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Robert Mugabe: An appreciation on his 84th birthday
Sokwanele
February 21, 2008

http://www.sokwanele.com/articles/mugabe84_21022007

By any of the normal indices by which one judges the success of a leader of a modern nation state, he is a failure, and an abject failure at that. Yet still, after 28 years of disastrous rule, he remains at the helm and, incredibly, at the age of 84 he is putting himself forward again as a candidate - ZANU PF's only official candidate - for a further term as President of Zimbabwe. Such is the overwhelming arrogance of the man, Robert Mugabe. And that, with such a record of shame, he should have even the remotest prospect of prolonging his tenure in office, is testament only to the experience and expertise his regime has acquired in defying the democratic process.

At independence in 1980, Zimbabwe seemed poised on the threshold of an era of great promise. That independence was won at the cost of a bitter and protracted civil war, but now the proud nation was bursting with new confidence. Robert Mugabe was widely acclaimed as a hero - a revolutionary leader who had committed to the cause of reconciliation and the path of pragmatism. Western governments were falling over themselves in the rush to provide offers of aid. In the general euphoria then prevailing Julius Nyerere of Tanzania counselled Mugabe: "You have inherited a jewel. Keep it that way."

28 years on that precious jewel of Africa lies in ruins, giving an ironic twist to the name of the country which is derived from the ancient ruins of the stone fortress, dzimba dza mabwe, or "house of stone".

Officially Zimbabwe now ranks fifth on the World Failed States Index, after such countries as Somalia and North Korea. In truth by whatever index the country's performance is measured, it must be counted as either a failed or failing state.

The Economy
Starting with the economy, a few statistics give the measure of that failure. To mention but a few of the key indices: the current (official) year-on-year rate of inflation is in excess of 66,000 per cent (nearly double that of the Weimar Republic in 1923); between 1998 and 2006 the GDP shrank by 42 per cent, making Zimbabwe's the world's fastest shrinking economy outside a war zone; at a conservative best estimate four out of five Zimbabweans are unemployed - and following the cascade of desperate Zimbabweans leaving the country in search of work, it is now the case that 75 per cent of Zimbabweans with a job are employed outside the country; and an estimated 80 per cent of the population is now living below the poverty threshold . . .

One could go on, and to put these mind-boggling figures into perspective, it should be remembered that at independence in 1980 Zimbabwe had the second largest economy in southern Africa and the third highest GDP per capita. Furthermore between 1980 and 2001 the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Africa Development Bank pumped a combined 2.4 billion US dollars into the economy. Disastrous economic decisions driven by a short-term political agenda, have brought a once buoyant economy to the brink of collapse. And those trying to rescue it have found themselves on the wrong side of "Mugabe law" - like the 28,000 business executives and captains of industry who in 2007 were arrested, detained or charged by the police, their "crime" being to fail to comply with an edict slashing prices to below the cost of their products. The result of course was simply to empty the shelves of most supermarkets across the country.

One could go on - to mention the tourist industry which has been turned around from one of the fastest-growing sectors of the economy with an average annual growth rate of 18.5 per cent between 1989 and 1998 to an industry showing a decline in revenues of 84 per cent over the years 1999 to 2004. Or one could mention the 80 per cent of wildlife on commercial farms and conservancies which has been wiped out. The evidence of economic vandalism is everywhere about us.

Agriculture
Agriculture was always the backbone of Zimbabwe's economy and here, under Mugabe's tenure of power, we have seen the country plunge from breadbasket of the region to a basket case.

The UN Food and Agriculture Year Book of 1975 ranked the then Rhodesia second in the world in terms of yields of maize, wheat, soya beans and groundnuts, and third for cotton. In the combined ranking for all these crops the country ranked first in the world.

Zimbabwe was the world's second largest exporter of flue-cured tobacco and, together with exports of maize, soya beans, cotton, sugar, coffee, tea, fruit, flowers and beef, agriculture was the country's greatest foreign currency earner, providing more employment than any other industry.

