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Summary
of the individual interventions and discussion during the conference
South
African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)
May 12, 2005
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Pointers on Zimbabwe during the conference
Dr Reginald Matchaba-Hove (Chair Zimbabwe
Electoral Support Network – ZESN)
Matchaba-Hove noted that, unlike previous elections, the 2005 event
could be measured against a number of regionally and continentally
endorsed and acceptable guidelines. These included the SADC Parliamentary
Forum guidelines, the SADC guidelines adopted at the Heads of State
Summit in August 2004, the AU guidelines, as well as the SADC Electoral
Commissioners’ Forum and Electoral Institute Guidelines.
The pre-election period saw some improvements
in election planning and conduct
- The adoption of the SADC guidelines
including inter alia by Zimbabwe
- The establishment of the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission (ZEC)
- The establishment of electoral courts
designed to resolve electoral disputes within six months of the
election.
- A degree of space provided via the
electronic media for campaigning by
- both ZANU-PF and the MDC
In the 2002 presidential election a mere
400 ZESN observers were accredited, this contrasts with 6,000 in
2005. However there were 8,000 polling stations; thus ZESN could
not cover 25% of the country. The police were slightly less partisan
in 2005. A month before the election there was a drop in state-sponsored
violence. There was an increase in polling stations. Translucent
ballot boxes were a doubleedged sword. Indelible ink was used. The
MDC was also provided with some state funding before the elections.
There were, however, areas of concern:
The ZEC had insufficient time and resources
to carry out its mandate. In reality it was operational only for
a month before the election. Its staff was taken from the Registrar’s
office and civil servants. The voters’ roll was compiled by the
Registrar’s office and was highly problematical. Post-Mauritius
SADC Summit, electoral changes were made without consultation with
the MDC and civil society, but rather through an act of parliament.
The election still took place against
a raft of repressive legislation and regulation such as the POSA,
which insists on notification of any meeting with more than four
people. This has been interpreted by the police as the need to seek
authority, clearance or permission to hold a meeting. Although the
NGO Bill had not been signed into law it did affect the operation
of civil society during the elections. In order for ZESN to conduct
electoral education required it to seek approval from the authorities.
Overall ZESN was of the view that there was insufficient voter information
to make the elections legitimate.
The delimitation of constituencies was
not carried out in a transparent manner, there was gerrymandering
of borders and population size and density were not taken into account
in urban areas which tended to count against the MDC.
The new electoral act distinguishes between
‘monitors’ who can only be civil servants, including the police
and intelligence officers and ‘observers’ such as ZESN.
The voters’ roll was not available on
time, nor was it accurate. Registration fees were increased a hundred-fold
for candidates too. Although there was less statesponsored overt
violence there were instances of intimidation by traditional leaders
such as informing voters that they could see their vote in the translucent
boxes.
The SADC mission was only admitted a
month before the election and independent monitors remained shut
out. Furthermore there was still far too much military involvement
in the management of the electoral process, for example the Electoral
Supervisory Commission was staffed by military officers. There has
been a dangerous trend of inserting the military into civilian spheres
of operation in Zimbabwe.
In terms of the conduct of the parties,
prior to the campaign ZANU-PF was marked by internal division, particularly
during the primaries which witnessed some intra-party violence.
Essentially ZANU-PF stood on an ‘anti-Blair’ campaign. By contrast,
the MDC ran on the platform of the economy, jobs and food.
A key question is whether the MDC’s earlier
boycott and late entry into the election affected its performance.
As voter registration closed on 4 February and the MDC took its
decision to participate later, this may have had an effect on voter
registration and particularly those potential MDC supporters.
ZESN noted that in the 75% of the polling
stations at which it had observers, some 10%
of potential voters were turned away. Moreover some ZESN observers
were also turned away in the first few hours of the election when
the bulk of people came to vote. They were also excluded from the
vote counting in some instances. The ZESN noted a very high number
of spoilt ballot papers. In most instances the ZEC and the ZESN
vote counts do not tally, even where there is agreement on the winner.
On the ZESN reckoning, 5 MDC candidates were deprived of winning
their constituencies through irregularities.
ZESN also analysed why there was a reduction
in violence immediately prior to the election. They contended that
firstly, the Zimbabwe government staked its credibility on it being
a violent-free poll. Secondly, it sought to more closely comply
with the SADC guidelines. Thirdly, some of the groups previously
associated with state-sponsored violence such as the Tsholotsho
group have been increasingly marginalised
recently.
Matchaba-Hove speculated on what the
immediate aftermath was likely to hold for Zimbabwe. As ZANU-PF
has achieved a two-thirds majority it is likely to approve amendments
to the constitution, particularly one that re-instates the institution
of the Senate.
It is likely that presidential and parliamentary
terms will be synchronised by 2010.
However, ZESN is calling for a single
independent electoral authority and for there to be reform of the
electoral system in Zimbabwe to provide for a mixed first-pastthe-
post system (FPTP) and proportional representation (PR) system.
There is a need for broad-based electoral reform, not just a parliamentary
driven process, but one that involves a broad range of civil society.
Matchaba-Hove speculated that there may be leverage available for
more moderates in ZANU to convince the party that it can win elections
without resorting to violence and intimidation.
Finally, Matchaba-Hove recommended that
SADC as an institution and its Organs need to be much more assertive,
but more than this the leverage for change in Zimbabwe lay with
South Africa.
Elinor Sisulu
Sisulu commented that food in Zimbabwe was being used as a political
tool of retribution and coercion. Zimbabwe was facing a famine that
was politically made. She argued that there was a need for a comprehensive
nutritional survey of children under 5 as the nutritional status
of children under 5 has declined.
