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This article participates on the following special index pages:
Talks, dialogue, negotiations and GNU - Post June 2008 "elections" - Index of articles
Towards
a negotiated settlement in Zimbabwe: Speech given to Bulawayo Agenda
meeting
David
Coltart
July 18, 2008
http://davidcoltart.com/archive/2008/447
Introduction
It is appropriate for
me to open my speech by conveying hearty congratulations to Nelson
Mandela on his 90th birthday. I think I speak on behalf of all here
today in wishing him continued health and happiness as he enters
the twilight of his long and illustrious life. It is also appropriate
to refer to Nelson Mandela in the context of today's meeting.
As terrible and as insurmountable as the problems we face in Zimbabwe
appear to be today the fact is that South Africa was in a similar
crisis in the late 1980s. South Africans managed to negotiate a
settlement which culminated in the end of apartheid, the introduction
of the new Constitution and the laying down of a new foundation
on which to construct a modern, vibrant, free and democratic state.
Whilst the international community played a constructive role in
bringing South Africans together, ultimately it was South Africans
themselves who negotiated a new beginning for South Africa.
Key to the success of
the South Africa negotiations was of course the towering figure
of Nelson Mandela himself. More than any other single factor it
was his wisdom, his commitment to genuine reconciliation, his commitment
to a peaceful resolution and, most importantly, his profound commitment
to freedom, liberty and democracy that ensured the success of the
negotiations. There were many occasions when the negotiations could
have floundered; for example when Chris Hani was assassinated South
Africa could have slipped back easily into anarchy and civil war.
It took the wisdom and calm head of Nelson Mandela to pull the process
through those crises.
One of the great strengths
of Nelson Mandela is his humility and modestly. He has always been
on the first to acknowledge that he was fortunate to be surrounded
by other great leaders who also had level heads. South Africa was
fortunate that it had people of the calibre of FW De Klerk, Cyril
Ramaposa and Roelff Meyer involved in the negotiation process. There
is no doubt that they played a key role in keeping the negotiations
on track. They had the wisdom to know the right time to compromise
and the right issues to compromise on. They had the strength to
haul recalcitrant elements in their respective political parties
along with them.
It seems almost certain
that a Memorandum of Understanding will be signed next week. Whilst
the MOU will undoubtedly be a positive step forward towards a negotiated
settlement in Zimbabwe, may pitfalls still lie ahead and we will
need Mandela-like wisdom to negotiate them.
A few weeks ago in London
Nelson Mandela commented on the Zimbabwean crisis using four words
which are profoundly significant as we move towards a negotiated
settlement. He said that the Zimbabwean crisis was, and I quote,
a "tragic failure of leadership". At that time many
took his comments as an attack on Robert Mugabe alone. However I
do not believe that his comments were directed solely at Robert
Mugabe. I believe that he was referring to a collective failure
of leadership in Zimbabwe not just this year but over a protracted
period.
It is just over 50 years
since Garfield Todd's tenure as Prime Minister of Southern
Rhodesia ended on the 17th of February 1958. In his farewell statement
Garfield Todd said "we must make it possible for every individual
to lead the good life, to win a place in the sun. We are in danger
of becoming a race of fear ridden neurotics-we who live in the finest
country on earth". Those wise words have been disregarded
by a succession of political leaders in Zimbabwe for the last 50
years. Zimbabwe has been blighted during the last 50 years by political
leaders of all races and of all ideologies who have been guilty
of the following errors of judgement:
1. They
believe in physical force rather than moral force
Since the early 1960s
Zimbabwean political parties have generally been led by men who
believe that physical force is more important than moral force.