Today up to 70 per cent of commercial agriculture has been destroyed and 90 per cent of the country's arable land lies fallow following Mugabe's disastrous land-reform. Of the 4,300 large-scale commercial farmers operating in Zimbabwe in 2000, only between 350 and 400 now remain on the land. Other once-productive farms now lie derelict, the homesteads occupied by Mugabe's political cronies - from the Chief Justice to a disgraced bishop of the Church, with a thousand other opportunistic individuals in between. Meanwhile an estimated 500,000 former farm labourers and their families have been chased off the land, to become homeless and destitute in a country that has not a semblance of any social safety net.

Agricultural experts estimate that the production of maize and soya beans has fallen by more than 50 per cent, with tobacco and coffee production falling by more than 75 per cent. Wheat production has declined by almost 90 per cent, and the commercial beef herd is now a mere 20 per cent of what it once was.

From breadbasket to basket case, a once-vibrant agricultural industry has been plundered and looted in order to sustain Mugabe's vast system of political patronage.

Food Security
As a direct result of the catastrophic decline of agriculture and the economy the nation's food security has been shattered. The UN World Food Programme has named Zimbabwe as one of the Global Hunger Hotspots. It estimates that 4 million people are now threatened with hunger and starvation, and has increased its own food distribution from 2.5 million in December to 3 million this month. Oxfam's assessment is that between 30 and 40 per cent of all households are now in need of food aid. Aid agencies, battling to respond to an escalating crisis, are now faced with the stark reality that 45 per cent of the population is already in various stages of malnutrition.

Diaspora
Faced with such widespread and acute food shortages across the country, the meltdown of the economy and massive unemployment, is it any wonder that an estimated 4 million Zimbabweans, or one in four of the population, have taken refuge outside the country ? They have joined the ranks of the huge, and still growing, Diaspora.

In 2006 it was estimated that 70 per cent of the 18 to 65 age group were living outside the country. This represents the biggest proportional mass movement of a population in peacetime in modern history. Moreover this mass migration is itself having the most profound negative impact upon almost every aspect of the nation's life. Already we can see the near destruction of Zimbabwe's middle class, the disintegration of family life and the undermining of many of the nation's core religious and cultural values.

Health Care
Zimbabwe is undoubtedly within the world's top tier of countries devastated by the HIV/AIDS pandemic. Official statistics for 2001 put the number of those infected with the virus at 24.6 per cent of the adult population. The problem is compounded by the severe food shortages, and by the understandable reluctance of donor countries to commit to a radical programme of anti-retroviral treatment (as elsewhere on the continent) because of the regime's record of tampering with aid programmes.

An estimated 3,500 Zimbabweans therefore are dying each week through a combination of poverty, malnutrition and AIDS. The average life expectancy in the country has now plunged to 37 years for men and 34 years for women - these figures being even lower than for Sierra Leon, one of the poorest countries on the face of the planet which is still recovering from a period of bloody civil war.

Zimbabwe has the highest number of orphans per capita in the world - something in excess of 1.6 million, or one in four of all children. At this rate it is approaching the historic levels set in Rwanda after the genocide in 1994.

Faced with this gargantuan challenge the country's health delivery system is in a state of virtual collapse. Hospitals and clinics, which once offered an unparalleled service to the nation, can no longer afford even the most basic drugs. Starved of the resources required to even begin to face the challenge, health officials have witnessed a steady haemorrhaging of nurses and doctors to countries in which they can at least sustain a tolerable standard of living. According to its own figures the Ministry responsible has been able to fill fewer than one in four posts for doctors. In 2006 the UN World Health Organisation gave the number of doctors at one per 10,000 people.

In short, under Mugabe's trusteeship healthcare in Zimbabwe now rests somewhere between the high dependency unit and the mortuary.

Education
In the early years after independence Zimbabwe recorded spectacular advances in the provision of education at all levels. The country's educational system was then considered among the best in Africa. But here again all the earlier gains have been reversed.

