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Consumer
Price Index (2001=100) - December 2005
Central
Statistical Office (CSO)
January 20, 2005
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The year on
year inflation rate (annual percentage change) for the month of
December 2005 as measured by the all items Consumer Price Index
(CPI) stood at 585.8 percent, gaining 83.4 percentage points on
the November rate of 502.4 percent.
This means that
prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by an average
of 585.8 percent between December 2004 and December 2005.
- The year-on-year
inflation rate is given by the percentage change in the index
of the relevant month of the current year compared with the index
of the same month in the previous year.
Food and Non
Alcoholic beverages inflation prone to transitory shocks stood at
717.1 percent whilst Non-food inflation stood at 522.3 percent.
The month on
month inflation rate (monthly per-centage change) in December 2005
was 18.3 percent shedding 8.7 percentage points on the November
2005 rate of 27.0 percent.
This means that
prices as measured by the all items CPI increased by an average
of 18.3 percent from November 2005 to December 2005.
- The month-on-month
inflation rate is given by the per-centage change in the index
of the relevant month of the current year compared with the index
of the previous month in the current year.
The month on
month Food and Non Alcoholic Bev-erages inflation stood at 25.9
percent in December 2005. The month on month non-food inflation
stood at 13.8 percent shedding 6.9 percentage points on the November
2005 rate of 20.7 percent.
The CPI for
the month ending December 2005 stood at 48205.6 compared to 40758.1
in November 2005 and 7028.7 in December 2004.
- The direction
and magnitude of the rate of change in year on year inflation
for a relevant month depends on how both the numerator and the
denominator (the base) change during the same month in the current
and the previous year.
The change in
average price of the basket from November 2005 to December 2005
was higher (18.3%) as measured by the change in the price index,
than the change in average price of the same basket from November
2004 to December 2004 (3.9%). That explains the rise in year on
year inflation in Decem-ber 2005.
The new Consumer
Price Index
With effect from June 2005, the CSO is publishing the new Consumer
Price Index (CPI) with new weights and a new classification in accordance
with international guidelines. The shift to a new classifi-cation
of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) has resulted in the
increase in the number of sub-groups from 34 to 68 and the number
of major groups has increased from 10 to 12.
The number of
items in the CPI basket has also been increased from 337 to 428.As
a result, the CPI has become more disaggregated. However, in the
short term there would be lack of direct comparison of certain sub-indices
for which monthly and annual comparison should be achieved in July
2005 and June 2006, respectively.
Due to the reclassification
that has been done, some new sub-groups were created by moving individual
items from one sub-group to another sub-group. For instance, the
major group "Transport and Communication" in the previous
classification was split into "Transport" and "Communication"
major groups under the new set up. A totally new major group called
"Restaurants, Cafes and Hotels" was created.
The implementation
of the COICOP classification is also part of the harmonisation project
of Con-sumer Price Indices in different regions like the SADC region.
All member states are supposed to adopt the new procedure to enable
inter country comparisons of the CPI and the rate of inflation.
The indices
prior to June 2005 were all re-referenced to 2001=100. In principle,
these indices do not aggregate. However, the rates of inflation
remain the same under different weight regimes as the relative magnitude
of indices is maintained. The new weights are therefore applicable
from June 2005 onwards.
Linking
the 1995=100 with the 2001=100 base at all items level
Users who wish
to continue using the old series (the 1995=100 base) are advised
to divide the current all items index with a new base of (2001=100)
by a con-version factor of 0.12384622. For instance if the CSO had
continued with the old base (1995=100), the June 2005 all items
CPI was going to be 99 754.35.For in-stance the July 2005 CPI at
1995 prices is 146599.5.
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