The 1961 Constitution would have led to a gradual and orderly transition
from white minority rule to majority rule but it was derailed by
both black and white politicians who did not believe in compromise
and who preferred to place their faith in the use of force and violence
either to retain power or to acquire it. The politics of the 1960s
and 1970s were marked by a shocking lack of commitment by most political
leaders to seek non-violent means of resolving the then political
crisis. Since 1980 we have been led by a regime that has a deep-rooted
belief in and commitment to the use of violence to achieve political
objectives. Tragically as so often happens under tyrannical regimes
those who oppose tyranny sometimes get poisoned by tyranny and themselves
replicate or mirror the methods used by the very tyrannical regimes
they oppose. Zimbabwe has been no exception and I have no doubt
that the struggle for freedom has been compromised periodically
when we in the opposition have lapsed into the thinking that our
problems may be resolved through the use of physical force and violence.
I was horrified to read
recently statements made by a few senior opposition leaders which
betray this thinking. One threatened a "shooting war"
and went on to say that the MDC should not be blamed "when
we start." Another wrote that an option was to "pick
up arms of war" and drive Mugabe out. Whilst I fully understand
the deep sense of frustration which leads to statements like this
being made, these utterances are irresponsible. War, or the threat
of war, should never be part of our lexicon, especially during any
negotiation process. That is the language we expect to hear from
Mugabe - it should never come from a democrat at this juncture
of our history.
All democratic political
leaders must consider the legacy of the last 50 years of violence
in Zimbabwe. We need to all understand that it is this continual
reversion to violence which has brought our great nation to the
sorry state is in today. Unless all political leaders unequivocally
revoke the use or threat of violence there will never be a meaningful
negotiated settlement in Zimbabwe. And it is simply no excuse for
opposition leaders to threaten the use of violence or war in response
to the shocking brutality exercised by this regime against the Zimbabwean
people. All those threats will do is perpetuate the horrifying cycle
of violence this country has experienced in the last 50 years. In
short war or the threat of war is simply not an option. If the talks,
which are about to commence, are to succeed that threat should never
be used by anyone, certainly not by the democrats.
Accordingly if a negotiated
settlement is to be achieved there needs to be a fundamental commitment
to the use of non violent means to settle the political crisis henceforth.
Martin Luther King in 1963 drafted a pledge for the Alabama Christian
Movement for Human Rights. Paragraph 8 of their pledge records a
commitment to "refrain from the violence of fist, tongue or
heart". I do not believe that one can wave a fist and speak
of peace at the same time. The two are mutually exclusive. And whilst
of course it is ZANU PF which has been overwhelmingly responsible
for most of the violence the fault does not just lie with them.
We in the opposition have also on occasions been guilty of simply
paying lip service to the use of non-violence. One of the greatest
tragedies of the struggle for freedom during the last eight years
is the fact that in the last three months several of the young men
within the opposition who were suspended in 2005 for deviating from
the opposition's policy of non-violence have now themselves
been brutally assassinated by the ZANU PF regime's hit squads.
I cannot help but feel that had they been led more actively along
a different path they may have survived to see a new dawn of freedom
and tolerance in Zimbabwe. But that is now past and we must move
forward.
I should stress that
whilst my sentiments in this regard are mainly rooted in principle
and morality there are also practical reasons why violence and the
threat of war is simply not an option, and indeed never have been.
Firstly it is trite that if one is going to make a threat one should
be able to carry it out if it is to carry any weight. For reasons
which require another whole speech the opposition has not managed
to organise mass protests against the regime so its chances of successfully
organising a war are minimal. There is no public will for war. We
do not have neighbouring States which would in any way support a
war. So, even if one believes in war it is in reality a hollow threat
so serves no purpose. Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, we
must understand that one of our greatest strengths internationally
is that we have by and large demonstrated a commitment to using
peaceful, non-violent, democratic methods to achieve our political
goals and that has generated immense sympathy for our cause throughout
the world. The world has a limited attention span and interest and
often support comes down to a simple understanding of who the "good
guys" and the "bad guys" are. In Zimbabwe, certainly
this year, it has been very easy for the world to grasp who has
been "good" and "bad". Despite strenuous
efforts made by ZANU PF to avoid responsibility for the horrors
our nation has experienced since March, the world knows who is responsible
and that is one of the main reasons why ZANU PF is so isolated now,
even in Africa.