According to the United Nations children's agency, UNICEF, vastly fewer children are now enrolling in school and of those who do many are forced to drop out. In the early 1990s the free schooling provided in state schools was replaced with a fee structure. As the economy has gone into freefall schools have been forced to raise their fees, and increasingly parents have been unable to keep up with the rising costs. Even with the fees raised state schools have found themselves grossly under-resourced and unable even to sustain the most basic maintenance programmes. Once-smart school premises now resemble derelict warehouses, and basic text-books have become unaffordable luxuries for all but a few.

Meanwhile the 61 private schools that had hitherto provided a quality education for the children of parents who could afford the fees, now find themselves locked in endless battles with the Ministry responsible which imposes totally unrealistic fee-capping measures. To comply with the Ministry's directives would very soon send the private schools into bankruptcy, turning further thousands of children out onto the street.

Rule of Law
So much for the basic services which it is the fundamental responsibility of any government to provide. Plainly and on any reckoning the Mugabe regime has failed shamefully on every count. But what of the no less important function of government in crime prevention and providing security for Zimbabwe's citizens?

Here again we see a spectacular failure on the part of those responsible, for apprehending criminals and protecting the innocent. Yet this should occasion no surprise at all. Indeed it was bound to be so, given that the state itself under Robert Mugabe has deliberately subverted the rule of law.

The independence of the judiciary, crucial to safeguarding the human rights of all citizens, has been deliberately sabotaged by executive intervention. This was achieved partly by naked coercion, as in securing the resignation of the former Chief Justice Anthony Gubbay, and partly by co-option, using the vast powers of patronage Mugabe has at his disposal to reward compliant judges, such as the Chief Justice appointed to succeed Gubbay. At the fiat of the dictator, the constitutionally enshrined principle of the separation of powers has been most seriously compromised. It is this separation of Executive, Legislature and Judiciary which is the ultimate guarantee of the constitutional rights and freedoms of the subject. Little wonder then that it has come under sustained attack from Mugabe's totalitarian regime.

A part of this attack was in the form of the politicisation of the police, the army and the civil service. When the separation of powers is respected each of these arms of government is able to retain its professional integrity, but under Mugabe's rule all have succumbed to the overweening power of the Executive. The loss to the professional standing of each has been profound, and with the most far-reaching consequences for the freedoms of all.

Corruption
Along with the subversion of the rule of law and politicisation of government services has gone a huge increase in corruption which is now endemic in the Zimbabwean body politic. In 2003 Transparency International, an independent organisation that monitors global corruption, ranked Zimbabwe the 77 th most corrupt of the 130 countries assessed. By 2005 it had slid to 130 th out of 163 countries, and today it is deemed to be "very corrupt".

Judith Todd recalls her father, Garfield Todd's, last comment on Robert Mugabe: "What I cannot forgive is how many people he has corrupted."

The corruption has ensured that Mugabe and his sycophantic entourage have been able to protect themselves from the ravages of their own destructive policies. They live in a kind of "bubble" in which they are isolated and protected by their obscene wealth from the appalling suffering of their fellow Zimbabweans. Once again Mugabe himself has given the cue to the favoured few. He has recently had completed, north of Harare, his own mansion which boasts no fewer than 25 en suite bedrooms and was built at a cost in excess of 26 million US dollars. (This in a country in which the average wage - for those fortunate enough to be in employment - is the equivalent of eleven dollars a month). And this is the third luxury residence Mugabe has had built for himself, and the fifth he has owned since coming to power.

In 2003 and with the assistance of police, soldiers and youth militia, Mugabe's wife, Grace, seized the magnificent Iron Mask farm in the Mazoe valley. The owners, an elderly white couple, were given 48 hours to vacate the property.

Human Rights Abuses
The gross human rights abuses systematically perpetrated by the Mugabe regime are on a scale to warrant detailed consideration by an international court of justice. Indeed it must surely be the aim of all those who believe in freedom and justice to ensure that the perpetrators are brought to justice and the appalling cult of impunity, first introduced in colonial days and applied routinely under Robert Mugabe, be ended once and for all.

