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This article participates on the following special index pages:

  • 2008 harmonised elections - Index of articles


  • Examining the popular and presidential choice - hiding or run off?
    Idasa

    April 10, 2008

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    While the world waits anxiously for the announcement of the Presidential Elections in Zimbabwe, it seems to pay less and less attention to the results that have been already revealed and their implications - not only for how they will affect the political terrain in Zimbabwe and the SADC region, but also for what can be deduced about the occluded Presidential results.

    Methodology

    This was an unusual election in Zimbabwe in several ways. Firstly, the actual results have been made available, courtesy of the requirement under the Electoral Act to post results on the outside of every polling station, as well as constituency command posts. This was required under the previous Act, but ignored in the 2005 election. This meant that accurate results could be obtained for every constituency, as well as for every type of poll - Presidential, House of Assembly, Senate, and Local Government, and has changed the nature of this election immeasurably.

    Secondly, there were a number of independent measures of the ZEC results based on the results posted outside polling stations. The activist group Sokwanele published the findings of Parallel Voter Tabulation [PVT] for 118 constituencies for the House of Assembly results by the time of going to press. ZESN (the Zimbabwe Election Support Network) has also been collecting the posted results, but all that was available by the time of going to press was the ZESN Parallel Voter Tabulation [PVT] findings for the Presidential Election.

    Thus, for the present report, we are able to test the veracity of the ZEC results for the House of Assembly against the PVT produced by Sokwanele only. However, we are also able to test the House of Assembly results against the Senate results reported by ZEC. If the ZEC figures are shown to be reliable against the PVT count, then the full ZEC figures for the House of Assembly and Senate can be used with some confidence to make deductions about the presidential poll.

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