Accordingly if we are
to negotiate a settlement there must be a profound commitment to
refrain from the violence of the fist, tongue and heart by the opposition,
irrespective of what ZANU PF leaders have done or are planning to
do. We must recognise that we occupy the high ground morally as
we enter this process and we must not lose that position by making
foolhardy threats at this critical juncture.
2. They
are concentrated on either the retention or acquisition of power
rather than the national interest
I question what has happened
to all our patriots? It seems to me that our nation has been blighted
by a succession of leaders who are more concerned with their personal
interests or the narrow interests of their own political parties
and supporters then they are in the great nation state of Zimbabwe.
This should be a great nation; it is richly endowed with bright
articulate hard-working people; with rich natural resources; with
the best climate in the world; it is a country of stunning natural
beauty. As Garfield Todd said over 50 years ago it is indeed the
finest country on earth. How can it then be that the finest country
on earth is the location of one of the world's worst nightmares?
I believe that is primarily because our political leadership has
for decades put selfish personal interests ahead of the national
interest.
One of the reasons the
Lancaster house talks did not provide a long-term resolution to
Zimbabwe's problems is because white rights were put before
the entrenchment of universally recognised human rights. Instead
of ensuring that the new Zimbabwean Constitution deeply rooted democratic
principles there was a concentration on protecting white interests.
In contrast both FW De Klerk and Roelff Meyer in the South African
negotiations recognised that it was more important to entrench democracy
for all than it was to seek to protect white privilege.
Likewise the reason the
December 22, 1987 Unity Accord has come unstuck is because it accommodated
the interests of the political leadership of ZANU PF and ZAPU rather
than the general interests of the Zimbabwean people. One of the
reasons there is such antipathy in Zimbabwe today regarding a government
of national unity is because of the 1987 Unity Accord. The Unity
Accord is viewed by most people, certainly in Matabeleland, as a
settlement which benefited a few leaders that which did not entrench
democracy and so lay the foundation for meaningful economic development
which would benefit all Zimbabweans.
Sadly that attitude continues
to this day and applies to both ZANU PF and the MDC. I fear that
the current negotiations may focus on who gets what instead of what
structural reforms are needed to put Zimbabwe back on the road to
recovery. If the negotiations focus on how much power is either
retained by ZANU PF or acquired by the MDC rather than the policy
reforms needed then any settlement that arises from the negotiations
will not be wholeheartedly embraced by the Zimbabwean people.
To this extent who leads
the country and who is in any Cabinet is irrelevant. Let me be quite
clear what I mean. Obviously the democratic will of the people of
Zimbabwe as reflected in the 29th of March 2008 elections must be
respected. However the problems Zimbabwe face are so severe and
intractable that we cannot allow petty bickering about who gets
what to derail the negotiations. All national leaders must recommit
themselves to the national interest and be prepared to subordinate
their personal goals and ambitions to what is in the best interests
of Zimbabwe. This means that in the interests of compromise there
may have to be some power-sharing mechanism during a transitional
period.
In this regard
let me briefly respond to the statement issued by the civil society
organisations 15
July in which they call upon a transitional government to have
"leadership by a neutral body" and a transitional government
"headed by an individual who is not a member of ZANU PF or
MDC". Once again whilst I appreciate the sentiment which lies
behind the statement one cannot just disregard the wishes of the
Zimbabwean people as expressed on the 29th of March. Our society
remains deeply polarised and we cannot ignore the fact that leaders
on both sides of the political divide enjoy the passionate support
of their respective supporters. They have been given a mandate by
their supporters and that mandate must be respected in the negotiation
process. However it is because of that deep polarisation that I
believe we will have to consider some interim power sharing mechanism.
And it goes without saying that power-sharing involves compromise
on both sides. As a lawyer who has been involved in human rights
issues and who has been concerned about the problem of impunity
for my entire professional life I do not like compromise on certain
issues. However at this juncture of our nation's history I
do not see any alternative which will bring our nation's tragedy
to an end without further loss of blood.
