further called for ZEC to be "capacitated and resourced to improve its ability to manage elections efficiently and effectively." At the end of the day, what Zimbabweans really want is a credible process that can restore the confidence and trust which has been lost at every election in the recent past.

Can Zimbabwe truly and honestly give that to her people under the current conditions? No.

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