Within a few years of Mugabe's accession to power the appalling Gukurahundi massacres were underway, resulting in the brutal murder by state agents of more than 20,000 victims in Matabeleland and the Midlands. Indeed so great was the scale of this atrocity that today it is reckoned that one in twenty people in Matabeleland over the age of 30 are the survivors of torture.

20 years later in 2005, forces again under Mugabe's control carried out the brutal military operation called Operation Murambatsvina (meaning literally "remove the shit") in which, as a subsequent United Nation's investigation established, the homes and livelihoods of over 700,000 Zimbabweans were destroyed. The operation was targeted at some of the poorest of the poor.

In sheer scale these were the most conspicuous of the human rights abuses perpetrated by Mugabe and his agents, but the careful records maintained by human rights monitors show that such abuses have continued throughout the years of his rule. In recent years and as the dictator has felt his power more seriously challenged, the frequency has increased, until now torture is almost routine. The regime's attempts to conceal these abuses have varied but increasingly of late the abuse of power has been quite blatant and without apology.

"Until they are stopped"
Such has been the rule of Robert Mugabe. His team of ministers and other functionaries, the ruling elite, have delivered a dazzling display of sheer incompetence. But it is worse than that. The coterie of sycophantic officials and political dinosaurs Mugabe has surrounded himself with are indeed profoundly incompetent; but far worse, they and the one whom they blindly serve are indifferent. They are totally indifferent, as he is, to the huge damage and indescribable suffering they are inflicting upon the nation. They simply do not care what price the people of Zimbabwe have to pay in the execution of their personal political agenda. The bottom line of that agenda, of course, is that Mugabe will never voluntarily surrender power.

As the renowned former ZANU freedom fighter Wilfred Mhanda said in an interview in October 2005:

"The MDC leadership totally underestimated Mugabe. They believed the struggle for democracy would be hard, but they never understood that he was prepared to destroy everything - them, the economy, the institutions, the infrastructure, the whole country and everything in it - to survive."

To borrow the title of an address given by Judith Todd to the Cape Town Press Club: "They will not stop until they are stopped."

In conclusion, Robert Mugabe might dress with sartorial elegance but the smart suits from Savile Row and the customized shoes from Italy should fool no one. This man's soul is still clothed with the military fatigues of a guerrilla leader, for he is still fighting - and until he draws his last breath, will be fighting - a guerrilla war. In the years before independence that war was being waged against an oppressive colonial regime, but now that Robert Mugabe has himself taken on the mantle of the colonial ruler, it is being conducted against his own people. Only Zimbabwe's new oppressor has vastly more power at his disposal, and is far more ruthless in his obsession with holding onto power than ever his predecessor was.

It follows that the international community must consider now and as a matter of urgency what action to take in the event that Mugabe should attempt to steal the presidential election scheduled for March 29. When he and his party rigged the previous presidential ballot (and the parliamentary elections of 2000 and 2005) the international response, even from those countries which accepted it was a fraud, was somewhat hesitant. If the 2008 elections are rigged, or if the Mugabe forces stage a coup in defiance of the will of the people, we cannot afford another such tepid response. Rather let those nations that have a heart for Zimbabwe's much abused people and a mind to support them in their courageous bid for freedom and democracy, brace themselves for the necessary action. At the very least this will include the following:

  • An intensification of the international pressure on Mugabe and those who are still supporting him in resisting a return to the rule of law
  • A recognition of the courage of those who have dared to challenge the dictator, even belatedly,from this point in time
  • A substantial increase in the support given to those working for democratic change in Zimbabwe
  • An increase in the level of humanitarian aid made available to the starving people of Zimbabwe through the United Nations (it being understood that UN agencies will strenuously resist every attempt of the regime to turn that aid to its political advantage)
  • A very serious engagement with the SADC governments to build a consensus in the region to end the appalling suffering without further delay.

If Mugabe and his cronies are aware of such measures in advance, so much the better.

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