Tragic
consequences
We need to recognise
that the world is passed us by during the last 50 years. I think
that Bulawayo airport stands as a monument, a constant reminder
to us of our lost opportunities. It was built in the 1950s some
20 kilometres from the city centre, an island in a sea of trees
and bush. It was designed that way because our city fathers anticipated
that there would be great growth in Bulawayo. However it remains
an island because Bulawayo and Zimbabwe has stagnated for 50 years.
Indeed if anything our economy is now smaller than it was in the
1950s. We have suffered 50 years of lost opportunities and this
country's great potential has not been realised. We need to
all now draw a line on the sand and move forward.
But the tragic consequences
are not solely confined to economic collapse. Almost of greater
concern to me is the collapse of the moral fabric of our society.
We need to consider the effect of 50 years of violence on our national
character. In this regard and I am not only speaking about the victims
of violence but also about the perpetrators. In the last few weeks
I have seen horrifying injuries inflicted on Zimbabweans by young
men. Doctors say that some of these injuries are so severe that
they would never occur, for example, in a traffic accident. Bones
had been broken repeatedly by young men acting on the instructions
of their political leaders. I have no doubt that they will be haunted
by what they have done in the years that lie ahead. Scientific studies
show that those who inflict violence on political opponents often
go on to inflict violence on those they love including spouses and
children. It is also a fact that we now have a deeply ingrained
culture of violence. The Genie is out the bottle and it will be
difficult to get it back in even if there is political will shown
by ZANU PF. If negotiations are to succeed then not only must this
violence stop immediately but other measures must be taken to ensure
that violence does not derail either the talks or the transition.
In these circumstances
the demand by the MDC that all violence should stop, that political
detainees should be released and that is NGOs be allowed to distribute
food are reasonable. However I would qualify these demands by recognising
that even if ZANU PF gives undertakings it will be difficult to
verify the compliance of those undertakings in the short term and
to change the mind set of a generation of youth militia overnight.
I believe that SADC has a key role to play in this regard. I think
the State should immediately deploy civilian monitors to report
back to the facilitators regarding whether militia camps have been
removed, whether NGOs are able to function and other legitimate
issues of concern have been addressed. I think that if such a commitment
is given by SADC then negotiations should commence without further
ado. But we must recognise that unless there are neutral SADC monitors
deployed in the country eruptions of violence are more likely to
occur and these may have the effect of disrupting the talks.
It follows as well that
a crucial aspect of the talks must be how to tackle the culture
of violence so that it does not derail any transitional period agreed
to in the talks. Time does not permit me to go into what is needed
in this regard. Suffice it to say that we must not underestimate
how serious this problem is and our need for an ongoing presence
of SADC monitors even during the transitional period. In short even
after the talks have ended the world must not pass us by -
we will need an ongoing international help and commitment, especially
from our SADC brothers and sisters, to stabilise our beloved country.
The
way ahead
No GNU
For the reasons I have
outlined above a government of national unity will be viewed with
extreme scepticism by most Zimbabweans. The fear of Zimbabweans
is that the government of national unity will draw in unscrupulous
political leaders who then become part of a corrupt system. The
fear is that those leaders are then compromised and that they will
fail to deal with the fundamental problems facing Zimbabwe.
Transitional
authority
It is for this reason
that a transitional authority should be agreed to and I would like
to discuss a few aspects of this authority. Before I do so let me
respond to those who may say that there is no difference between
a GNU and a Transitional Authority. Some argue that this is just
about semantics. I disagree - the difference is all about
emphasis. A GNU focuses on "unity"; substance is secondary
and the notion of a transition to something different is completely
subordinate to unity. A Transitional Authority focuses on "transition".
There can, and must of course, be unity in transition but the emphasis
is on a transition to something new, not just a changing of the
guard at the top.