Sisulu called for an All African conference
on elections governance and democracy informed by a high degree
of consensus among Africans. Elections observers must be in place
90 days beforehand (in conflict situations). She reiterated that
the value of local monitoring groups was that they were better able
to understand and interpret local conditions than those from Western
countries. In this regard Sisulu commended the election reports
of the SADC – PF. By contrast Sisulu berated the "sheer arrogance
of the head of the South African observer mission" and the
patronising attitude of its head Minister Mdladlana, who in her
view lacked integrity. Sisulu noted that it was right to question
the credentials of any and all observer missions to ensure they
were qualified to do the job with which they were tasked.
Piers Pigou noted that much of
the reportage around the Zimbabwe election was anecdotal, thus the
Zimbabwe Solidarity Forum was embarking on a project to extract
the detailed documentation of the local observer missions to Zimbabwe
(both the South African and parliamentary missions). The Presidency
and parliament had been approached in this regard to supply all
relevant documentation. This would clarify how the missions went
about their work and how they reached their conclusions. Should
it fail in its request to secure the requested information it will
seek recourse through the provisions of the Access to Information
Act.
Nthabiseng Khunou MP (ANC), SA Parliamentary
Observer Mission
Khunou read from the observer
mission report which although completed had not yet been sent to
the Speaker’s office and had not been before parliament. Khunou
commenced by asserting that the guiding principle for the observers
was that the "We must respect the sovereignty of Zimbabwe."
She argued that the parliamentary observer team could not have been
in Zimbabwe for 90 days in accordance with the SADC guidelines as
this "would cost parliament too much." Although there
needed to be an improvement in voter education, it was nevertheless
"very good." For Khunou it was a "meticulously planned
and executed election" from which South Africa could take some
lessons, such as the three-line alphabetical queues at polling stations.
Diane Kohler-Barnard MP (DA), SADC
Observer Mission
Kohler-Barnard was the only alternative (non-ruling party) MP on
mission and three Mauritians. She commented that she and her ANC
colleague "must have been observing different elections".
She received no briefing from her party Whip, but was instructed
to report what she observed. Kohler-Barnard informed conference
that all her daily typed reports were faxed to the Head of Mission
in Harare and were "thrown into bin". She documented numerous
reports of violence, intimidation and election irregularities. One
police commissioner proudly showed ll MDC rallies not approved and
all ZANU-PF approved.
In terms of the legal and political climate
surrounding the election she noted that in terms of POSA it is illegal
to criticise the president, but he was insulting and libellous regarding
the opposition. In addition to being state-owned the media in Zimbabwe
was highly skewed in favour of ZANU-PF and against the MDC. For
example at the launch of the party manifestos ZANU-PF was given
some four hours of coverage on television, whereas the MDC was given
2 minutes and 35 seconds on February 20, which was followed by scurrilous
songs about MDC. The Zimbabwe Herald ran 5 full-page election adverts
for ZANU-PF. In addition, MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai was called
a donkey.
In terms of the climate of violence and
intimidation she noted that of 57 MDC MPs there were about seven
who had not been arrested at some time or another since the 2000
parliamentary elections. She stated that, "the Zim public is
frightened, beaten, starved".
Kohler-Barnard proffered a number of
proposals regarding the way forward for Zimbabwe:
- The militia must be disbanded and
de-politicised.
- There must be clear separation of
state and party and 3 branches of government.
- A process of national reconciliation
must be undertaken.
- A free and independent media, without
government interference, must be established.
- There must be an independent electoral
commission.
- Repressive legislation must be amended
or repealed
Professor Welshman Ncube MP, General
Secretary MDC
Ncube commenced by asserting
that South Africa could help the Zimbabwe situation only if it made
an honest assessment of the crisis in the country. "Mugabe
is not going to solve crisis". The Zimbabwe system is based
on coercion. Such a system must always have instruments of coercion
at its disposal on standby. The question then is when it will fall,
not if.
Ncube stated that the following matters
needed to be dealt with urgently:
Constitution
The importance of negotiating
a new constitution – Zimbabweans must agree on fundamental principles
governing society. There is a need for national consensus.
SA and SADC must insist on this.
In contrast ZANU-PF favours a number of constitutional amendments:
- That all land acquired in the last
5 years will be declared state land; hence all court challenges
become academic.
- Can only raise the issue of compensation,
not the validity of acquisition.
- Remove electoral supervisory commission.
- Acknowledging
the current duplication.
- Introduce 40-member senate (to be
in place within 3 months from first April).
Then ZANU-PF wants a parliamentary process
to review the constitution, but none of these proposals try to develop
national consensus. By contrast Ncube argued that it was imperative
to address all other non-constitutional aspects which resulted in
democratic deficits. If not, it would be impossible to have any
legitimate election in Zimbabwe.
Commenting on the election observer missions,
Ncube argued that "the only mission report that makes sense,
is the one written by the AU".
Ncube bemoaned the lack of media freedom
and independence in Zimbabwe noting that this needs to be addressed
particularly as Zimbabwe is the only SADC country that has no private
radio stations.
On the MDC’s decision to suspend its
participation in the election and then to participate Ncube informed
conference that the decision to suspend was taken until the government
committed itself to comply with the SADC guidelines. The decision
to later participate in the election was taken following consultation
with the MDC’s structures in the 11 provinces who felt that it was
necessary to participate and also because the MDC National Council
felt contesting the election would
increase the costs of dictatorship. The party felt that it should
not surrender without a fight any of the democratic spaces it occupied
at local and national level.
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