1. Composition
In the same statement
issued by civil society organisations yesterday they said that the
transitional authority should be neutral and should include all
representatives of civil society groups including churches. That
sounds fine in theory that a major problem faces us all in agreeing
who is neutral. In addition agreement would have to be reached within
civil society as to who from civil society should be included in
any such transitional authority. One needs to ask the question "what
is a person's mandate". How will agreement reached regarding
who should represent civil society, especially bearing in mind the
urgency of the crisis? Bearing in mind that the civic organisations
which have made this call are generally aligned to the MDC there
must be a danger that if inclusion is insisted upon that "civic
organisations" aligned to ZANU PF, such as the War Veterans
Association and others, will make similar demands. In short whilst
one understands the need for inclusion there are practical problems
which should not be allowed to derail or hinder the process at this
juncture.
My own belief is that
any transitional authority emerging from the talks should generally
respect the will of the people as expressed on the 29th of March
2008. As stated above because our nation is so deeply polarised
there will have to be a power-sharing arrangement during the transition
including all the political parties given a mandate by the electorate
in March. However during the transition civil society will have
to play a major role in certain aspects of the transitional authority's
mandate, especially regarding the process which should culminate
in a new democratic constitution.
2. Duration
Any transitional authority
agreed to should have a finite mandate. It must be made clear that
the authority will not have a mandate to govern indefinitely. In
addition the duration of the authority should be as short as possible;
and it should be understood that it is to govern in the short term
- I would hope for no longer than 18 months to two years.
3. Mandate
It seems to me that there
are four critical areas that need to be addressed by a transitional
authority.
A. The economic crisis
The transitional authority
should be mandated to stabilise the economy, to seek balance of
payments support, to tackle inflation by engaging institutions such
as the World Bank and the IMF. It will need to draw on technical
expertise from qualified Zimbabweans and others who can introduce
the necessary economic policies to stop Zimbabwe's economic
freefall.
B. The humanitarian crisis
Zimbabwe is arguably
suffering the world's greatest humanitarian crisis at present.
The country faces a severe food shortage; our hospitals are devoid
of qualified personnel and medication. An absolute priority of the
transitional authority should be to engage the international community
to ensure the importation of the necessary food and drugs and introduction
of policies which will attract qualified personnel to return to
Zimbabwe to address the food and health crisis.
C. The Constitutional
crisis
At the root of the political,
economic and humanitarian crises is our deeply flawed Constitution.
The transitional authority should immediately engage all Zimbabwean
political parties, civic organisations that trade union movements,
churches and other interested organisations to recommence the constitutional
debate and to agree on an all-inclusive process which will culminate
in a new constitution.
D. Fresh elections
Once the economy has
been stabilised, the humanitarian crisis addressed and a new constitution
enacted the transitional authority should hand over to a genuinely,
and objectively verifiable, Independent Electoral Commission which
will then conduct and genuinely free and fair elections supervised
by SADC and the AU.
Unique
opportunity
Zimbabwe has reached
a political stalemate. There is no way out for ZANU PF. Its nemesis
is now the economy. It has no solution to hyperinflation. It knows
that in the coming weeks and months it will not even be able to
feed key elements of its support base. To that extent it has no
choice but to negotiate. Likewise the combined MDC in respecting
its moral and practical commitment to a non violent solution to
the Zimbabwean crisis must recognise that it to too has no choice
but to negotiate, no matter how unpalatable that may be in certain
respects.
Despite our fears and
reservations we must see this as a unique opportunity to negotiate
a peaceful settlement for our nation. Our country is in great peril
today. We can either allow it to continue down its present slide
to destruction and oblivion or we can all work together to seize
this opportunity to lay the foundations for a great nation. I reiterate
again the words of Garfield Todd made over 50 years ago - this is
indeed the finest country on earth. It is missing one key ingredient
at present - democracy. When that ingredient is rooted I have no
doubt that the Zimbabwe will yet become the jewel of Africa.
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